57 research outputs found
Macro Determinants of Total Factor Productivity in Pakistan
By utilizing the conventional growth accounting framework, this study first estimates the Total Factor Productivity (TFP) in Pakistan and then establishes its macro determinants. Covering the sample from 1960 to 2003, the results confirm that macroeconomic stability, foreign direct investment, and financial sector development play an important role in the increase of TFP. Interestingly, education expenditures turn out to be insignificant.Growth Accounting, Total Factor Productivity, Macro Determinants,Pakistan
Contextual Assessment of Women Empowerment and Its Determinants: Evidence from Pakistan
The main objective of this study is to evaluate women empowerment in different contexts of family planning and economic decision making within the household. Further this paper investigates its appropriate determinants sifting through sociology resource control theory and economic bargaining theory by controlling for socio-cultural intervening factors. We examine this empirically by utilizing extensive micro level data information (15,453 households) from âPakistan Social and Living Standards Measurement Surveyâ (PSLM) for the year of 2005-06. Results suggest the presence of highly constrained and largely dichotomous empowerment within the household. Interestingly, we find that the number of children however not the sex of a child relevant in enhancing womenâs empowerment. Further, the common determinants of empowerment depict varying degree of effectiveness depending on the specific context of empowerment. Moreover, socio-economic, level of education and employment status of a woman depict as effect modifier factors across the empowerment contexts and regions. Furthermore, geographic divisions within Pakistan, significantly explain the contextual empowerment of women.Contextual empowerment; family planning decision making; economic decision making; socio-cultural; ordered logistic regressions.
A Small Open Economy DSGE Model for Pakistan
In recent years there has been a growing interest in
academics, international policy institutions and central banks1 in
developing small-to-medium, even large-scale, open economy macroeconomic
models called Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models based
on new-Keynesian framework.2 The term DSGE was originally used by
Kydland and Prescott (1982) in their seminal contribution on Real
Business Cycle (RBC) model. The RBC model is based on neoclassical
framework with micro-founded optimisation behaviour of economic agents
with flexible prices. One of the critical assumptions of this model is
that fluctuations of real quantities are caused by real shock only; that
is, only stochastic technology or government spending shocks play their
role. Later research in DSGE models however included Keynesian short-run
macroeconomic features (called nominal rigidities), such as Calvo (1983)
type staggered pricing behaviour and Taylor (1980) type wage contracts.
Hence this new DSGE modeling framework labeled as new-neoclassical
synthesis or new-Keynesian modeling paradigm. 3 This new approach
combines micro-foundations of both households and firms optimisation
problems and with a large collection of both nominal and real
(price/wage) rigidities that provide plausible short-run dynamic
macroeconomic fluctuations with a fully articulated description of the
monetary policy transmission mechanism; see, for instance, Christiano,
et al. (2005) and Smets and Wouters (2003). The key advantage of modern
DSGE models, over traditional reduce form macroeconomic models, is that
the structural interpretation of their parameters allows to overcome the
famous Lucas critique (1976).4 Traditional models contained equations
linking variables of interest of explanatory factors such as economic
policy variables. One of the uses of these models was therefore to
examine how a change in economic policy affected these variables of
interest, other things being equal. In using DSGE models for practical
purposes and to recommend how central banks and policy institutions
should react to the short-run fluctuations, it is necessary to first
examine the possible sources,5 as well as to evaluate the degree of
nominal and real rigidities present in the economy. In advanced
economies, like US and EURO area, it is easy to determine the degree of
nominal and real rigidities as these economies are fully documented. In
developing economies like Pakistan, where most of economic activities
are un-documented (also labeled as informal economy, black economy, or
underground economy), it is very difficult to determine the exact degree
of nominal and real rigidities present in the economy. However, one can
approximate results using own judgments and through well defined survey
based method
Causality between Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in the Presence of Growth Volatility: Multi-Country Evidence
Falling energy intensity (increasing efficiency) is believed to be a result of more efficient production methods that have evolved over time, indicating overall sustainability in the production process. The objective of this study is to investigate the diminishing trend of energy intensity and the related volatilities in growth of energy consumption and income growth through the energyâgrowth nexus. The country specific long-run and short-run causal relationships among real energy consumption per capita, real GDP per capita, and the volatilities of growth in income and the growth in energy consumption are established using the method proposed by YamamotoâKurozumi within a cointegration framework in 48 countries. The overall findings suggest that energy intensity is falling, in conjunction with the existing evidence on the energyâgrowth nexus in most of the countries studied; hence, implicitly this confirms sustainability. The results based on volatility analysis show a significant decrease in energy use in response to increasing income growth volatility. The negative effects of income growth volatility on energy consumption are usually countered through compensation measures, with subsidies provided to households and producers in order to smooth the energy consumption behaviours in those economies
Macro Determinants of Total Factor Productivity in Pakistan
By utilizing the conventional growth accounting framework, this study first estimates the Total Factor Productivity (TFP) in Pakistan and then establishes its macro determinants. Covering the sample from 1960 to 2003, the results confirm that macroeconomic stability, foreign direct investment, and financial sector development play an important role in the increase of TFP. Interestingly, education expenditures turn out to be insignificant
An Analysis of Pakistanâs Vulnerability to Economic Crisis
The post 9/11 scenario in Pakistanâs economy can readily be
identified with a host of positive developments. Real GDP growth rates
have averaged around 6 percent since 2002, stock market surges have
broken all the previous records, there is much more dynamism in the
banking industry, capital flows are pouring into the economy, foreign
exchange reserves have swelled to record high levels, and poverty has
witnessed a declining trend. However, what mars these celebrations since
last year is the scepticism of some market commentators on the growing
vulnerability of Pakistanâs economy to crisis.1 The main weakness, as
widely pointed out, remains the sustainability of current account
deficit along with rising fiscal imbalances. A review of empirical
literature on the determinants of currency crisis introduces a host of
macroeconomic fundamentals broadly based on the predictions of the
seminal first- and second-generation models. Although the list of these
determinants varies from study to study, the consensus appears to be on
the sustainability of external and fiscal positions as the main
predictors of a crisis. An overview of the Pakistani fundamentals since
2000 reveals that broadly key Pakistani economic indicators do not give
an immediate cause for concern. However, the emergence of primary budget
balance as a deficit and the growing trade and current account deficits
in the last two years does seem to be a cause for concern
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