Universidad de Alcalá. Instituto Universitario de Análisis Económico y Social
Abstract
31 p.In this article, we use tests of explosive behavior in real house prices with
annual data for the case of Australia for the period 1870– 2020. The main
contribution of this paper is the use of very long time series. It is
important to use longer span data because it o¤ers more powerful
econometric results. In order to detect episodes of potential explosive
behavior in house prices over this long period, we use the recursive unit
root tests for explosiveness proposed by Phillips, Wu, and Yu (2011), and
Phillips, Shi, and Yu (2015a,b). According to the results, there is clear
speculative bubble behavior in real house prices between 1997-2020,
speculative process that has not yet been adjusted