Relationship Among a Supernova, a Transition of Polarity of the Geomagnetic Field and the Pliocene-Pleistocene Boundary

After the Middle Miocene, two important climatic changes took place, consisting mainly of cooling in both hemispheres. One occurred between 7.0 and 5.4 Ma and another at the end of the Pliocene, which marked the beginning of the Pleistocene in approximately 2.58 Ma. The proposal of thispresentation is to analyze diverse forcings of these climatic changes, such as the influence of the joint occurrence of reversions of the geomagnetic field andexplosions of a supernova. These events occurred coincidentally with thecooling of Earth. Also, biological changes in those time intervals are analyzed,especially the evolution of the Hominins since the oldest hominin fossils. Thecharacteristics of the Galactic Cosmic Rays, its influence on the climate and its potential mutogenetic effect were taken into account.Briefly, according to our analysis, it seems to be evident that together withother factors, the joint occurrence of the explosion of a supernova at less than100 pc from the Earth and the weakening and/or reversion of the GeomagneticField was an important factor that promoted these two climatic and ecosystemchanges.Fil: Compagnucci, Rosa Hilda. Universidad de Buenos Aires; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; ArgentinaFil: Orgeira, Maria Julia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Instituto de Geociencias Básicas, Aplicadas y Ambientales de Buenos Aires. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Instituto de Geociencias Básicas, Aplicadas y Ambientales de Buenos Aires; ArgentinaFil: Sinito, Ana Maria. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; ArgentinaFil: Cappellotto, Luiggina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Instituto de Geociencias Básicas, Aplicadas y Ambientales de Buenos Aires. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Instituto de Geociencias Básicas, Aplicadas y Ambientales de Buenos Aires; ArgentinaFil: Plastani, María Sofía. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Instituto de Estudios Andinos "Don Pablo Groeber". Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Instituto de Estudios Andinos "Don Pablo Groeber"; Argentin

Palaeoclimate constraints on the impact of 2 °C anthropogenic warming and beyond

Over the past 3.5 million years, there have been several intervals when climate conditions were warmer than during the pre-industrial Holocene. Although past intervals of warming were forced differently than future anthropogenic change, such periods can provide insights into potential future climate impacts and ecosystem feedbacks, especially over centennial-to-millennial timescales that are often not covered by climate model simulations. Our observation-based synthesis of the understanding of past intervals with temperatures within the range of projected future warming suggests that there is a low risk of runaway greenhouse gas feedbacks for global warming of no more than 2 °C. However, substantial regional environmental impacts can occur. A global average warming of 1–2 °C with strong polar amplification has, in the past, been accompanied by significant shifts in climate zones and the spatial distribution of land and ocean ecosystems. Sustained warming at this level has also led to substantial reductions of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets, with sea-level increases of at least several metres on millennial timescales. Comparison of palaeo observations with climate model results suggests that, due to the lack of certain feedback processes, model-based climate projections may underestimate long-term warming in response to future radiative forcing by as much as a factor of two, and thus may also underestimate centennial-to-millennial-scale sea-level rise