Linking Decision Theory and Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment: Tradeoffs Between Compliance and Efficacy for Waterborne Disease Interventions

Achieving health gains from the U.N. Sustainable Development Goals of universal coverage for water and sanitation will require interventions that can be widely adopted and maintained. Effectiveness—how an intervention performs based on actual use—as opposed to efficacy will therefore be central to evaluations of new and existing interventions. Incomplete compliance—when people do not always use the intervention and are therefore exposed to contamination—is thought to be responsible for the lower‐than‐expected risk reductions observed from water, sanitation, and hygiene interventions based on their efficacy at removing pathogens. We explicitly incorporated decision theory into a quantitative microbial risk assessment model. Specifically, we assume that the usability of household water treatment (HWT) devices (filters and chlorine) decreases as they become more efficacious due to issues such as taste or flow rates. Simulations were run to examine the tradeoff between device efficacy and usability. For most situations, HWT interventions that trade lower efficacy (i.e., remove less pathogens) for higher compliance (i.e., better usability) contribute substantial reductions in diarrheal disease risk compared to devices meeting current World Health Organization efficacy guidelines. Recommendations that take into account both the behavioral and microbiological properties of treatment devices are likely to be more effective at reducing the burden of diarrheal disease than current standards that only consider efficacy.Peer Reviewedhttps://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/151809/1/risa13381.pdfhttps://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/151809/2/risa13381-sup-0001-Appendix.pdfhttps://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/151809/3/risa13381_am.pd

Transient and Highly Polarized Double-Peaked H-alpha Emission in the Seyfert 2 Nucleus of NGC 2110

We have discovered an extremely broad, double-peaked H-alpha emission line in the polarized flux spectrum of NGC 2110, establishing that this well-studied Seyfert 2 galaxy contains a disk-like hidden broad-line region (BLR). Several properties of NGC 2110 suggest that it is an obscured twin of Arp 102B, the prototypical double-peaked emission-line active galactic nucleus (AGN). A comparison between our data and previous spectra of NGC 2110 indicates that the double-peaked H-alpha feature is transient. The presence of a disk-like BLR in NGC 2110 has important implications for AGNs: it expands the range of properties exhibited by Seyfert 2 galaxies, and the fact that the BLR is obscured by a torus-like structure provides the first evidence that double-peaked emitters and classical Seyfert nuclei may have the same basic parsec-scale geometry.Comment: 5 pages, including 3 postscript figures. Uses emulateapj. Accepted for publication in ApJ Letter

Pion-Nucleon Scattering in a Large-N Sigma Model

We review the large-N_c approach to meson-baryon scattering, including recent interesting developments. We then study pion-nucleon scattering in a particular variant of the linear sigma-model, in which the couplings of the sigma and pi mesons to the nucleon are echoed by couplings to the entire tower of I=J baryons (including the Delta) as dictated by large-N_c group theory. We sum the complete set of multi-loop meson-exchange \pi N --> \pi N and \pi N --> \sigma N Feynman diagrams, to leading order in 1/N_c. The key idea, reviewed in detail, is that large-N_c allows the approximation of LOOP graphs by TREE graphs, so long as the loops contain at least one baryon leg; trees, in turn, can be summed by solving classical equations of motion. We exhibit the resulting partial-wave S-matrix and the rich nucleon and Delta resonance spectrum of this simple model, comparing not only to experiment but also to pion-nucleon scattering in the Skyrme model. The moral is that much of the detailed structure of the meson-baryon S-matrix which hitherto has been uncovered only with skyrmion methods, can also be described by models with explicit baryon fields, thanks to the 1/N_c expansion.Comment: This LaTeX file inputs the ReVTeX macropackage; figures accompany i

Spin diffusion in doped semiconductors

The behavior of spin diffusion in doped semiconductors is shown to be qualitatively different than in undoped (intrinsic) ones. Whereas a spin packet in an intrinsic semiconductor must be a multiple-band disturbance, involving inhomogeneous distributions of both electrons and holes, in a doped semiconductor a single-band disturbance is possible. For n-doped nonmagnetic semiconductors the enhancement of diffusion due to a degenerate electron sea in the conduction band is much larger for these single-band spin packets than for charge packets, and can exceed an order of magnitude at low temperatures even for equilibrium dopings as small as 10^16 cm^-3. In n-doped ferromagnetic and semimagnetic semiconductors the motion of spin packets polarized antiparallel to the equilibrium carrier spin polarization is predicted to be an order of magnitude faster than for parallel polarized spin packets. These results are reversed for p-doped semiconductors.Comment: 8 pages, 4 figure

Soliton quantization and internal symmetry

We apply the method of collective coordinate quantization to a model of solitons in two spacetime dimensions with a global $U(1)$ symmetry. In particular we consider the dynamics of the charged states associated with rotational excitations of the soliton in the internal space and their interactions with the quanta of the background field (mesons). By solving a system of coupled saddle-point equations we effectively sum all tree-graphs contributing to the one-point Green's function of the meson field in the background of a rotating soliton. We find that the resulting one-point function evaluated between soliton states of definite $U(1)$ charge exhibits a pole on the meson mass shell and we extract the corresponding S-matrix element for the decay of an excited state via the emission of a single meson using the standard LSZ reduction formula. This S-matrix element has a natural interpretation in terms of an effective Lagrangian for the charged soliton states with an explicit Yukawa coupling to the meson field. We calculate the leading-order semi-classical decay width of the excited soliton states discuss the consequences of these results for the hadronic decay of the $\Delta$ resonance in the Skyrme model.Comment: 23 pages, LA-UR-93-299

Skyrmion Quantization and the Decay of the Delta

We present the complete solution to the so-called ``Yukawa problem'' of the Skyrme model. This refers to the perceived difficulty of reproducing---purely from soliton physics---the usual pseudovector pion-nucleon coupling, echoed by pion coupling to the higher spin/isospin baryons $(I=J=3/2 , 5/2 , \cdots , N_c/2 )$ in a manner fixed by large-$N_c$ group theory. The solution involves surprisingly elegant interplay between the classical and quantum properties of a new configuration, the ``new improved skyrmion''. This is the near-hedgehog obtained by minimizing the usual skyrmion mass functional augmented by an all-important isorotational kinetic term. The numerics are pleasing: a $\Delta$ decay width within a few MeV of its measured value, and furthermore, the higher-spin baryons $(I=J \ge 5/2 )$ with widths so large ($\Gamma > 800 MeV$) that these undesirable large-$N_c$ artifacts effectively drop out of the spectrum, and pose no phenomenological problem. Beyond these specific results, we ground the Skyrme model in the Feynman Path Integral, and set up a transparent collective coordinate formalism that makes maximal use of the $1/N_c$ expansion. This approach elucidates the connection between skyrmions on the one hand, and Feynman diagrams in an effective field theory on the other.Comment: This TeX file inputs the macropackage harvmac.tex . Choose the ``b'' (big) option or equations will overrun

New Techniques for High-Contrast Imaging with ADI: the ACORNS-ADI SEEDS Data Reduction Pipeline

We describe Algorithms for Calibration, Optimized Registration, and Nulling the Star in Angular Differential Imaging (ACORNS-ADI), a new, parallelized software package to reduce high-contrast imaging data, and its application to data from the SEEDS survey. We implement several new algorithms, including a method to register saturated images, a trimmed mean for combining an image sequence that reduces noise by up to ~20%, and a robust and computationally fast method to compute the sensitivity of a high-contrast observation everywhere on the field-of-view without introducing artificial sources. We also include a description of image processing steps to remove electronic artifacts specific to Hawaii2-RG detectors like the one used for SEEDS, and a detailed analysis of the Locally Optimized Combination of Images (LOCI) algorithm commonly used to reduce high-contrast imaging data. ACORNS-ADI is written in python. It is efficient and open-source, and includes several optional features which may improve performance on data from other instruments. ACORNS-ADI requires minimal modification to reduce data from instruments other than HiCIAO. It is freely available for download at www.github.com/t-brandt/acorns-adi under a BSD license.Comment: 15 pages, 9 figures, accepted to ApJ. Replaced with accepted version; mostly minor changes. Software update

Surveillance for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in a Medicaid Cirrhotic Population

To estimate hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance in the Medicaid cirrhotic population

CHARIS Science: Performance Simulations for the Subaru Telescope's Third-Generation of Exoplanet Imaging Instrumentation

We describe the expected scientific capabilities of CHARIS, a high-contrast integral-field spectrograph (IFS) currently under construction for the Subaru telescope. CHARIS is part of a new generation of instruments, enabled by extreme adaptive optics (AO) systems (including SCExAO at Subaru), that promise greatly improved contrasts at small angular separation thanks to their ability to use spectral information to distinguish planets from quasistatic speckles in the stellar point-spread function (PSF). CHARIS is similar in concept to GPI and SPHERE, on Gemini South and the Very Large Telescope, respectively, but will be unique in its ability to simultaneously cover the entire near-infrared $J$, $H$, and $K$ bands with a low-resolution mode. This extraordinarily broad wavelength coverage will enable spectral differential imaging down to angular separations of a few $\lambda/D$, corresponding to $\sim$0.\!\!''1. SCExAO will also offer contrast approaching $10^{-5}$ at similar separations, $\sim$0.\!\!''1--0.\!\!''2. The discovery yield of a CHARIS survey will depend on the exoplanet distribution function at around 10 AU. If the distribution of planets discovered by radial velocity surveys extends unchanged to $\sim$20 AU, observations of $\sim$200 mostly young, nearby stars targeted by existing high-contrast instruments might find $\sim$1--3 planets. Carefully optimizing the target sample could improve this yield by a factor of a few, while an upturn in frequency at a few AU could also increase the number of detections. CHARIS, with a higher spectral resolution mode of $R \sim 75$, will also be among the best instruments to characterize planets and brown dwarfs like HR 8799 cde and $\kappa$ And b.Comment: 13 pages, 7 figures, proceedings from SPIE Montrea