¹⁸F-FDG PET baseline radiomics features improve the prediction of treatment outcome in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma

PURPOSE: Accurate prognostic markers are urgently needed to identify diffuse large B-Cell lymphoma (DLBCL) patients at high risk of progression or relapse. Our purpose was to investigate the potential added value of baseline radiomics features to the international prognostic index (IPI) in predicting outcome after first-line treatment. METHODS: Three hundred seventeen newly diagnosed DLBCL patients were included. Lesions were delineated using a semi-automated segmentation method (standardized uptake value ≥ 4.0), and 490 radiomics features were extracted. We used logistic regression with backward feature selection to predict 2-year time to progression (TTP). The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operator characteristic curve was calculated to assess model performance. High-risk groups were defined based on prevalence of events; diagnostic performance was assessed using positive and negative predictive values. RESULTS: The IPI model yielded an AUC of 0.68. The optimal radiomics model comprised the natural logarithms of metabolic tumor volume (MTV) and of SUV(peak) and the maximal distance between the largest lesion and any other lesion (Dmax(bulk), AUC 0.76). Combining radiomics and clinical features showed that a combination of tumor- (MTV, SUV(peak) and Dmax(bulk)) and patient-related parameters (WHO performance status and age > 60 years) performed best (AUC 0.79). Adding radiomics features to clinical predictors increased PPV with 15%, with more accurate selection of high-risk patients compared to the IPI model (progression at 2-year TTP, 44% vs 28%, respectively). CONCLUSION: Prediction models using baseline radiomics combined with currently used clinical predictors identify patients at risk of relapse at baseline and significantly improved model performance. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER AND DATE: EudraCT: 2006–005,174-42, 01–08-2008. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00259-021-05480-3

Predictive value of quantitative F-18-FDG-PET radiomics analysis in patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND: Radiomics is aimed at image-based tumor phenotyping, enabling application within clinical-decision-support-systems to improve diagnostic accuracy and allow for personalized treatment. The purpose was to identify predictive 18-fluor-fluoro-2-deoxyglucose (18F-FDG) positron-emission tomography (PET) radiomic features to predict recurrence, distant metastasis, and overall survival in patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma treated with chemoradiotherapy. METHODS: Between 2012 and 2018, 103 retrospectively (training cohort) and 71 consecutively included patients (validation cohort) underwent 18F-FDG-PET/CT imaging. The 434 extracted radiomic features were subjected, after redundancy filtering, to a projection resulting in outcome-independent meta-features (factors). Correlations between clinical, first-order 18F-FDG-PET parameters (e.g., SUVmean), and factors were assessed. Factors were combined with 18F-FDG-PET and clinical parameters in a multivariable survival regression and validated. A clinically applicable risk-stratification was constructed for patients' outcome. RESULTS: Based on 124 retained radiomic features from 103 patients, 8 factors were constructed. Recurrence prediction was significantly most accurate by combining HPV-status, SUVmean, SUVpeak, factor 3 (histogram gradient and long-run-low-grey-level-emphasis), factor 4 (volume-difference, coarseness, and grey-level-non-uniformity), and factor 6 (histogram variation coefficient) (CI = 0.645). Distant metastasis prediction was most accurate assessing metabolic-active tumor volume (MATV)(CI = 0.627). Overall survival prediction was most accurate using HPV-status, SUVmean, SUVmax, factor 1 (least-axis-length, non-uniformity, high-dependence-of-high grey-levels), and factor 5 (aspherity, major-axis-length, inversed-compactness and, inversed-flatness) (CI = 0.764). CONCLUSIONS: Combining HPV-status, first-order 18F-FDG-PET parameters, and complementary radiomic factors was most accurate for time-to-event prediction. Predictive phenotype-specific tumor characteristics and interactions might be captured and retained using radiomic factors, which allows for personalized risk stratification and optimizing personalized cancer care. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Trial NL3946 (NTR4111), local ethics commission reference: Prediction 2013.191 and 2016.498. Registered 7 August 2013, https://www.trialregister.nl/trial/3946

Baseline radiomics features and MYC rearrangement status predict progression in aggressive B-cell lymphoma

We investigated whether the outcome prediction of patients with aggressive B-cell lymphoma can be improved by combining clinical, molecular genotype, and radiomics features. MYC, BCL2, and BCL6 rearrangements were assessed using fluorescence in situ hybridization. Seventeen radiomics features were extracted from the baseline positron emission tomography–computed tomography of 323 patients, which included maximum standardized uptake value (SUV(max)), SUV(peak), SUV(mean), metabolic tumor volume (MTV), total lesion glycolysis, and 12 dissemination features pertaining to distance, differences in uptake and volume between lesions, respectively. Logistic regression with backward feature selection was used to predict progression after 2 years. The predictive value of (1) International Prognostic Index (IPI); (2) IPI plus MYC; (3) IPI, MYC, and MTV; (4) radiomics; and (5) MYC plus radiomics models were tested using the cross-validated area under the curve (CV-AUC) and positive predictive values (PPVs). IPI yielded a CV-AUC of 0.65 ± 0.07 with a PPV of 29.6%. The IPI plus MYC model yielded a CV-AUC of 0.68 ± 0.08. IPI, MYC, and MTV yielded a CV-AUC of 0.74 ± 0.08. The highest model performance of the radiomics model was observed for MTV combined with the maximum distance between the largest lesion and another lesion, the maximum difference in SUV(peak) between 2 lesions, and the sum of distances between all lesions, yielding an improved CV-AUC of 0.77 ± 0.07. The same radiomics features were retained when adding MYC (CV-AUC, 0.77 ± 0.07). PPV was highest for the MYC plus radiomics model (50.0%) and increased by 20% compared with the IPI (29.6%). Adding radiomics features improved model performance and PPV and can, therefore, aid in identifying poor prognosis patients

Novel tracers for molecular imaging of interstitial lung disease: A state of the art review

Interstitial lung disease is an overarching term for a wide range of disorders characterized by inflammation and/or fibrosis in the lungs. Most prevalent forms, among others, include idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) and connective tissue disease associated interstitial lung disease (CTD-ILD). Currently, only disease modifying treatment options are available for IPF and progressive fibrotic CTD-ILD, leading to reduction or stabilization in the rate of lung function decline at best. Management of these patients would greatly advance if we identify new strategies to improve (1) early detection of ILD, (2) predicting ILD progression, [3] predicting response to therapy and [4] understanding pathophysiology. Over the last years, positron emission tomography (PET) and single photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) have emerged as promising molecular imaging techniques to improve ILD management. Both are non-invasive diagnostic tools to assess molecular characteristics of an individual patient with the potential to apply personalized treatment. In this review, we encompass the currently available pre-clinical and clinical studies on molecular imaging with PET and SPECT in IPF and CTD-ILD. We provide recommendations for potential future clinical applications of these tracers and directions for future research

External validation: a simulation study to compare cross-validation versus holdout or external testing to assess the performance of clinical prediction models using PET data from DLBCL patients

Aim: Clinical prediction models need to be validated. In this study, we used simulation data to compare various internal and external validation approaches to validate models. Methods: Data of 500 patients were simulated using distributions of metabolic tumor volume, standardized uptake value, the maximal distance between the largest lesion and another lesion, WHO performance status and age of 296 diffuse large B cell lymphoma patients. These data were used to predict progression after 2 years based on an existing logistic regression model. Using the simulated data, we applied cross-validation, bootstrapping and holdout (n = 100). We simulated new external datasets (n = 100, n = 200, n = 500) and simulated stage-specific external datasets (1), varied the cut-off for high-risk patients (2) and the false positive and false negative rates (3) and simulated a dataset with EARL2 characteristics (4). All internal and external simulations were repeated 100 times. Model performance was expressed as the cross-validated area under the curve (CV-AUC ± SD) and calibration slope. Results: The cross-validation (0.71 ± 0.06) and holdout (0.70 ± 0.07) resulted in comparable model performances, but the model had a higher uncertainty using a holdout set. Bootstrapping resulted in a CV-AUC of 0.67 ± 0.02. The calibration slope was comparable for these internal validation approaches. Increasing the size of the test set resulted in more precise CV-AUC estimates and smaller SD for the calibration slope. For test datasets with different stages, the CV-AUC increased as Ann Arbor stages increased. As expected, changing the cut-off for high risk and false positive- and negative rates influenced the model performance, which is clearly shown by the low calibration slope. The EARL2 dataset resulted in similar model performance and precision, but calibration slope indicated overfitting. Conclusion: In case of small datasets, it is not advisable to use a holdout or a very small external dataset with similar characteristics. A single small testing dataset suffers from a large uncertainty. Therefore, repeated CV using the full training dataset is preferred instead. Our simulations also demonstrated that it is important to consider the impact of differences in patient population between training and test data, which may ask for adjustment or stratification of relevant variables

Combatting the effect of image reconstruction settings on lymphoma [18F]FDG PET metabolic tumor volume assessment using various segmentation methods

Background: [18F]FDG PET-based metabolic tumor volume (MTV) is a promising prognostic marker for lymphoma patients. The aim of this study is to assess the sensitivity of several MTV segmentation methods to variations in image reconstruction methods and the ability of ComBat to improve MTV reproducibility. Methods: Fifty-six lesions were segmented from baseline [18F]FDG PET scans of 19 lymphoma patients. For each scan, EARL1 and EARL2 standards and locally clinically preferred reconstruction protocols were applied. Lesions were delineated using 9 semiautomatic segmentation methods: fixed threshold based on standardized uptake value (SUV), (SUV = 4, SUV = 2.5), relative threshold (41% of SUVmax [41M], 50% of SUVpeak [A50P]), majority vote-based methods that select voxels detected by at least 2 (MV2) and 3 (MV3) out of the latter 4 methods, Nestle thresholding, and methods that identify the optimal method based on SUVmax (L2A, L2B). MTVs from EARL2 and locally clinically preferred reconstructions were compared to those from EARL1. Finally, different versions of ComBat were explored to harmonize the data. Results: MTVs from the SUV4.0 method were least sensitive to the use of different reconstructions (MTV ratio: median = 1.01, interquartile range = [0.96–1.10]). After ComBat harmonization, an improved agreement of MTVs among different reconstructions was found for most segmentation methods. The regular implementation of ComBat (‘Regular ComBat’) using non-transformed distributions resulted in less accurate and precise MTV alignments than a version using log-transformed datasets (‘Log-transformed ComBat’). Conclusion: MTV depends on both segmentation method and reconstruction methods. ComBat reduces reconstruction dependent MTV variability, especially when log-transformation is used to account for the non-normal distribution of MTVs

Systematic Review: Targeted Molecular Imaging of Angiogenesis and Its Mediators in Rheumatoid Arthritis

Extensive angiogenesis is a characteristic feature in the synovial tissue of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) from a very early stage of the disease onward and constitutes a crucial event for the development of the proliferative synovium. This process is markedly intensified in patients with prolonged disease duration, high disease activity, disease severity, and significant inflammatory cell infiltration. Angiogenesis is therefore an interesting target for the development of new therapeutic approaches as well as disease monitoring strategies in RA. To this end, nuclear imaging modalities represent valuable non-invasive tools that can selectively target molecular markers of angiogenesis and accurately and quantitatively track molecular changes in multiple joints simultaneously. This systematic review summarizes the imaging markers used for single photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) and/or positron emission tomography (PET) approaches, targeting pathways and mediators involved in synovial neo-angiogenesis in RA

Systematic Review: Targeted Molecular Imaging of Angiogenesis and Its Mediators in Rheumatoid Arthritis: Targeted Molecular Imaging of Angiogenesis and Its Mediators in Rheumatoid Arthritis

Extensive angiogenesis is a characteristic feature in the synovial tissue of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) from a very early stage of the disease onward and constitutes a crucial event for the development of the proliferative synovium. This process is markedly intensified in patients with prolonged disease duration, high disease activity, disease severity, and significant inflammatory cell infiltration. Angiogenesis is therefore an interesting target for the development of new therapeutic approaches as well as disease monitoring strategies in RA. To this end, nuclear imaging modalities represent valuable non-invasive tools that can selectively target molecular markers of angiogenesis and accurately and quantitatively track molecular changes in multiple joints simultaneously. This systematic review summarizes the imaging markers used for single photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) and/or positron emission tomography (PET) approaches, targeting pathways and mediators involved in synovial neo-angiogenesis in RA