Evaluating glioma growth predictions as a forward ranking problem

The problem of tumor growth prediction is challenging, but promising results have been achieved with both model-driven and statistical methods. In this work, we present a framework for the evaluation of growth predictions that focuses on the spatial infiltration patterns, and specifically evaluating a prediction of future growth. We propose to frame the problem as a ranking problem rather than a segmentation problem. Using the average precision as a metric, we can evaluate the results with segmentations while using the full spatiotemporal prediction. Furthermore, by separating the model goodness-of-fit from future predictive performance, we show that in some cases, a better fit of model parameters does not guarantee a better the predictive power

Evaluating the predictive value of glioma growth models for low-grade glioma after tumor resection

Tumor growth models have the potential to model and predict the spatiotemporal evolution of glioma in individual patients. Infiltration of glioma cells is known to be faster along the white matter tracts, and therefore structural magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) can be used to inform the model. However, applying and evaluating growth models in real patient data is challenging. In this work, we propose to formulate the problem of tumor growth as a ranking problem, as opposed to a segmentation problem, and use the average precision (AP) as a performance metric. This enables an evaluation of the spatial pattern that does not require a volume cut-off value. Using the AP metric, we evaluate diffusion-proliferation models informed by structural MRI and DTI, after tumor resection. We applied the models to a unique longitudinal dataset of 14 patients with low-grade glioma (LGG), who received no treatment after surgical resection, to predict the recurrent tumor shape after tumor resection. The diffusion models informed by structural MRI and DTI showed a small but significant increase in predictive performance with respect to homogeneous isotropic diffusion, and the DTI-informed model reached the best predictive performance. We conclude there is a significant improvement in the prediction of the recurrent tumor shape when using a DTI-informed anisotropic diffusion model with respect to istropic diffusion, and that the AP is a suitable metric to evaluate these models. All code and data used in this publication are made publicly available.</p

Topographical Mapping of 436 Newly Diagnosed IDH Wildtype Glioblastoma With vs. Without MGMT Promoter Methylation

Introduction: O6-methylguanine-methyltransferase (MGMT) promoter methylation and isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH) mutation status are important prognostic factors for patients with glioblastoma. There are conflicting reports about a differential topographical distribution of glioblastoma with vs. without MGMT promoter methylation, possibly caused by molecular heterogeneity in glioblastoma populations. We initiated this study to re-evaluate the topographical distribution of glioblastoma with vs. without MGMT promoter methylation in light of the updated WHO 2016 classification. Methods: Preoperative T2-weighted/FLAIR and postcontrast T1-weighted MRI scans of patients aged 18 year or older with IDH wildtype glioblastoma were collected. Tumors were semi-automatically segmented, and the topographical distribution between glioblastoma with vs. without MGMT promoter methylation was visualized using frequency heatmaps. Then, voxel-wise differences were analyzed using permutation testing with Threshold Free Cluster Enhancement. Results: Four hundred thirty-six IDH wildtype glioblastoma patients were included; 211 with and 225 without MGMT promoter methylation. Visual examination suggested that when compared with MGMT unmethylated glioblastoma, MGMT methylated glioblastoma were more frequently located near bifrontal and left occipital periventricular area and less frequently near the right occipital periventricular area. Statistical analyses, however, showed no significant difference in topographical distribution between MGMT methylated vs. MGMT unmethylated glioblastoma. Conclusions: This study re-evaluated the

Reproducible radiomics through automated machine learning validated on twelve clinical applications

Radiomics uses quantitative medical imaging features to predict clinical outcomes. Currently, in a new clinical application, findingthe optimal radiomics method out of the wide range of available options has to be done manually through a heuristic trial-anderror process. In this study we propose a framework for automatically optimizing the construction of radiomics workflows perapplication. To this end, we formulate radiomics as a modular workflow and include a large collection of common algorithms foreach component. To optimize the workflow per application, we employ automated machine learning using a random search andensembling. We evaluate our method in twelve different clinical applications, resulting in the following area under the curves: 1)liposarcoma (0.83); 2) desmoid-type fibromatosis (0.82); 3) primary liver tumors (0.80); 4) gastrointestinal stromal tumors (0.77);5) colorectal liver metastases (0.61); 6) melanoma metastases (0.45); 7) hepatocellular carcinoma (0.75); 8) mesenteric fibrosis(0.80); 9) prostate cancer (0.72); 10) glioma (0.71); 11) Alzheimer’s disease (0.87); and 12) head and neck cancer (0.84). Weshow that our framework has a competitive performance compared human experts, outperforms a radiomics baseline, and performssimilar or superior to Bayesian optimization and more advanced ensemble approaches. Concluding, our method fully automaticallyoptimizes the construction of radiomics workflows, thereby streamlining the search for radiomics biomarkers in new applications.To facilitate reproducibility and future research, we publicly release six datasets, the software implementation of our framework,and the code to reproduce this study

Federated learning enables big data for rare cancer boundary detection.

Although machine learning (ML) has shown promise across disciplines, out-of-sample generalizability is concerning. This is currently addressed by sharing multi-site data, but such centralization is challenging/infeasible to scale due to various limitations. Federated ML (FL) provides an alternative paradigm for accurate and generalizable ML, by only sharing numerical model updates. Here we present the largest FL study to-date, involving data from 71 sites across 6 continents, to generate an automatic tumor boundary detector for the rare disease of glioblastoma, reporting the largest such dataset in the literature (n = 6, 314). We demonstrate a 33% delineation improvement for the surgically targetable tumor, and 23% for the complete tumor extent, over a publicly trained model. We anticipate our study to: 1) enable more healthcare studies informed by large diverse data, ensuring meaningful results for rare diseases and underrepresented populations, 2) facilitate further analyses for glioblastoma by releasing our consensus model, and 3) demonstrate the FL effectiveness at such scale and task-complexity as a paradigm shift for multi-site collaborations, alleviating the need for data-sharing

Author Correction: Federated learning enables big data for rare cancer boundary detection.

10.1038/s41467-023-36188-7NATURE COMMUNICATIONS14

Robust estimation of bacterial cell count from optical density

Optical density (OD) is widely used to estimate the density of cells in liquid culture, but cannot be compared between instruments without a standardized calibration protocol and is challenging to relate to actual cell count. We address this with an interlaboratory study comparing three simple, low-cost, and highly accessible OD calibration protocols across 244 laboratories, applied to eight strains of constitutive GFP-expressing E. coli. Based on our results, we recommend calibrating OD to estimated cell count using serial dilution of silica microspheres, which produces highly precise calibration (95.5% of residuals &lt;1.2-fold), is easily assessed for quality control, also assesses instrument effective linear range, and can be combined with fluorescence calibration to obtain units of Molecules of Equivalent Fluorescein (MEFL) per cell, allowing direct comparison and data fusion with flow cytometry measurements: in our study, fluorescence per cell measurements showed only a 1.07-fold mean difference between plate reader and flow cytometry data

Federated Learning Enables Big Data for Rare Cancer Boundary Detection

Although machine learning (ML) has shown promise across disciplines, out-of-sample generalizability is concerning. This is currently addressed by sharing multi-site data, but such centralization is challenging/infeasible to scale due to various limitations. Federated ML (FL) provides an alternative paradigm for accurate and generalizable ML, by only sharing numerical model updates. Here we present the largest FL study to-date, involving data from 71 sites across 6 continents, to generate an automatic tumor boundary detector for the rare disease of glioblastoma, reporting the largest such dataset in the literature (n = 6, 314). We demonstrate a 33% delineation improvement for the surgically targetable tumor, and 23% for the complete tumor extent, over a publicly trained model. We anticipate our study to: 1) enable more healthcare studies informed by large diverse data, ensuring meaningful results for rare diseases and underrepresented populations, 2) facilitate further analyses for glioblastoma by releasing our consensus model, and 3) demonstrate the FL effectiveness at such scale and task-complexity as a paradigm shift for multi-site collaborations, alleviating the need for data-sharing

Microvasculature Features Derived from Hybrid EPI MRI in Non-Enhancing Adult-Type Diffuse Glioma Subtypes

In this study, we used the vessel size imaging (VSI) MRI technique to characterize the microvasculature features of three subtypes of adult-type diffuse glioma lacking enhancement. Thirty-eight patients with confirmed non-enhancing glioma were categorized into three subtypes: Oligo (IDH-mut&1p/19q-codeleted), Astro (IDH-mut), and GBM (IDH-wt). The VSI technique provided quantitative maps of cerebral blood volume (CBV), microvasculature (µCBV), and vessel size for each patient. Additionally, tissue samples of 21 patients were histopathologically analyzed, and microvasculature features were quantified. Both MRI- and histology-derived features were compared across the three glioma subtypes with ANOVA or Kruskal–Wallis tests. Group averages of CBV, μCBV, and vessel size were significantly different between the three glioma subtypes (p p = 0.004 and p = 0.001, respectively), and a higher average vessel size compared to GBM (IDH-wt) (p = 0.01). The histopathological analysis showed that GBM (IDH-wt) possessed vessels with more irregular shapes than the two other subtypes (p < 0.05). VSI provides a good insight into the microvasculature characteristics of the three adult-type glioma subtypes even when lacking enhancement. Further investigations into the specificity of VSI to differentiate glioma subtypes are thus warranted

Combined molecular subtyping, grading, and segmentation of glioma using multi-task deep learning

BACKGROUND: Accurate characterization of glioma is crucial for clinical decision making. A delineation of the tumor is also desirable in the initial decision stages but is time-consuming. Previously, deep learning methods have been developed that can either non-invasively predict the genetic or histological features of glioma, or that can automatically delineate the tumor, but not both tasks at the same time. Here, we present our method that can predict the molecular subtype and grade, while simultaneously providing a delineation of the tumor. METHODS: We developed a single multi-task convolutional neural network that uses the full 3D, structural, preoperative MRI scans to predict the IDH mutation status, the 1p/19q co-deletion status, and the grade of a tumor, while simultaneously segmenting the tumor. We trained our method using a patient cohort containing 1508 glioma patients from 16 institutes. We tested our method on an independent dataset of 240 patients from 13 different institutes. RESULTS: In the independent test set, we achieved an IDH-AUC of 0.90, an 1p/19q co-deletion AUC of 0.85, and a grade AUC of 0.81 (grade II/III/IV). For the tumor delineation, we achieved a mean whole tumor Dice score of 0.84. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a method that non-invasively predicts multiple, clinically relevant features of glioma. Evaluation in an independent dataset shows that the method achieves a high performance and that it generalizes well to the broader clinical population. This first-of-its-kind method opens the door to more generalizable, instead of hyper-specialized, AI methods.</p