144 research outputs found

    Identification of large coherent structures in supersonic axisymmetric wakes

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    Direct numerical simulation data of supersonic axisymmetric wakes are analysed for the existence of large coherent structures. Wakes at Ma ¼ 2:46 are considered with results being presented for cases at Reynolds numbers ReD ¼ 30; 000 and 100,000. Criteria for identification of coherent structures in freeshear flows found in the literature are compiled and discussed, and the role of compressibility is addressed. In particular, the ability and reliability of visualisation techniques intended for incompressible shear-flows to educe meaningful structures in supersonic wakes is scrutinised. It is shown that some of these methods retain their usefulness for identification of vortical structures as long as the swirling rate is larger than the local compression and expansion rates in the flow field. As a measure for the validity of this condition in a given flow the ‘vortex compressibility parameter’ is proposed which is derived here. Best ‘visibility’ of coherent structures is achieved by employing visualisation techniques and proper orthogonal decomposition in combination with the introduction of artificial perturbations (forcing of the wake). The existence of both helical and longitudinal structures in the shear layer and of hairpin-like structures in the developing wake is demonstrated. In addition, elongated tubes of streamwise vorticity are observed to emanate from the region of recirculating flo

    investigating ice microphysical processes by combining multi-frequency and polarimetric Doppler radar observations with Lagrangian Monte-Carlo particle modelling

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    Clouds and precipitation strongly impact society and the earth system by influencing the water cycle, determining fresh water availability or causing natural disasters such as floods or droughts. However, many aspects of precipitation formation are still poorly understood, causing large uncertainties in the prediction of precipitation. Especially the microphysical processes, which describe the nucleation of cloud particle and their growth into precipitation lack understanding. As globally 63% of precipitation originates from the ice phase, increasing the understanding of ice microphysical processes is crucial to improve precipitation forecast. The dendritic growth layer (DGL), located at temperatures between −20 and −10 ° C, plays an important role in the formation of precipitation. Previous studies have found an in particle size and number concentration through depositional growth, aggregation and secondary ice processes. This dissertation investigates ice microphysical processes in the DGL by combining polarimetric and multi-frequency Doppler cloud radar observations with Monte-Carlo Lagrangian particle modelling. Study I presents a statistical analysis of a three-month polarimetric and multi-frequency Doppler radar dataset. This combination of radar measurements allows to observe the full evolution of ice particle growth, as the polarimetric measurements are indicators of depositional growth and possible secondary ice processes, while the multi-frequency approach gives an indication of the increase particle in size through aggregation and riming. The statistical analysis revealed an increase of aggregate size at −15 ° C. The mean size of aggregates is found to be correlated to an updraft with a maximum of approximately 0.1 m s −1 at −14 ° C. The radar observations further indicate the growth of plate-like ice crystals at −15 ° C. Unexpectedly, aggregation is found to increase in the DGL alongside an increase in ice particle number concentration. This simultaneous increase necessitates a source of new ice particles, as aggregation is expected to decrease the total number of ice particles. Secondary ice processes, such as collisional fragmentation provide one explanation for this increase in ice particle size. Another possible explanation might be that small ice particles sediment from colder temperatures into the DGL and enhance the number concentration locally. The third explanation is linked to the observed updraft, as this updraft might increase the super-saturation with respect to ice at −15 ° C, leading to the activation of ice nucleating particles and a subsequent increase in ice particle number and growth of plate-like particles. Unfortunately, radar observations do not observe the formation of particles directly, it is difficult to predict the origin of the particles responsible for the increase in particle concentration and observed polarimetric signatures further. With the observational dataset as a constrain, Study II uses the Monte-Carlo Lagrangian particle model McSnow to investigate the origin of the increase in ice particle number concentration in the DGL further. The comparison of the observations and McSnow simulations indicate that the particles responsible for the polarimetric signatures and increase in number concentration need to be nucleated at temperatures close to −15 ° C. This might indicate that in the observed clouds, sedimenting ice particles into the DGL play a lesser role. The McSnow simulations further indicate that neither collisional fragmentation nor new ice particles due to activation of ice nucleating particles can explain the observed multi-frequency and polarimetric observations. A combination of both processes might explain the observed signatures. This dissertation shows the potential of a combination of radar observations and modelling for increasing the understanding of microphysical processes in clouds. However, further laboratory studies are needed in order to further constrain the processes in the DGL and validate the findings of this dissertation

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    Tato disertační práce se zabývá tématem jak finanční trhy vnímají budoucnost rozvoje eurozóny. Názor trhu v oblasti rozšíření eurozóny je hodnocen s využitím dvou různých metod. První přístup, metoda Statických pravděpodobnostních kalkulátorů (SPC), je založena na existující metodologii, která byla dříve použita pro staré členské státy eurozóny. Tato statická metoda má však pár nedostatků, kterým se druhá, zcela nově vytvořená, metodologie snaží předejít. Druhá metoda, tzv. Dynamický pravděpodobnostní kalkulátor (DPC), je založena na indikátoru odvozeném z krátkodobé dynamiky budoucí úrokových diferenciálů. Jak SPC tak DPC jsou aplikovány na finanční deriváty (budoucí úrokové swapy) obchodované ve čtyřech středoevropských zemích: České republice, Maďarsku, Polsku a Slovensku. Deriváty obchodovaná v některých dalších Evropských zemí byly použity pro ověření robustnosti zkoumaných dvou metod. Nová DPC metodologie je konceptuálně založena na předpokladu reprezentativního jedince averzního vůči nejistotě. Tato metoda je založena na modelu všeobecné rovnováhy za předpokladu nedokonalých preferencí. Předpoklad nedokonalých preferencí dovoluje výskyt mnohočetných rovnovážných stavů na základě pouze jedné množiny ekonomických fundamentů. Nemožnost určení jednoznačného rovnovážného stavu vysvětluje...This thesis deals with assessing how financial markets perceive prospects of future euro area enlargement. Market views on such an enlargement are measured using two different approaches. The first approach, the static probability calculators method (SPC), is based on an existing method that was previously used for the old EU Member States. In order to overcome inherent shortcomings of this method, a second, completely new methodology with an indicator that is based on short-term dynamics of forward spreads was developed, further referred to as dynamic probability calculators (DPC). Both the SPC and DPC are applied to data from four Central Eastern European countries: the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia. In addition, data of other European countries were used to assess the robustness of the two approaches. The new methodology is conceptually based on the notion of ambiguity-averse agents. Specifically, it attempts to apply the framework of incomplete preferences, developing a general equilibrium framework, which allows for multiple equilibria supported by one set of fundamentals. This equilibrium indeterminacy offers a way to reconcile shortterm fluctuations of market prices with a relatively stable underlying economic environment and expectations. The thesis concludes with a...Institut ekonomických studiíInstitute of Economic StudiesFaculty of Social SciencesFakulta sociálních vě

    Drivers for optimum sizing of wind turbines for offshore wind farms

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    Large-scale exploitation of offshore wind energy is deemed essential to provide its expected share to electricity needs of the future. To achieve the same, turbine and farm-level optimizations play a significant role. Over the past few years, the growth in the size of turbines has massively contributed to the reduction in costs. However, growing turbine sizes come with challenges in rotor design, turbine installation, supply chain, etc. It is, therefore, important to understand how to size wind turbines when minimizing the levelized cost of electricity (LCoE) of an offshore wind farm. Hence, this study looks at how the rated power and rotor diameter of a turbine affect various turbine and farm-level metrics and uses this information in order to identify the key design drivers and how their impact changes with setup. A multi-disciplinary design optimization and analysis (MDAO) framework is used to perform the analysis. The framework uses low-fidelity models that capture the core dependencies of the outputs on the design variables while also including the trade-offs between various disciplines of the offshore wind farm. The framework is used, not to estimate the LCoE or the optimum turbine size accurately, but to provide insights into various design drivers and trends. A baseline case, for a typical setup in the North Sea, is defined where LCoE is minimized for a given farm power and area constraint with the International Energy Agency 15 MW reference turbine as a starting point. It is found that the global optimum design, for this baseline case, is a turbine with a rated power of 16 MW and a rotor diameter of 236 m. This is already close to the state-of-the-art designs observed in the industry and close enough to the starting design to justify the applied scaling. A sensitivity study is also performed that identifies the design drivers and quantifies the impact of model uncertainties, technology/cost developments, varying farm design conditions, and different farm constraints on the optimum turbine design. To give an example, certain scenarios, like a change in the wind regime or the removal of farm power constraint, result in a significant shift in the scale of the optimum design and/or the specific power of the optimum design. Redesigning the turbine for these scenarios is found to result in an LCoE benefit of the order of 1 %–2 % over the already optimized baseline. The work presented shows how a simplified approach can be applied to a complex turbine sizing problem, which can also be extended to metrics beyond LCoE. It also gives insights into designers, project developers, and policy makers as to how their decision may impact the optimum turbine scale.</p

    DES study of blade trailing edge cutback cooling performance with various lip thicknesses

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    Three-dimensional detached-eddy simulation (DES) study has been carried out to evaluate the cooling performance of a trailing-edge cutback turbine blade with various lip thickness to slot height ratios (t/H). By adopting the shear-stress transport (SST) k-ω turbulence model, the numerical investigations were performed at two successive steps: first, to validate simulation results from an existing cutback turbine blade model with staggered circular pin-fins arrays inside the cooling passage against experimental measurements and other available numerical predictions; second, to understand the effects of the lip thickness to the slot height ratio on the blade trailing-edge cooling performance. It was found from the model validations that at two moderate blowing ratios of 0.5 and 1.1, DES predicted film cooling effectiveness are in very good agreement with experimental data. Further comparisons of four various t/H ratios (t/H = 0.25, 0.5, 1.0, 1.5) have revealed that the thermal mixing process between the ‘cold’ coolant gas and the ‘hot’ mainstream flow in the near wake region of the exit slot has been greatly intensified with the increase of the t/H ratio. As a result, it causes a rapid decay of the adiabatic film cooling effectiveness downstream of the blade trailing-edge. The observed vortex shedding and its characteristics in the near wake region are found to play an important role in determining the dynamic process of the ‘cold’ and the ‘warm’ airflow mixing, which in turn have significant influences on the prediction accuracy of the near-wall heat transfer performance. As the four t/H ratio increases from 0.25 to 1.5, DES predicts the decrease of main shedding frequencies as fs = 3.69, 3.2, 2.21, and 1.49 kHz, corresponding to Strouhal numbers St = 0.15, 0.20, 0.23, and 0.22, respectively. These results are in good agreement with available experimental measurements

    The determinants of electronic traceability adoption: a firm-level analysis of French agribusiness

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    International audienceThis paper aims to understand what factors influence firms to adopt electronic traceability systems (ETS) and notably the respective effects of the firm's internal characteristics, its vertical relations and its external environment. Traceability systems based on information and communication technologies (ICT) allow firms to collect, track, stock and transfer information on a range of product attributes. This study contributes to further understand traceability adoption by applying ICT adoption models to the case of ETS, and by using an original dataset, the 2002 ICT Survey, representative of all French agribusiness. The results suggest that a firm's degree of complexity (growing size, belonging to a group) and the development of its information system play a significant role in its adoption behavior. Moreover, they show that ETS adoption is more driven by a firm's narrow relations with specialized suppliers and downstream processors than by retailers
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