Airspace Technology Demonstration 2 (ATD-2): Analysis of APREQ Flights at CLT

5/22/2019 National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1 Airspace Technology Demonstration 2 (ATD-2) Analysis of APREQ Flights at CLT May 22, 2019 5/22/2019 Objective 2 Quantify impact of IADS Phase 1 & 2 capabilities on APREQ flights at CLT with respect to: Compliance to the Controlled Take Off Time (CTOT) Benefits for APREQ flights that use IDAC to renegotiate for an earlier CTOT Benefits of pre-scheduling APREQ flights using the Earliest Off Block Time (EOBT) Relationship between EOBT compliance and rescheduling CTOT 5/22/2019 CLT APREQ Daily Compliance(Compliance Improvement Since ATD-2 Start) 3 Steady increase of APREQ compliance over the life of the project. Reduced variation in compliance leading to improved predictability. In addition to overall improved compliance into TBM systems, the predictability is increasing 5/22/2019 APREQ Compliance 10K Rolling Window 4 The most substantial APREQ compliance improvements started with Phase 2 capability (AEFS integration, ZTL IDAC, pre-scheduling and scheduler updates). 5/22/2019 IADS Phase 1 & 2 Benefit Mechanisms 5 1. Collaborative surface metering Reduced engine run time Reduced fuel consumption and emissions 2. Overhead stream operational integration a.Scheduling controlled flights at the gate Reduced engine run time Reduced fuel consumption and emissions b.APREQ renegotiating for an earlier slot Reduced total delay Passenger value of time and crew costs Reduced engine run time Reduced fuel consumption and emissions Benefits (1) and (2a) achieved through tactical gate holds Benefit (2b) achieved through APREQ renegotiation process described below Step 1: APREQ flight has a release time but is capable of taking off earlier Step 2: FAA TMC uses the IDAC green space / red space to identify and request an earlierslot in the overhead stream Step 3: Aircraft receives earlierrelease time and the difference between the release times is the reduction in delay 5/22/2019 Benefits for APREQ flights using IDAC to renegotiate for earlierCTOT 6 LBS Fuel 270.7 hours of delay saved by electronically renegotiating a better overhead stream time for 2,071 flights. The benefits described here are associated with better use of existing capacity in the overhead stream, and technology to reduce surface delay. These benefits are in addition to (distinct from) surface metering savings. 5/22/2019 APREQ Delay For Pre-Scheduled Flights into KATL Have Been Reduced and are More Predictable For the Last Five Months 7 Substantial Improvements in predictability of delay for the last 5 months 5/22/2019 EOBT Compliance / CTOT Reschedulefor Pre-Scheduled Flights into KATL 8 5/22/2019 Wrap-up 9 Compliance to the CTOT has improved throughout the lifecycle of ATD-2 with biggest improvements following the introduction of Phase 2 capabilities Rescheduling APREQ flights using IDAC has reduced 270.7 hours of delay at CLT Predictability of local surface delay for APREQ flights is substantially improved via pre-scheduling with the IADS system Pre-scheduled flights that reschedule for later times tend to call ready later with respect to EOB

Predictive Analytics for ATD-2

This presentation describes on-going work to leverage high quality data and predictive analytics to improve understanding and performance of IADS system

Prediction of Pushback Times and Ramp Taxi Times for Departures at Charlotte Airport

When optimizing the takeoff sequence and schedule for departures at busy airports, it is important to accurately predict the taxi times from gate to runway because those are used to calculate the earliest possible takeoff times. Several airports like Charlotte Douglas International Airport show relatively long taxi times inside the ramp area with large variations, with respect to the travel times in the airport movement area. Also, the pushback process times have not been accurately modeled so far mainly due to the lack of accurate data. The recent deployment of the integrated arrival, departure, and surface traffic management system at Charlotte airport by NASA enables more accurate flight data in the airport surface operations to be obtained. Taking advantage of this system, actual pushback times and ramp taxi times from historical flight data at this airport are analyzed. Based on the analysis, a simple, data-driven prediction model is introduced for estimating pushback times and ramp transit times of individual departure flights. To evaluate the performance of this prediction model, several machine learning techniques are also applied to the same dataset. The prediction results show that the data-driven prediction model is as good as the machine learning algorithms when comparing various prediction performance metrics

Integration of Uncertain Ramp Area Aircraft Trajectories and Generation of Optimal Taxiway Schedules at Charlotte Douglas (CLT) Airport

The integration of aircraft maneuver characteristics into an optimal taxiway scheduling solution is challenging due to the uncertainties that are intrinsic to ramp area aircraft trajectories. To address the challenge, we build a stochastic model of ramp area aircraft trajectories that is used to generate a probabilistic measure of conflict within the Charlotte Douglas International Airport (CLT) ramp area. Parameters of the conflict distributions are estimated and passed to a Mixed Integer Linear Program that solves for an optimal taxiway schedule constrained to be conflict free in the presence of trajectory uncertainties. Here we extend our previous research by accounting for departing and arriving aircraft whereas our prior formulation only accounted for departing aircraft

Scheduling Improvements Following the Phase 1 Field Evaluation of the ATD-2 Integrated Arrival, Departure, and Surface Concept

NASA is conducting the Airspace Technology Demonstration-2 to evaluate an Integrated Arrival, Departure, and Surface (IADS) traffic management system that extends traffic sequencing for the entire life-cycle of a flight from departure gate to arrival gate within multi-airport, metroplex environments. After development and testing in human-in-the-loop simulations, the IADS system was deployed to Charlotte Douglas International Airport for a three-year field evaluation. From the initial IADS concept development through the end of the Phase 1 field evaluation many lessons were learned with regards to the IADS scheduler. In this paper we describe how data from the Phase 1 field evaluation helped identify scheduler improvements and guided the implementation of refinements. The improvements in the IADS scheduler described in this paper are incorporated into the IADS Phase 2 scheduler enabling strategic Surface Metering Programs and will be evaluated during the field evaluation

Field Evaluation of the Baseline Integrated Arrival, Departure, and Surface Capabilities at Charlotte Douglas International Airport

NASA is currently developing a suite of decision support capabilities for integrated arrival, departure, and surface (IADS) operations in a metroplex environment. The effort is being made in three phases, under NASA's Airspace Technology Demonstration 2 (ATD-2) sub-project, through a strong partnership with the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), air carriers, airport, and general aviation community. The Phase 1 Baseline IADS capabilities provide enhanced operational efficiency and predictability of flight operations through data exchange and integration, tactical surface metering, and automated coordination of release time of controlled flights for overhead stream insertion. The users of the IADS system include the personnel at the Charlotte Douglas International Airport (CLT) air traffic control tower, American Airlines ramp tower, CLT terminal radar approach control (TRACON), and Washington Center. This paper describes the Phase 1 Baseline IADS capabilities and field evaluation conducted at CLT from September 2017 for a year. From the analysis of operations data, it is estimated that 538,915 kilograms of fuel savings, and 1,659 metric tons of CO2 emission reduction were achieved during the period with a total of 944 hours of engine run time reduction. The amount of CO2 savings is estimated as equivalent to planting 42,560 urban trees. The results have also shown that the surface metering had no negative impact on on-time arrival performance of both outbound and inbound flights. The technology transfer of Phase 1 Baseline IADS capabilities has been made to the FAA and aviation industry, and the development of additional capabilities for the subsequent phases is underway

A Data-Driven Analysis of a Tactical Surface Scheduler

NASA's Airspace Technology Demonstration-2 (ATD-2) integrates arrival, departure, and surface operations to extend integrated traffic sequencing all the way from the gate to the overhead stream and back again for multi-airport, metroplex environments. A key concept of ATD-2 centers on surface scheduling that allows aircraft to taxi, climb, and insert within the overhead stream with minimal interruptions. A core principle is to allow aircraft to absorb delay at the gate prior to engine start in order to reduce overall fuel burn and emissions. To achieve these goals, it is necessary for the scheduler to properly balance the demand at the runway with the available capacity while also predicting accurate takeoff times. This paper provides a data-driven analysis of the runway demand capacity balancing and measures the accuracy of schedules that are generated while running in a live operational environment at the Charlotte Douglas International Airport. We found that using minimum-time wake vortex separation constraints to define runway capacity resulted in scheduling departure operations at a slightly higher rate than the runway was operating and we discovered a surprising relationship between the runway rate and the accuracy of the schedules

Prediction of Pushback Times and Ramp Taxi Times for Departures at Charlotte Airport

When optimizing the takeoff sequence and schedule for departures at busy airports, it is important to accurately predict the taxi times from gate to runway because those are used to calculate the earliest possible takeoff times. Several airports like Charlotte Douglas International Airport show relatively long taxi times inside the ramp area with large variations, with respect to the travel times in the airport movement area. Also, the pushback process times have not been accurately modeled so far mainly due to the lack of accurate data. The recent deployment of the integrated arrival, departure, and surface traffic management system at Charlotte airport by NASA enables more accurate flight data in the airport surface operations to be obtained. Taking advantage of this system, actual pushback times and ramp taxi times from historical flight data at this airport are analyzed. Based on the analysis, a simple, data-driven prediction model is introduced for estimating pushback times and ramp transit times of individual departure flights. To evaluate the performance of this prediction model, several machine learning techniques are also applied to the same dataset. The prediction results show that the data-driven prediction model is as good as the machine learning algorithms when comparing various prediction performance metrics

Scheduling Improvements Following the Phase 1 Field Evaluation of the ATD-2 Integrated Arrival, Departure, and Surface Concept

NASA is conducting the Airspace Technology Demonstration-2 (ATD-2) to evaluate an Integrated Arrival, Departure, and Surface (IADS) traffic management system that extends traffic sequencing for the entire life-cycle of a flight from departure gate to arrival gate within multi-airport, metroplex environments. After development and testing in human-in-the-loop simulations, the IADS system was deployed to Charlotte Douglas International Airport for a three-year field evaluation. From the initial IADS concept development through the end of the Phase 1 field evaluation many lessons were learned with regards to the IADS scheduler. In this paper we describe how data from the Phase 1 field evaluation helped identify scheduler improvements and guided the implementation of refinements. The improvements in the IADS scheduler described in this paper are incorporated into the IADS Phase 2 scheduler enabling strategic Surface Metering Programs and will be evaluated during the field evaluation

Alternatives for Scheduling Departures for Efficient Surface Metering in ATD-2: Exploration in a Human-in-the-Loop Simulation

Human-in-the-Loop (HITL) simulation was conducted to explore the impacts of various surface metering goals on operations and Ramp Controllers at Charlotte Douglas International Airport (CLT). Three conditions were compared: Baseline, with no surface metering, instructions to meet advisory times at the gate only, and instructions to meet advisory times at the gate as well as the times at the scheduled taxiway spot, where aircraft are delivered to Air Traffic Control (ATC). Results showed increased compliance for taxiway spot times when compliance was first met for gate advisories. Instructing Ramp Controllers to meet advisory times at the gate improves spot time compliance and therefore surface scheduling predictability at CLT. Results also demonstrated there was increased compliance overall with gate and spot times in the second condition. This was likely due to higher Ramp Controller workload in the third condition