Prediction and simulation of the trajectory and weathering of marine oil spills are
essential to the development of pollution response and contingency plans, and the evaluation
of environmental impact assessments. In this study, SL Ross Trajectory and fate modeling
was applied to identify the shortest time for oil to reach Bashayer Red Sea shoreline in order
to model the worst case scenarios. Four different scenarios were tested out, two for winter and
two for summer. Results showed that in winter the spill movement is towards south and
southwest while it moves to the northwest in summer. In both cases the spill will contact
Bashayer Marine Terminal (BMT) shoreline within 4 hours in winter and 6 hours in summer
rely on the combined effect of wind and tidal current. It was also shown that between 47.7 to
64% of the oil remain on the surface after 10 hours of spil
