Minor planet 1566 Icarus: Asteroid or comet?

By employing a cometary nongravitational force model, based on the outgassing of a water ice nucleus, the orbital fits to the optical and radar astrometric data are improved for both Apollo and Icarus. A reliable value for the magnitude of these nongravitational effects can be determined for Icarus, but not Apollo. Because Icarus is less than a kilometer in extent, the small amount of outgassing required to explain its anomalous orbital behavior would probably not be sufficient to create an easily visible coma. While these results do not prove that 1566 Icarus is an active comet masquerading as an asteroid, this object certainly deserves future scrutiny to determine its true identity. A near-Earth asteroid showing cometary activity must represent only the tip of a much larger cometary iceburg. For such an object whose aphelion is well inside Jupiter's orbit, the time scale for losing its volatiles is much shorter than the time scale for evolving out of the inner solar system. Thus, for each active member of the near-Earth asteroid population, there must be many more that are temporarily or permanently inactive

Cometary ephemerides - needs and concerns

With the use of narrow field-of-view instrumentation on faint comets, the accuracy requirements upon computed ephemerides are increasing. It is not uncommon for instruments with a one arc minute field-of-view to be tracking a faint comet that is not visible without a substantial integration time. As with all ephemerides of solar syste objects, the computed motion and reduction of these observations, the computed motion of a comet is further depenent upon effects related to the comet's activity. Thus, the ephemeris of an active comet is corrupted by both observational errors and errors due to the comet's activity

Comet and asteroid dynamics

In order to provide the ground-based observing community and NASA flight projects with accurate comet and asteroids ephemerides, improvements are being made to the existing dynamic models and new data type are being investigated. For active comets, non-gravitational forces must be taken into account; these forces are assumed due to the rocket-like thrusting of outgassing cometary ices

The Comet Halley handbook: An observer's guide

The orbit of Comet Halley is described as well as its expected physical behavior (brightness, tail lengths, coma diameters) in 1985-1986 during which time its preperihelion positon will allow better conditions for Northern Hemisphere observers. Southern Hemisphere observers will prefer post perihelion observation. Ephemeris data for 1981-1987 are presented in tables

Ephemeris data and error analysis in support of a Comet Encke intercept mission

Utilizing an orbit determination based upon 65 observations over the 1961 - 1973 interval, ephemeris data were generated for the 1976-77, 1980-81 and 1983-84 apparitions of short period comet Encke. For the 1980-81 apparition, results from a statistical error analysis are outlined. All ephemeris and error analysis computations include the effects of planetary perturbations as well as the nongravitational accelerations introduced by the outgassing cometary nucleus. In 1980, excellent observing conditions and a close approach of comet Encke to the earth permit relatively small uncertainties in the cometary position errors and provide an excellent opportunity for a close flyby of a physically interesting comet

Orbital error analysis for comet Encke, 1980

Before a particular comet is selected as a flyby target, the following criteria should be considered in determining its ephemeris uncertainty: (1) A target comet should have good observability during the apparition of the proposed intercept; and (2) A target comet should have a good observational history. Several well observed and consecutive apparitions allow an accurate determination of a comet's mean motion and nongravitational parameters. Using these criteria, along with statistical and empirical error analyses, it has been demonstrated that the 1980 apparition of comet Encke is an excellent opportunity for a cometary flyby space probe. For this particular apparition, a flyby to within 1,000 km of comet Encke seems possible without the use of sophisticated and expensive onboard navigation instrumentation

Mesoscale modelling of polymer aggregate digestion

We use mesoscale simulations to gain insight into the digestion of biopolymers by studying the break-up dynamics of polymer aggregates (boluses) bound by physical cross-links. We investigate aggregate evolution, establishing that the linking bead fraction and the interaction energy are the main parameters controlling stability with respect to diffusion. We show $\textit{via}$ a simplified model that chemical breakdown of the constituent molecules causes aggregates that would otherwise be stable to disperse. We further investigate breakdown of biopolymer aggregates in the presence of fluid flow. Shear flow in the absence of chemical breakdown induces three different regimes depending on the flow Weissenberg number ($Wi$). i) At $Wi \ll 1$, shear flow has a negligible effect on the aggregates. ii) At $Wi \sim 1$, the aggregates behave approximately as solid bodies and move and rotate with the flow. iii) At $Wi \gg 1$, the energy input due to shear overcomes the attractive cross-linking interactions and the boluses are broken up. Finally, we study bolus evolution under the combined action of shear flow and chemical breakdown, demonstrating a synergistic effect between the two at high reaction rates

Critical behavior of the Random-Field Ising Magnet with long range correlated disorder

We study the correlated-disorder driven zero-temperature phase transition of the Random-Field Ising Magnet using exact numerical ground-state calculations for cubic lattices. We consider correlations of the quenched disorder decaying proportional to r^a, where r is the distance between two lattice sites and a<0. To obtain exact ground states, we use a well established mapping to the graph-theoretical maximum-flow problem, which allows us to study large system sizes of more than two million spins. We use finite-size scaling analyses for values a={-1,-2,-3,-7} to calculate the critical point and the critical exponents characterizing the behavior of the specific heat, magnetization, susceptibility and of the correlation length close to the critical point. We find basically the same critical behavior as for the RFIM with delta-correlated disorder, except for the finite-size exponent of the susceptibility and for the case a=-1, where the results are also compatible with a phase transition at infinitesimal disorder strength. A summary of this work can be found at the papercore database at www.papercore.org.Comment: 9 pages, 13 figure

Comet and asteroid dynamics

In order to provide observers with accurate ephemerides of comets and asteroids, up-to-date astrometric positions must be used to improve the existing orbits. For active comets, nongravitational forces must be taken into account; these forces are assumed due to the rocket-like effect of outgassing cometary ices and are used to characterize the volatility and rotation properties of icy cometary nuclei. In an effort to improve ephemeris accuracies, the benefits of a new nongravitational force model for comets as well as new radar data types are being investigated. The first successful attempts to improve the orbits of close Earth approaching asteroids using radar data have been completed for asteroids 1982XB and 1986JK. The radar Doppler measurements of 1982XB, made on Dec. 5-6, 1987, were represented to less than 0.1 Hz while the Doppler observations of 1986Jk, made on May 28 - June 1, 1986, were represented to within a few Hz for each of the 11 measurements. Last minute orbit updates for asteroid 324 Bamberga allowed a successful stellar occultation prediction to be made on Dec. 8, 1987. A new paradigm for the cometary nongravitational force model has been successfully tested on a few comets. This new model allows the water vaporization curve to peak on either side of perihelion, thus introducing a nongravitational force via an asymmetric radial force, rather than through a symmetric transverse effect that the old model requires

Mission design for a ballistic slow flyby Comet Encke 1980

Preliminary mission analyses for a proposed 1980 slow flyby (7-9 km/s) of comet Encke are presented. Among the topics covered are science objectives, Encke's physical activity and ephemeris accuracy, trajectory and launch-window analysis, terminal guidance, and spacecraft concepts. The nominal mission plan calls for a near-perihelion intercept with two spacecraft launched on a single launch vehicle. Both spacecraft will arrive at the same time, one passing within 500 km from Encke's nucleus on its sunward side, the other cutting through the tail region. By applying a small propulsive correction about three weeks after the encounter, it is possible to retarget both spacecraft for a second Encke intercept in 1984. The potential science return from the ballistic slow flyby is compared with other proposed mission modes for the 1980 Encke flyby mission, including the widely advocated slow flyby using solar-electric propulsion. It is shown that the ballistic slow flyby is superior in every respect