Factores asociados a mortalidad en la pandemia de influenza H1N1 2009 en Paraguay

La presencia de condiciones médicas pre-existentes se ha asociado con la mortalidadrelacionada al virus de influenza A (H1N1). El objetivo de este estudio fue determinar losfactores asociados a mortalidad en personas con sospecha de infección con influenza A(H1N1) en Paraguay. Los datos clínicos y epidemiológicos fueron obtenidos a través delsistema de vigilancia para la infección por influenza A(H1N1) establecido en el país por elMinisterio de Salud Pública y Bienestar Social a partir del 28 de abril de 2009. Hasta el 30de enero de 2010, fueron notificados a la Dirección General de Vigilancia de la Salud,8303 casos con sospecha de Influenza A (H1N1). Tanto el análisis bivariado como elmultivariado identificaron los siguientes factores de riesgo de mortalidad: obesidad(p=0,022; OR:13,5), embarazo (p<0,001; OR:11,0), Diabetes mellitus (p= 0,006;OR:5,7), enfermedad cardiovascular (p=0,002; OR: 4,6), sexo masculino (p <0,0001,OR: 3,0), edad mayor a 60 años (p =0,008; OR: 2,9) y no haber sido vacunado contra elvirus de influenza estacional en el periodo 2009 (p<0,023; OR: 2,6). El embarazo comofactor de riesgo de mortalidad ya había sido observado en las otras pandemias; no así laobesidad, la cual recién en la última pandemia, ha sido relacionada, por varios países,con complicaciones graves de infección por el virus A (H1N1). Esta asociación amerita eldesarrollo de investigaciones que permitan un mejor abordaje promocional, preventivo yterapéutico de las personas con obesidad

Embarazo como factor de riesgo de hospitalización y muerte en la pandemia por influenza A (H1N1) en Paraguay

La influenza A (H1N1) se ha identificado como la causa de epidemia de Infección Respiratoria Aguda en Paraguay y en el mundo. Se analizaron los factores de riesgo asociados a la morbimortalidad en embarazadas con sospecha de infección por H1N1 notificadas a la Dirección General de Vigilancia de la Salud (DGVS) del MSPBS durante los primeros cuatro meses de la pandemia, en comparación con mujeres en edad fértil no embarazadas con sospecha de infección por H1N1. A partir del 28 de abril de 2009, la DGVS comenzó sistemáticamente la vigilancia de H1N1 en todas sus unidades notificadoras, siendo la notificación inmediata y por planilla individual basándose la notificación en la definición de casos confirmado establecidas por el país. Hasta el 25 de agosto del 2009 fueron notificadas 2268 mujeres con sospecha de H1N1, de las cuales 1120 tenían entre 15 a 40 años, y de ellas 117 estaban embarazadas. El 68% (79/117) de las embarazadas requirió hospitalización y la mortalidad fue de 21% (25/117), mientras que en grupo de las no embarazadas el 21% se hospitalizó (288 /1003) y la mortalidad fue de 1,5% (16/1003). Todos los casos fallecidos desarrollaron Infección Respiratoria Aguda Grave caracterizado por un síndrome de distrés respiratorio que en algunos casos requirieron asistencia respiratoria mecánica (ARM). Ninguna de las embarazadas refirió antecedente de co-morbilidad. El 22% (26/117) de las embarazadas y 2,9% (30/1003) de las no embarazadas recibieron Oseltamivir como tratamiento. Se evidencian que la infección produce alta morbimortalidad en embarazadas en comparación con mujeres del mismo grupo de edad, los cuales apoyan la recomendación de un tratamiento antiviral precoz en gestantes, así como un seguimiento clínico cercano

Global burden of influenza-associated lower respiratory tract infections and hospitalizations among adults : a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND : Influenza illness burden is substantial, particularly among young children, older adults, and those with underlying conditions. Initiatives are underway to develop better global estimates for influenza-associated hospitalizations and deaths. Knowledge gaps remain regarding the role of influenza viruses in severe respiratory disease and hospitalizations among adults, particularly in lower-income settings. METHODS AND FINDINGS : We aggregated published data from a systematic review and unpublished data from surveillance platforms to generate global meta-analytic estimates for the proportion of acute respiratory hospitalizations associated with influenza viruses among adults. We searched 9 online databases (Medline, Embase, CINAHL, Cochrane Library, Scopus, Global Health, LILACS, WHOLIS, and CNKI; 1 January 1996-31 December 2016) to identify observational studies of influenza-associated hospitalizations in adults, and assessed eligible papers for bias using a simplified Newcastle-Ottawa scale for observational data. We applied meta-analytic proportions to global estimates of lower respiratory infections (LRIs) and hospitalizations from the Global Burden of Disease study in adults ≥20 years and by age groups (20-64 years and ≥65 years) to obtain the number of influenza-associated LRI episodes and hospitalizations for 2016. Data from 63 sources showed that influenza was associated with 14.1% (95% CI 12.1%-16.5%) of acute respiratory hospitalizations among all adults, with no significant differences by age group. The 63 data sources represent published observational studies (n = 28) and unpublished surveillance data (n = 35), from all World Health Organization regions (Africa, n = 8; Americas, n = 11; Eastern Mediterranean, n = 7; Europe, n = 8; Southeast Asia, n = 11; Western Pacific, n = 18). Data quality for published data sources was predominantly moderate or high (75%, n = 56/75). We estimate 32,126,000 (95% CI 20,484,000-46,129,000) influenza-associated LRI episodes and 5,678,000 (95% CI 3,205,000-9,432,000) LRI hospitalizations occur each year among adults. While adults <65 years contribute most influenza-associated LRI hospitalizations and episodes (3,464,000 [95% CI 1,885,000-5,978,000] LRI hospitalizations and 31,087,000 [95% CI 19,987,000-44,444,000] LRI episodes), hospitalization rates were highest in those ≥65 years (437/100,000 person-years [95% CI 265-612/100,000 person-years]). For this analysis, published articles were limited in their inclusion of stratified testing data by year and age group. Lack of information regarding influenza vaccination of the study population was also a limitation across both types of data sources. CONCLUSIONS : In this meta-analysis, we estimated that influenza viruses are associated with over 5 million hospitalizations worldwide per year. Inclusion of both published and unpublished findings allowed for increased power to generate stratified estimates, and improved representation from lower-income countries. Together, the available data demonstrate the importance of influenza viruses as a cause of severe disease and hospitalizations in younger and older adults worldwide.S1 Data. CSV-formatted analysis dataset.S1 Fig. Forest plot of individual study estimates included in meta-analysis (all adults).S1 PRISMA Checklist. PRISMA checklist.S1 Table. Literature search methodology and results, by database.S2 Table. Summary of published articles included in the analyses, with reference list.S3 Table. Median number of specimens tested and percent positive for influenza, by age group, study design, and population, among all data sources.S4 Table. Regional estimates of influenza-associated lower respiratory infection (LRI) episodes and hospitalizations, by age group.S5 Table. Sensitivity analyses.Grants from the Foundation for Influenza Epidemiology, grants from Innovative Medicines Initiative, grants from the WHO, personal fees from Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, grants and personal fees from Sanofi, grants from National Institute of Health Research, personal fees from Janssen and personal fees from AbbVie.https://journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/am2023Medical Virolog

Global burden of influenza-associated lower respiratory tract infections and hospitalizations among adults: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background: Influenza illness burden is substantial, particularly among young children, older adults, and those with underlying conditions. Initiatives are underway to develop better global estimates for influenza-associated hospitalizations and deaths. Knowledge gaps remain regarding the role of influenza viruses in severe respiratory disease and hospitalizations among adults, particularly in lower-income settings. Methods and findings: We aggregated published data from a systematic review and unpublished data from surveillance platforms to generate global meta-analytic estimates for the proportion of acute respiratory hospitalizations associated with influenza viruses among adults. We searched 9 online databases (Medline, Embase, CINAHL, Cochrane Library, Scopus, Global Health, LILACS, WHOLIS, and CNKI; 1 January 1996–31 December 2016) to identify observational studies of influenza-associated hospitalizations in adults, and assessed eligible papers for bias using a simplified Newcastle–Ottawa scale for observational data. We applied meta-analytic proportions to global estimates of lower respiratory infections (LRIs) and hospitalizations from the Global Burden of Disease study in adults ≥20 years and by age groups (20–64 years and ≥65 years) to obtain the number of influenza-associated LRI episodes and hospitalizations for 2016. Data from 63 sources showed that influenza was associated with 14.1% (95% CI 12.1%–16.5%) of acute respiratory hospitalizations among all adults, with no significant differences by age group. The 63 data sources represent published observational studies (n = 28) and unpublished surveillance data (n = 35), from all World Health Organization regions (Africa, n = 8; Americas, n = 11; Eastern Mediterranean, n = 7; Europe, n = 8; Southeast Asia, n = 11; Western Pacific, n = 18). Data quality for published data sources was predominantly moderate or high (75%, n = 56/75). We estimate 32,126,000 (95% CI 20,484,000–46,129,000) influenza-associated LRI episodes and 5,678,000 (95% CI 3,205,000–9,432,000) LRI hospitalizations occur each year among adults. While adults &lt;65 years contribute most influenza-associated LRI hospitalizations and episodes (3,464,000 [95% CI 1,885,000–5,978,000] LRI hospitalizations and 31,087,000 [95% CI 19,987,000–44,444,000] LRI episodes), hospitalization rates were highest in those ≥65 years (437/100,000 person-years [95% CI 265–612/100,000 person-years]). For this analysis, published articles were limited in their inclusion of stratified testing data by year and age group. Lack of information regarding influenza vaccination of the study population was also a limitation across both types of data sources. Conclusions: In this meta-analysis, we estimated that influenza viruses are associated with over 5 million hospitalizations worldwide per year. Inclusion of both published and unpublished findings allowed for increased power to generate stratified estimates, and improved representation from lower-income countries. Together, the available data demonstrate the importance of influenza viruses as a cause of severe disease and hospitalizations in younger and older adults worldwide

Burden of influenza-associated respiratory hospitalizations in the Americas, 2010-2015.

BACKGROUND:Despite having influenza vaccination policies and programs, countries in the Americas underutilize seasonal influenza vaccine, in part because of insufficient evidence about severe influenza burden. We aimed to estimate the annual burden of influenza-associated respiratory hospitalizations in the Americas. METHODS:Thirty-five countries in the Americas with national influenza surveillance were invited to provide monthly laboratory data and hospital discharges for respiratory illness (International Classification of Diseases 10th edition J codes 0-99) during 2010-2015. In three age-strata (<5, 5-64, and ≥65 years), we estimated the influenza-associated hospitalizations rate by multiplying the monthly number of respiratory hospitalizations by the monthly proportion of influenza-positive samples and dividing by the census population. We used random effects meta-analyses to pool age-group specific rates and extrapolated to countries that did not contribute data, using pooled rates stratified by age group and country characteristics found to be associated with rates. RESULTS:Sixteen of 35 countries (46%) contributed primary data to the analyses, representing 79% of the America's population. The average pooled rate of influenza-associated respiratory hospitalization was 90/100,000 population (95% confidence interval 61-132) among children aged <5 years, 21/100,000 population (13-32) among persons aged 5-64 years, and 141/100,000 population (95-211) among persons aged ≥65 years. We estimated the average annual number of influenza-associated respiratory hospitalizations in the Americas to be 772,000 (95% credible interval 716,000-829,000). CONCLUSIONS:Influenza-associated respiratory hospitalizations impose a heavy burden on health systems in the Americas. Countries in the Americas should use this information to justify investments in seasonal influenza vaccination-especially among young children and the elderly