Julia Robinson has given a first-order definition of the rational integers Z
in the rational numbers Q by a formula (\forall \exists \forall \exists)(F=0)
where the \forall-quantifiers run over a total of 8 variables, and where F is a
polynomial. This implies that the \Sigma_5-theory of Q is undecidable. We prove
that a conjecture about elliptic curves provides an interpretation of Z in Q
with quantifier complexity \forall \exists, involving only one universally
quantified variable. This improves the complexity of defining Z in Q in two
ways, and implies that the \Sigma_3-theory, and even the \Pi_2-theory, of Q is
undecidable (recall that Hilbert's Tenth Problem for Q is the question whether
the \Sigma_1-theory of Q is undecidable).
In short, granting the conjecture, there is a one-parameter family of
hypersurfaces over Q for which one cannot decide whether or not they all have a
rational point.
The conjecture is related to properties of elliptic divisibility sequences on
an elliptic curve and its image under rational 2-descent, namely existence of
primitive divisors in suitable residue classes, and we discuss how to prove
weaker-in-density versions of the conjecture and present some heuristics.Comment: 39 pages, uses calrsfs. 3rd version: many small changes, change of
titl