How accurate are published recurrence rates after rectal prolapse surgery? A meta-analysis of individual patient data.

BACKGROUND: The literature shows wide variations of recurrence rates (RRs) after abdominal surgery for rectal prolapse. The aim of this meta-analysis was to evaluate the accuracy of published RRs. METHODS: An electronic search was performed with no restrictions. Inclusion criterion was abdominal surgery in at least 10 adults with follow-up evaluation of any length of time. Two reviewers screened 1669 references. A total of 190 investigators were asked to provide individual patient data that should be the same used at the time their reports were written. The RR was estimated by actuarial analysis. Investigators were asked for comments on results. RESULTS: Individual patient data from 6 reports published with 273 patients (186 women, 87 men) with a median age of 54 years (range, 18-88 y) were available. Abdominal surgery included mobilization with pexy (88%), with additional resection (7%), or mobilization only (5%). There were 16 recurrences at a median follow-up period of 3.94 years (range, .05-15.11 y). The effect of age (hazard ratio [HR], 2.010; P = .3443), sex (HR, 2.070; P = .4260), surgical technique (HR, .743; P = .7669), and publication (HR, 1.014; P = .8747) on RR was not significant. Two publications reported a RR of 0. In another report, the published and estimated RRs of 15% did not differ. Published RRs differed from estimated RRs in 3 reports (2.5% vs 4%; 7% vs 54%; and 9.6% vs 36%). The pooled odds ratios of 6 reports revealed a borderline significant difference between the published and estimated RRs (P = .066). CONCLUSIONS: Published RRs differed by as much as 47% from the RRs estimated by actuarial analysis depending on event definition and how the data were censored

Recurrence rates after abdominal surgery for complete rectal prolapse: a multicenter pooled analysis of 643 individual patient data.

PURPOSE: This study was designed to determine what impact surgical technique, means of access, and method of rectopexy have on recurrence rates following abdominal surgery for full-thickness rectal prolapse. METHODS: Consecutive individual patient data on age, gender, surgical technique (mobilization-only, mobilization-resection-pexy, or mobilization-pexy), means of access (open or laparoscopic), rectopexy method (suture or mesh), follow-up length, and recurrences were collected from 15 centers performing abdominal surgery for full-thickness rectal prolapse between 1979 and 2001. Recurrence was defined as the presence of full-thickness rectal prolapse after abdominal surgery. Chi-squared test and Cox proportional hazards regression analysis were used to assess statistical heterogeneity. Recurrence-free curves were generated and compared using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test, respectively. RESULTS: Abdominal surgery consisted of mobilization-only (n = 46), mobilization-resection-pexy (n = 130), or mobilization-pexy (n = 467). There were 643 patients. After excluding center 8, there was homogeneity on recurrence rates among the centers with recurrences (n = 8) for age (hazards ratio, 0.6; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.2-1.7; P = 0.405), gender (hazards ratio, 0.6; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.1-2.3; P = 0.519), and center (hazards ratio, 0.3; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.1-1.5; P = 0.142). However, there was heterogeneity between centers with (n = 8) and without recurrences (n = 6) for gender (P = 0.0003), surgical technique (P \u3c 0.0001), means of access (P = 0.01), and rectopexy method (P \u3c 0.0001). The median length of follow-up of individual centers varied from 4 to 127 months (P \u3c 0.0001). There were 38 recurrences at a median follow-up of 43 (range, 1-235) months. The pooled one-, five-, and ten-year recurrence rates were 1.06, 6.61, and 28.9 percent, respectively. Age, gender, surgical technique, means of access, and rectopexy method had no impact on recurrence rates. CONCLUSIONS: Although this study is likely underpowered, the impact of mobilization-only on recurrence rates was similar to that of other surgical techniques