Risk evaluation for RoPax vessels

The paper presents the results of a recent risk evalua-tion study for RoPax vessels, carried out as part of the activities of the SAFEDOR Integrated Project. The objective of the study was to investigate hazards and their causes during RoPax operation and to quantify, to the extent possible, their frequencies and conse-quences. A previous study on the safety assessment of RoPax vessels sailing in North-West European waters, covering the period until 1994, was used as the basis in putting together a high-level risk model for the current study. All scenarios are presented in the form of event trees, quantification of which is done on the basis of world-wide accident experience (from 1994 to 2004), relevant past studies and judgment. The study esti-mates the risk of loss of life among passengers and crew (by calculating for each scenario the Individual Risk, the Potential Loss of Life – PLL and plotting the corresponding F-N curves), and compares them with current risk acceptance criteria

Risk evaluation with enhaced covariance matrix

We propose a route for the evaluation of risk based on a transformation of the covariance matrix. The approach uses a `potential' or `objective' function. This allows us to rescale data from different assets (or sources) such that each data set then has similar statistical properties in terms of their probability distributions. The method is tested using historical data from both the New York and Warsaw Stock Exchanges.Comment: see urbanowicz.org.p

Risk evaluation using evolvable discriminate function

This essay proposes a new approach to risk evaluation using disease mathematical modeling. The mathematical model is an algebraic equation of the available database attributes and is used to evaluate the patient condition. If its value is greater than zero it means that the patient is ill (or in risk condition), otherwise healthy. In practice risk evaluation has been a very difficult problem mainly due its sporadic behavior (suddenly, the patient has a stroke, etc as a condition aggravation) and its database representation. The database contains, under the label of risk patient data, information of the patient condition that sometimes is in risk condition and sometimes is not, introducing errors in the algorithm training. The study was applied to Atherosclerosis database from Discovery Challenge 2003 - ECML/PKDD 2003 workshop

Evaluation "Risk analyses of agroparks"

Dit TransForum project richt zich op analyse van de onzekerheden en mogelijkheden van agroparken. Dit heeft geleid tot een risicomodel dat de kwalitatieve en/of kwantitatieve onzekerheden van een agropark project in kaart brengt. Daarmee kunnen maatregelen en managementstrategiën worden geïdentificeerd. Zo worden potentiële risico's omgezet in hanteerbare mogelijkheden

Risk Perception and Drug Safety Evaluation

The authors present a Risk communication framework based on a survey of empirical research concerning public Risk perceptions. They also apply it to the area of pharmaceutical regulation to suggest more effective regulatory strategies

International labor migration and remittances: Towards development-friendly migration policies.

Risk evaluation is crucial for practitioners as it allows them to make better investment decisions. However, the recently witnessed financial turmoil has demonstrated the inadequacy of many models for preventive risk evaluation. In particular, it is now evident that new methods are needed to anticipate and manage risk in asset markets more accurately. In this article we discuss some of the "blind spots" in risk management uncovered by the financial crisis and suggest alternative models for the evaluation and prevention of risk that can be useful for the new "toolkit" of financial practitioners and regulators.Internationale Arbeitsmobilität; Rücküberweisung (Migranten); Entwicklung; Wirtschaftskrise; Migrationspolitik;

Perceptions of Effectiveness of School Counselors with Former Graduates in a TRIO College Program

The context and variables that affect at-risk students are constantly changing. It is imperative that school counselors understand the risk factors for students and the cultural and social contexts the individual lives within. Working with at-risk students is even more challenging with the millennial generation. The culture in this generation promotes instant gratification as society has reinforced that all individuals will succeed. At-risk students in this generation can be in disbelief of even being at-risk and may assume that others will solve their problems. Federally funded TRIO programs have shown to a positive impact on at-risk student development. Although there has been sufficient evaluation and review of TRIO programs’ impact on disadvantaged college students, there is a lack of research of student evaluation of their high school counselors after they graduate. It is important to consider the high school counselor’s impact on postsecondary success. College students involved in TRIO completed surveys rating their high school counselor. School counselor rating scores were correlated with the number of school counselors in that school, r(20) = 0.45, p = .043. This study has implications for school counselors and emphasizes the importance of school counselor contact. This research is the first step in the evaluation of high school counselors from students even when they are no longer high school students

A market-consistent framework for the fair evaluation of insurance contracts under Solvency II

The entry into force of the Solvency II regulatory regime is pushing insurance companies in engaging into market consistence evaluation of their balance sheet, mainly with reference to financial options and guarantees embedded in life with-profit funds. The robustness of these valuations is crucial for insurance companies in order to produce sound estimates and good risk management strategies, in particular, for liability-driven products such as with-profit saving and pension funds. This paper introduces a Monte Carlo simulation approach for evaluation of insurance assets and liabilities, which is more suitable for risk management of liability-driven products than common approaches generally adopted by insurance companies, in particular, with respect to the assessment of valuation risk