Risk factors of early spontaneous preterm birth despite carrying a cervical pessary in singleton pregnancies with a short cervix: Development of a risk prediction model

Cervical pessary; Short cervical length; Spontaneous preterm birthPesario cervical; Longitud cervical corta; Parto prematuro espontáneoPessari cervical; Longitud cervical curta; Part prematur espontaniIntroduction: We aimed to identify the incidence and risk factors of spontaneous preterm birth in pessary carriers with singleton pregnancies and a short cervix in the mid-trimester of pregnancy. Material and methods: Patient data were obtained from the PECEP Trial. We analyzed singleton pregnancies in pessary carriers with a short cervix (≤25 mm) between 18 and 22 gestational weeks. Demographics and obstetric history were compared to identify risk factors for spontaneous preterm birth < 34 gestational weeks. Each demographic and obstetric variable was compared between spontaneous preterm birth < 34 and ≥ 34 weeks of gestation.Regression analysis was used to identify risk factors. A risk score model was generated using the odds ratio for significant factors. The risk score model and spontaneous preterm birth risk were assessed using the receiver operating characteristic curve. Perinatal outcomes were compared by risk score. Results: Among 190 pregnant individuals, 12 (6.3%) had spontaneous preterm birth < 34 gestational weeks. In the bivariate analysis, statistically significant differences between those with and without spontaneous preterm birth were only observed for mean cervical length at diagnosis and mean cervical length after pessary placement. By multiple logistic regression analysis, maternal age (OR 0.818; 95% CI 0.69-0.97; P 0.020), cervical length at diagnosis (OR 0.560; 95% CI 0.43-0.73; P < 0.001) and smoking status (OR 7.276; 95% CI 1.02-51.80; P 0.048) remained significantly associated with spontaneous preterm birth.The ROC curve from the multiple logistic regression analysis, including cervical length, maternal age and smoking status, had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.952 (P < 0.001). The ROC curve for the risk score model incorporating all three variables had an AUC of 0.864 (95% CI 0.77-0.96; P < 0.001). A high-risk score was predictive of spontaneous preterm birth with a sensitivity of 75%, specificity of 84%, positive predictive value of 24%, and negative predictive value of 98%.Women with a high-risk score had a significantly reduced latency to delivery and poorer neonatal outcomes than those with a low-risk score. Conclusions: Patients at a high risk for spontaneous preterm birth despite pessary therapy may be identified using cervical length at diagnosis added to maternal age and smoking status

Reference values for interleukin-6 in the amniotic fluid of asymptomatic pregnant women

Amniocentesis; Interleukin-6; Intra-amniotic inflammationAmniocentesi; Interleucina-6; Inflamació intraamniòticaAmniocentesis; Interleucina-6; Inflamación intraamnióticaIntroduction Nowadays, proinflammatory factors are considered to play an important role in the pathophysiology of threatened preterm labor or chorioamnionitis. The aim of this study was to establish the normal reference range for interleukin-6 (IL-6) levels in the amniotic fluid and to identify factors which may alter this value. Material and methods Prospective study in a tertiary-level center including asymptomatic pregnant women undergoing amniocentesis for genetic studies from October 2016 to September 2019. IL-6 measurements in amniotic fluid were performed using a fluorescence immunoassay with microfluidic technology (ELLA Proteinsimple, Bio Techne). Maternal history and pregnancy data were also recorded. Results This study included 140 pregnant women. Of those, women who underwent termination of pregnancy were excluded. Therefore, a total of 98 pregnancies were included in the final statistical analysis. The mean gestational age was 21.86 weeks (range: 15–38.7) at the time of amniocentesis, and 38.6 weeks (range: 30.9–41.4) at delivery. No cases of chorioamnionitis were reported. The log10 IL-6 values follow a normal distribution (W = 0.990, p = 0.692). The median, and the 5th, 10th, 90th, and 95th percentiles for IL-6 levels were 573, 105, 130, 1645, and 2260 pg/mL, respectively. The log10 IL-6 values were not affected by gestational age (p = 0.395), maternal age (p = 0.376), body mass index (p = 0.551), ethnicity (p = 0.467), smoking status (p = 0.933), parity (p = 0.557), method of conception (p = 0.322), or diabetes mellitus (p = 0.381). Conclusions The log10 IL-6 values follow a normal distribution. IL-6 values are independent of gestational age, maternal age, body mass index, ethnicity, smoking status, parity and method of conception. Our study provides a normal reference range for IL-6 levels in the amniotic fluid that can be used in future studies. We also observed that normal IL-6 values were higher in the amniotic fluid than in serum.Some of the authors are members of the European Reference Network on Rare Congenital Malformations and Rare Intellectual Disability ERN-ITHACA (EU Framework Partnership Agreement ID: 3HP-HP-FPA ERN-01-2016/739516)