Unexpected gamma-ray signal in the vicinity of 1ES 0229+200

We report on an unidentified gamma-ray signal found in the region around the BL Lac object 1ES 0229+200. It was recognized serendipitously in our analysis of 6.2 years of Fermi-LAT data at a distance less than 3{\deg} away from the blazar. The observed excess of counts manifests itself as an unexpected local maximum in the test statistic map. Although several Fermi-LAT sources have been identified in this area we were not able to link them to the position of this residual signal. A clear association with sources visible in other wavebands was not successful either. We briefly discuss characteristics of this unresolved phenomenon. Our results suggest a steep energy spectrum and a point-like nature of this candidate gamma-ray emitter.Comment: In Proceedings of the 34th International Cosmic Ray Conference (ICRC2015), The Hague, The Netherland

Description of longitudinal profiles of showers dominated by Cherenkov light

With the aim to describe the longitudinal development of Cherenkov dominated showers we investigate the energy deposit and the number of charged particles in air showers induced by energetic cosmic rays. Based on the Monte Carlo simulations, discrepancies between different estimates of calorimetric energies are documented. We focus on the energy deposit profiles of air showers deducible from the fluorescence and Cherenkov light generated along CONEX and CORSIKA cascades

A Bayesian on-off analysis of cosmic ray data

We deal with the analysis of on-off measurements designed for the confirmation of a weak source of events whose presence is hypothesized, based on former observations. The problem of a small number of source events that are masked by an imprecisely known background is addressed from a Bayesian point of view. We examine three closely related variables, the posterior distributions of which carry relevant information about various aspects of the investigated phenomena. This information is utilized for predictions of further observations, given actual data. Backed by details of detection, we propose how to quantify disparities between different measurements. The usefulness of the Bayesian inference is demonstrated on examples taken from cosmic ray physics

On Bayesian analysis of on-off measurements

We propose an analytical solution to the on-off problem within the framework of Bayesian statistics. Both the statistical significance for the discovery of new phenomena and credible intervals on model parameters are presented in a consistent way. We use a large enough family of prior distributions of relevant parameters. The proposed analysis is designed to provide Bayesian solutions that can be used for any number of observed on-off events, including zero. The procedure is checked using Monte Carlo simulations. The usefulness of the method is demonstrated on examples from gamma-ray astronomy

Testing time variability of gamma-ray flux

A way of examining a hypothetical non--zero $\gamma$--ray signal for the time changes is presented. The time variability of the recently observed $\gamma$--ray source PKS 2155--304 is discussed. Several measurements were found to be excessive or deficient with large significances on time scales of months and days

A branching model for hadronic air showers

We introduce a simple branching model for the development of hadronic showers in the Earth's atmosphere. Based on this model, we show how the size of the pionic component followed by muons can be estimated. Several aspects of the subsequent muonic component are also discussed. We focus on the energy evolution of the muon production depth. We also estimate the impact of the primary particle mass on the size of the hadronic component. Even though a precise calculation of the development of air showers must be left to complex Monte Carlo simulations, the proposed model can reveal qualitative insight into the air shower physics.Comment: In Proceedings of the 34th International Cosmic Ray Conference (ICRC2015), The Hague, The Netherland

Significance for signal changes in gamma-ray astronomy

We describe a straightforward modification of frequently invoked methods for the determination of the statistical significance of a gamma-ray signal observed in a counting process. A simple criterion is proposed to decide whether a set of measurements of the numbers of photons registered in the source and background regions is consistent with the assumption of a constant source activity. This method is particularly suitable for immediate evaluation of the stability of the observed gamma-ray signal. It is independent of the exposure estimates, reducing thus the impact of systematic inaccuracies, and properly accounts for the fluctuations in the number of detected photons. The usefulness of the method is demonstrated on several examples. We discuss intensity changes for gamma-ray emitters detected at very high energies by the current gamma-ray telescopes (e.g. 1ES 0229+200, 1ES 1959+650 and PG 1553+113). Some of the measurements are quantified to be exceptional with large statistical significances.Comment: In Proceedings of the 34th International Cosmic Ray Conference (ICRC2015), The Hague, The Netherland

Study of Dispersion of Mass Distribution of Ultra-High Energy Cosmic Rays using a Surface Array of Muon and Electromagnetic Detectors

We consider a hypothetical observatory of ultra-high energy cosmic rays consisting of two surface detector arrays that measure independently electromagnetic and muon signals induced by air showers. Using the constant intensity cut method, sets of events ordered according to each of both signal sizes are compared giving the number of matched events. Based on its dependence on the zenith angle, a parameter sensitive to the dispersion of the distribution of the logarithmic mass of cosmic rays is introduced. The results obtained using two post-LHC models of hadronic interactions are very similar and indicate a weak dependence on details of these interactions.Comment: 16 pages, 5 figures, manuscript accepted to Astroparticle Physic

Mass Composition of Cosmic Rays with Combined Surface Detector Arrays

Our study exploits the Constant Intensity Cut principles applied simultaneously to muonic and electromagnetic detectors of cosmic rays. We use the fact that the ordering of events according to their signal sizes induced in different types of surface detectors provides information about the mass composition of primary cosmic-ray beam, with low sensitivity to details of hadronic interactions. Composition analysis at knee energies is performed using Monte Carlo simulations for extensive air showers having maxima located far away from a hypothetical observatory. Another type of a hypothetical observatory is adopted to examine composition of ultra-high energy primaries which initiate vertical air showers with maxima observed near surface detectors.Comment: Accepted for publication on PoS, PoS(ICRC2017)482, Proceedings of the 35th ICRC 2017, Busan, Kore

The Cherenkov transparency coefficient for the atmospheric monitoring and array calibration at the Cherenkov Telescope Array South

Reconstruction of energies of very-high-energy gamma-rays observed by imaging atmospheric Cherenkov telescopes is affected by changes in the atmospheric conditions and the performance of telescope components. Reliable calibration schemes aimed at these effects are necessary for the forthcoming Cherenkov Telescope Array (CTA) to achieve its goals on the maximally allowed systematic uncertainty of the global energy scale. A possible means of estimating the atmospheric attenuation of Cherenkov light is the method of the Cherenkov transparency coefficient (CTC). The CTC is calculated using the telescope detection rates, dominated by the steady cosmic ray background, while properly correcting for the hardware and observational conditions. The coefficient can also be used to relatively calibrate the optical throughput of telescopes on the assumption of homogeneous atmospheric transparency above the array. Using Monte Carlo simulations, we investigate here the potential of the CTC method for the atmospheric monitoring and telescope cross-calibration at the CTA array in the southern hemisphere. We focus on the feasibility of the method for the array of telescopes of three sizes in different observation configurations and under various levels of atmospheric attenuation.Comment: Proceedings of the ICRC 2019 PoS(ICRC2019)80