2 research outputs found
Systemic Risk and Default Clustering for Large Financial Systems
As it is known in the finance risk and macroeconomics literature,
risk-sharing in large portfolios may increase the probability of creation of
default clusters and of systemic risk. We review recent developments on
mathematical and computational tools for the quantification of such phenomena.
Limiting analysis such as law of large numbers and central limit theorems allow
to approximate the distribution in large systems and study quantities such as
the loss distribution in large portfolios. Large deviations analysis allow us
to study the tail of the loss distribution and to identify pathways to default
clustering. Sensitivity analysis allows to understand the most likely ways in
which different effects, such as contagion and systematic risks, combine to
lead to large default rates. Such results could give useful insights into how
to optimally safeguard against such events.Comment: in Large Deviations and Asymptotic Methods in Finance, (Editors: P.
Friz, J. Gatheral, A. Gulisashvili, A. Jacqier, J. Teichmann) , Springer
Proceedings in Mathematics and Statistics, Vol. 110 2015