Domestic space heating dynamic costs under different technologies and energy tariffs: Case study in Spain

Dynamic energy tariffs facilitate engaging domestic consumers on demand management, contributing to grid’s stability, but requires of informed decision enabling tools. This paper presents a domestic heating costs calculation method for different heating technologies (gas boiler, heat-pumps) and a range of energy tariffs. Based on physical modeling, effect of outdoor temperature in the COP of heat-pumps is assessed. The methodology is applied to the 2018/19 heating season in Madrid (Spain), calculating the heating costs under four diverse energy tariffs (static gas tariff, static electricity tariff, real-time-price electricity tariff, dynamic time-of-use electricity tariff) for a typical home demand. The hourly results for two representative days are detailed, along with the aggregated results for the whole season. Along the season, the continuous changes in energy wholesale market prices and weather conditions make one heating technology and/or tariff more convenient each time. For the whole season, the dynamic time-of-use tariff considered would imply heating costs up to 40% lower than the static gas tariff. The results are strongly conditioned by climate conditions and national energy market evolutions. Day-ahead information on the actual heating costs might lead to domestic end-users to adapt their behavior and consumption patterns for more cost-effective use of the energy.Research leading to these results has been supported by HOLISDER project. This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program under grant agreement No. 768614. This paper reflects only the authors’ views and the Commission is not responsible for any use that may be made of the information contained therein

Engaging domestic users on demand response for heating cost reduction with a recommendation tool: Case study in Belgrade

The European Union has established a legislative framework that aims to enable consumers and businesses to take information-based decisions to save energy and money. Additionally, the increase of Distributed Energy Resources (both on generation and consumption) requires additional efforts to maintain the reliability and stability of the electric grid and the need of flexibility from residential buildings. The present study introduces a domestic decision support tool for reducing heating costs. This app provides detailed recommendations to end-users based on the day-ahead hourly weather forecast, electric and district heating tariffs predictions, heating demand, and heating systems dynamic performance. The tool was tested in 6 dwellings of a neighborhood of Belgrade during the last months of 2021 heating season (March–May). Energetic results suggest that 40% of participants followed the given recommendations and changed their heating pattern. Additionally, survey results show that end-users found the lack of information and knowledge as the main barrier to actively participate in the energy market, also preferring to have automatic control in their heating system. Authors conclude that recommendation tools are key elements in user-engagement, but they should be supported by additional information and training.Research leading to these results has been supported by HOLISDER project, Spain. This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program under grant agreement No. 768614

Long-term thermal sensitivity of Earth’s tropical forests

The sensitivity of tropical forest carbon to climate is a key uncertainty in predicting global climate change. Although short-term drying and warming are known to affect forests, it is unknown if such effects translate into long-term responses. Here, we analyze 590 permanent plots measured across the tropics to derive the equilibrium climate controls on forest carbon. Maximum temperature is the most important predictor of aboveground biomass (−9.1 megagrams of carbon per hectare per degree Celsius), primarily by reducing woody productivity, and has a greater impact per °C in the hottest forests (>32.2°C). Our results nevertheless reveal greater thermal resilience than observations of short-term variation imply. To realize the long-term climate adaptation potential of tropical forests requires both protecting them and stabilizing Earth’s climate

Clonal chromosomal mosaicism and loss of chromosome Y in elderly men increase vulnerability for SARS-CoV-2

The pandemic caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19) had an estimated overall case fatality ratio of 1.38% (pre-vaccination), being 53% higher in males and increasing exponentially with age. Among 9578 individuals diagnosed with COVID-19 in the SCOURGE study, we found 133 cases (1.42%) with detectable clonal mosaicism for chromosome alterations (mCA) and 226 males (5.08%) with acquired loss of chromosome Y (LOY). Individuals with clonal mosaic events (mCA and/or LOY) showed a 54% increase in the risk of COVID-19 lethality. LOY is associated with transcriptomic biomarkers of immune dysfunction, pro-coagulation activity and cardiovascular risk. Interferon-induced genes involved in the initial immune response to SARS-CoV-2 are also down-regulated in LOY. Thus, mCA and LOY underlie at least part of the sex-biased severity and mortality of COVID-19 in aging patients. Given its potential therapeutic and prognostic relevance, evaluation of clonal mosaicism should be implemented as biomarker of COVID-19 severity in elderly people. Among 9578 individuals diagnosed with COVID-19 in the SCOURGE study, individuals with clonal mosaic events (clonal mosaicism for chromosome alterations and/or loss of chromosome Y) showed an increased risk of COVID-19 lethality

Engaging domestic users on demand response for heating cost reduction with a recommendation tool: Case study in Belgrade

The European Union has established a legislative framework that aims to enable consumers and businesses to take information-based decisions to save energy and money. Additionally, the increase of Distributed Energy Resources (both on generation and consumption) requires additional efforts to maintain the reliability and stability of the electric grid and the need of flexibility from residential buildings. The present study introduces a domestic decision support tool for reducing heating costs. This app provides detailed recommendations to end-users based on the day-ahead hourly weather forecast, electric and district heating tariffs predictions, heating demand, and heating systems dynamic performance. The tool was tested in 6 dwellings of a neighborhood of Belgrade during the last months of 2021 heating season (March–May). Energetic results suggest that 40% of participants followed the given recommendations and changed their heating pattern. Additionally, survey results show that end-users found the lack of information and knowledge as the main barrier to actively participate in the energy market, also preferring to have automatic control in their heating system. Authors conclude that recommendation tools are key elements in user-engagement, but they should be supported by additional information and training

Data from Sullivan et al. (2020) Long-term thermal sensitivity of Earth’s tropical forests. Science. DOI: 10.1126/science.aaw7578.

ABSTRACT: The sensitivity of tropical forest carbon to climate is a key uncertainty in predicting global climate change. Although short-term drying and warming are known to affect forests, it is unknown if such effects translate into long-term responses. Here, we analyze 590 permanent plots measured across the tropics to derive the equilibrium climate controls on forest carbon. Maximum temperature is the most important predictor of aboveground biomass (−9.1 megagrams of carbon per hectare per degree Celsius), primarily by reducing woody productivity, and has a greater rate of decline in the hottest forests (>32.2°C). Our results nevertheless reveal greater thermal resilience than observations of short-term variation imply. To realize the long-term climate adaptation potential of tropical forests requires both protecting them and stabilizing Earth’s climate