In this paper we study functions with low influences on product probability
spaces. The analysis of boolean functions with low influences has become a
central problem in discrete Fourier analysis. It is motivated by fundamental
questions arising from the construction of probabilistically checkable proofs
in theoretical computer science and from problems in the theory of social
choice in economics.
We prove an invariance principle for multilinear polynomials with low
influences and bounded degree; it shows that under mild conditions the
distribution of such polynomials is essentially invariant for all product
spaces. Ours is one of the very few known non-linear invariance principles. It
has the advantage that its proof is simple and that the error bounds are
explicit. We also show that the assumption of bounded degree can be eliminated
if the polynomials are slightly ``smoothed''; this extension is essential for
our applications to ``noise stability''-type problems.
In particular, as applications of the invariance principle we prove two
conjectures: the ``Majority Is Stablest'' conjecture from theoretical computer
science, which was the original motivation for this work, and the ``It Ain't
Over Till It's Over'' conjecture from social choice theory