Does It Pay to Be Informed? Expenditure Efficiency in the US Mutual Fund Industry

The mutual fund industry would like us to believe that fund expenses are justifiable by their extensive management expertise, security analysis and the consequent delivery of returns that exceed the market performance. Management know-how is costly and thus it drives up the expenditure of actively managed mutual funds and potentially lowers their net returns. Nevertheless the fund managers argue that their contributions to the returns fully outweigh their costs and in general their trading strategies add value to the investors. On the other hand many academics hold that such claims are fundamentally misleading and actively managed funds cannot continuously outperform a market index. [excerpt

Risk, Return and Portfolio Allocation under Alternative Pension Arrangements with Imperfect Financial Markets

This paper uses stochastic simulations on calibrated models to assess the steady state impact of different pension arrangements in an environment where financial markets are less than perfect. Surprisingly little is known about the optimal split between funded and unfunded systems when there are sources of uninsurable risk that are allocated in different ways by different types of pension system and where there are imperfections in financial markets (eg transactions costs or adverse selection) . This paper calculates the expected welfare of agents in different economies where in the steady state the importance of unfunded, state pensions differs. We estimate how the optimal level of unfunded, state pensions depends on rate of return and income risks and also upon the actuarial fairness of annuity contracts. We focus on the case of Japan where aging is rapid and unfunded pensions are currently generous.Pensions; portfolio allocation, demographics; annuities; risk-sharing

Synthesis through Unification

Given a specification and a set of candidate programs (program space), the program synthesis problem is to find a candidate program that satisfies the specification. We present the synthesis through unification (STUN) approach, which is an extension of the counter-example guided inductive synthesis (CEGIS) approach. In CEGIS, the synthesizer maintains a subset S of inputs and a candidate program Prog that is correct for S. The synthesizer repeatedly checks if there exists a counter-example input c such that the execution of Prog is incorrect on c. If so, the synthesizer enlarges S to include c, and picks a program from the program space that is correct for the new set S. The STUN approach extends CEGIS with the idea that given a program Prog that is correct for a subset of inputs, the synthesizer can try to find a program Prog' that is correct for the rest of the inputs. If Prog and Prog' can be unified into a program in the program space, then a solution has been found. We present a generic synthesis procedure based on the STUN approach and specialize it for three different domains by providing the appropriate unification operators. We implemented these specializations in prototype tools, and we show that our tools often per- forms significantly better on standard benchmarks than a tool based on a pure CEGIS approach

The Opinion Game: Stock price evolution from microscopic market modelling

We propose a class of Markovian agent based models for the time evolution of a share price in an interactive market. The models rely on a microscopic description of a market of buyers and sellers who change their opinion about the stock value in a stochastic way. The actual price is determined in realistic way by matching (clearing) offers until no further transactions can be performed. Some analytic results for a non-interacting model are presented. We also propose basic interaction mechanisms and show in simulations that these already reproduce certain particular features of prices in real stock markets.Comment: 14 pages, 5 figure

The Progressivity of Income Taxation: A Comparison between Quebec and Ontario

This study compares the progressivity of the income tax of Quebec and Ontario. After observing the predominance of income taxation in Quebec and Ontario, by way of international and interprovincial comparisons and illustrating the presence of progressivity in both provinces, progressivity indicators are described. Using these indicators, we measured the progressivity of the Quebec and Ontario tax systems for four different family situations and six levels of income. The results show that in certain situations, Quebec’s tax system is more progressive while in others, the reverse is true. More specifically, Quebec’s tax system is more progressive for changes in income at the lower end of the income scale while in general Ontario’s system is more progressive for higher incomes. These results confirm the greater concentration of Ontario’s income tax on high-income taxpayers that we have previously illustrated in the study. L’étude compare la progressivité des impôts sur le revenu du Québec et de l’Ontario. Après avoir constaté l’importance de l’imposition du revenu au Québec et en Ontario, par des comparaisons internationales et interprovinciales, et avoir illustré la présence de progressivité dans les deux cas, nous présentons des indicateurs de progressivité. À l’aide de ces indicateurs, nous avons mesuré la progressivité des régimes d’imposition québécois et ontarien pour quatre situations familiales différentes et pour six niveaux de revenus. Les résultats montrent que, dans certaines situations, la progressivité est plus grande au Québec alors que, dans d’autres cas, la progressivité est supérieure en Ontario. Plus précisément, la progressivité est plus grande au Québec pour les variations de revenus au bas de l’échelle des revenus tandis qu’elle est en général plus élevée en Ontario pour les revenus supérieurs. Ces résultats confirment la plus grande concentration de l’impôt ontarien sur le revenu auprès des contribuables à revenu élevé que nous avions précédemment illustrée dans l’étudeQuebec, Ontario, progressivity, income tax, tax policy, indicator, Québec, Ontario, progressivité, impôt sur le revenu, politique fiscale, indicateur