Residential electricity consumption in the Netherlands: A model-based policy analysis

Electric appliances are an indispensable part of a household and through their sheer number contribute substantially to its electricity consumption. This paper explores potential reductions in residential appliance electricity consumption in the Netherlands with smart meters, using two perspectives: a bottom up engineering approach and a sociotechnical perspective. Through the first, policy scenarios are explored regarding efficiency, smart meter and consumer behaviour while with the second broader factors are considered that affect household electricity consumption.Multi Actor SystemsTechnology, Policy and Managemen

Technology, performance and team adaptation to regulation in Formula 1

This paper looks at how competition, regulation and technology coevolve in Formula 1 and how teams adapt. It does so at two levels: (i) the system level viewing Formula 1 competition as a whole and (ii) the organizational level, viewing team adaptation and car development level. The path this coevolutionary trajectory competition has taken in modern Formula 1 (1970 – 2013), is examined by looking at season results and regulation changes that punctuate its path. The understanding developed through this are summarised in a causal loop diagram and some implications are worked out for the forthcoming 2014 season.Multi Actor SystemsTechnology, Policy and Managemen

The shift to land value taxation: A tale of a different future

In the midst of the current crisis, initially sparked by a housing bubble in the US, tax reform proposals become ever more relevant. The present paper elaborates one such proposal by using system dynamics. It presents the logic of the current property tax and an alternative land value tax system, it compares them and makes the case for the benefits of shifting tax from property to land value. Based on a simulation model consideration is given to the practical repercussions for energy consumption of the modern building stock which is a driver of final primary energy in most countries.Multi-Actor SystemsTechnology, Policy and Managemen

A metaphor for platform development processes

There is considerable research on platform market competition. However, there is significantly less research on governance of the preceding stage of platform development prior to market launch. This paper proposes that the avalanche game is an appropriate metaphor for this. A typical platform development process is outlined and the correspondence between it and the game is drawn and elaborated. In order to explore the role of incentives in platform development, the original simulation model of the formal avalanche game is extended using literature on the incentives of platform development processes. The exploration of the extended model behaviour provides insights about how platform governance incentives may influence platform development process.Policy AnalysisEconomics of Technology and Innovatio

Platform competition processes: A future research outlook

Platform competition for market share can have broad ranging implications within or across industry sectors. It is subject to the complex and changing socioeconomic context in which it unfolds. Three trends provide evidence for this: (i) the number of relevant factors for platform market dominance is steadily increasing, (ii) industries converge, and (iii) historically platform competition cases take less time to unfold. These trends suggest that the delays involved in how relevant factors influence the market outcome of platform competition have been changing ultimately influencing the trade-offs managers face in platform development and competition. Nevertheless, none of the existing frameworks in the literature is equipped to account for delays explicitly. Hence, no empirical studies based on these frameworks take this directly into consideration either. The article argues that a way forward is the systematic use of modelling and simulation when applying these frameworks to platform competition cases and outlines the research agenda this opens up.Policy AnalysisEconomics of Technology and Innovatio

Modelling interface standards battles : A retroductive system dynamics approach

Competition between technology standards for market share is a complicated phenomenon where a large number of factors have an impact on the outcome according to the literature. Inevitably studying their influence, for example the timing of market entry, is a challenge. The generic simulation model presented here builds on previous work and is applied to four cases of standard competition from the literature. Following a retroductive research design, reproducing the results of each case the model provides support for the soundness of the underlying theoretical framework used to analyse the case studies. It thus increases the confidence in its validity and provides a formal basis for further empirical and theoretical work.Policy AnalysisEconomics of Technology and Innovatio

Factors for winning Format Battles: A modelling approach

There is considerable literature on format competition with several review articles establishing lists of factors that are thought to apply broadly in such contexts. However, the literature is not unequivocal regarding some factors that apparently can have a reinforcing or balancing effect on format adoption and dominance. This paper attempts to transfer a recent theoretical framework proposed in the literature to a system dynamics generic model. It is intended to validate the hypothesis that the factors listed in the literature actually result in format dominance. Furthermore, it will allow an exploration into whether there are other intermediary factors underlying those listed as important, and look at what the ambiguity of some of them implies for the dynamics of format competition.Multi Actor SystemsTechnology, Policy and Managemen

Understanding platform competition through simulation: a research outline

Platform competition shapes and is shaped by a constantly changing socioeconomic context. Three trends provide evidence for this: (i) the number of firm level relevant factors for platform success is steadily increasing, (ii) contemporary cases of platform competition take less time to unfold, and (iii) industries converge. These trends suggest that there is a change: in the time required for relevant factors to influence platform competition, and in the trade-offs managers face when they take actions in platform development and competition, to influence the market outcome of such processes. Current frameworks in the literature do not account explicitly for such timing issues. The use of modelling and simulation, along empirical cases, is a way to incorporate timing and strategic action delays in platform competition research. We explore the multi-level research agenda this opens up and develop nine research questions for platform competition research.Green Open Access added to TU Delft Institutional Repository ‘You share, we take care!’ – Taverne project https://www.openaccess.nl/en/you-share-we-take-care Otherwise as indicated in the copyright section: the publisher is the copyright holder of this work and the author uses the Dutch legislation to make this work public.Policy AnalysisEconomics of Technology and Innovatio

The governance of platform development processes: A metaphor and a simulation model

Platform market competition has been extensively researched, but the governance of the platform development process prior to market launch has received little attention. We develop a system dynamics simulation model using the avalanche game as a metaphor for platform development. We describe a typical platform development process, and show how this process corresponds to the game. To examine the role of incentives for consensus building in platform development, we extend the original simulation model of the avalanche game using literature on platform development. This provides insights about how platform governance incentives influence the platform development process. Specifically, we find that under high degrees of urgency, consensus is achieved more quickly when a greater number of participants are involved in a standards committee. We explain this counterintuitive notion by making use of the literature on decision-making in networks of interdependencies.Green Open Access added to TU Delft Institutional Repository ‘You share, we take care!’ – Taverne project https://www.openaccess.nl/en/you-share-we-take-care Otherwise as indicated in the copyright section: the publisher is the copyright holder of this work and the author uses the Dutch legislation to make this work public.Economics of Technology and InnovationMulti Actor System

Prospects of modelling societal transitions: Position paper of an emerging community

Policy AnalysisEnergy & Industr