Analyzing Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Risk Using Time-Series Model

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most global frequent liver disease, with a prevalence of almost 20% in the overall population. NAFLD may progress to fibrosis and later into cirrhosis in addition to other diseases. Our objective is to stratify patients\u27 risks for NAFLD and advanced fibrosis over time and suggest preventive medical decisions. We used a cohort of individuals from the Tel-Aviv medical center. Time-series clustering machine learning model (Hidden Markov Models (HMM)) was used to profile fibrosis risk by modeling patients’ latent medical status and trajectories over time. The best-fitting model had three latent HMM states. Initial results show that tracking individuals over time and their relative risk for fibrosis at each point of time provides significant clinical insights regarding each state (and its group of individuals). Thus, longitudinal risk stratification can enable the early identification of specific individual groups following distinct medical trajectories based on their routine visits

Integrating social nutrition principles into the treatment of steatotic liver disease

Current treatment of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) focuses on adjusting patients’ lifestyles, including promoting weight loss and physical activity. Here, we suggest adopting a holistic preventive hepatology approach encompassing social nutrition, social prescribing and broader societal changes to facilitate individuals’ engagement with behavioural modifications

A multistakeholder approach to innovations in NAFLD care

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is highly prevalent globally and requires multidisciplinary care. Here, we report key findings of a NAFLD care workshop, address knowledge gaps and highlight a path to optimise healthcare resource use, to improve outcomes in patients with steatotic liver disease

The global fatty liver disease Sustainable Development Goal country score for 195 countries and territories

Background and Aims: Fatty liver disease is highly prevalent, resulting in overarching wellbeing and economic costs. Addressing it requires comprehensive and coordinated multisectoral action. We developed a fatty liver disease Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) country score to provide insights into country-level preparedness to address fatty liver disease through a whole-of-society lens. // Approach and Results: We developed 2 fatty liver disease–SDG score sets. The first included 6 indicators (child wasting, child overweight, noncommunicable disease mortality, a universal health coverage service coverage index, health worker density, and education attainment), covering 195 countries and territories between 1990 and 2017. The second included the aforementioned indicators plus an urban green space indicator, covering 60 countries and territories for which 2017 data were available. To develop the fatty liver disease–SDG score, indicators were categorized as “positive” or “negative” and scaled from 0 to 100. Higher scores indicate better preparedness levels. Fatty liver disease–SDG scores varied between countries and territories (n = 195), from 14.6 (95% uncertainty interval: 8.9 to 19.4) in Niger to 93.5 (91.6 to 95.3) in Japan; 18 countries and territories scored > 85. Regionally, the high-income super-region had the highest score at 88.8 (87.3 to 90.1) in 2017, whereas south Asia had the lowest score at 44.1 (42.4 to 45.8). Between 1990 and 2017, the fatty liver disease–SDG score increased in all super-regions, with the greatest increase in south Asia, but decreased in 8 countries and territories. // Conclusions: The fatty liver disease–SDG score provides a strategic advocacy tool at the national and global levels for the liver health field and noncommunicable disease advocates, highlighting the multisectoral collaborations needed to address fatty liver disease, and noncommunicable diseases overall

The EASL–<em>Lancet</em> Commission on liver health in Europe: prevention, case-finding, and early diagnosis to reduce liver-related mortality

In December, 2021, the first report from the Lancet Commission on liver disease in Europe, a joint project with the European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL), was published. 1 The Commission explored the harm to liver health in Europe that results from a combination of increasing obesity, the highest level of alcohol consumption in the world, and delays in viral hepatitis elimination. The Commission emphasised the importance of structural factors that drive risk behaviours and poor outcomes in liver disease, with disproportionate effects on disadvantaged and vulnerable populations. Such structural drivers include the heterogeneous landscape of alcohol policy in Europe, fragmented access to testing and therapy for viral hepatitis, and stigmatisation faced by individuals at risk of liver disease at the societal level and within health-care settings. 2 , 3 This stigma contributes to care avoidance and delayed diagnosis, ultimately leading to a bias in clinical pathways that prioritise managing advanced liver disease rather than early diagnosis and primary and secondary prevention of liver disease. The Commission report included ten recommendations to facilitate a shift towards health promotion, prevention, proactive case-finding, early identification of progressive liver fibrosis, and early management and treatment of liver diseases (figure). 1 The key message of the Commission was paraphrased by Ursula von der Leyen, the President of the European Commission, in her remarks made at the launch event: “in most cases, liver disease can be prevented. Prevention is the best cure that we have.

Simulation as a Key Training Method for Inculcating Public Health Leadership Skills: A Mixed Methods Study

BACKGROUND: Successful management of public health challenges requires developing and nurturing leadership competencies. We aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of training simulations to assess public health leadership and decision-making competencies during emergencies as an effective learning and training method. METHODS: We examined the effects of two simulation scenarios on public health school students in terms of their experience (compared to face-to-face learning) and new skills acquired for dealing with similar emergent situations in the future. A mixed-methods design included developing a validated and pre-tested questionnaire with open-and closed-ended questions that examined the simulation impact and the degree of student satisfaction with the conditions in which it was conducted. Semi-structured in-depth interviews were conducted with the students after going through the simulations. The questionnaire results were evaluated using descriptive analytics. The interviews were analyzed using thematic analyses. All data were collected during June 2022. RESULTS: The questionnaire results indicate that students strengthened their interpersonal communication skills and learned about the importance of listening to the opinions of others before formulating their positions. Four themes emerged from 16 in-depth interviews, according to Kolb\u27s experimental learning cycle. Students emphasized the effectiveness of experiential learning versus traditional classroom learning. The simulation scenarios were felt to realistically convey critical issues regarding leadership, decision-making, and teamwork challenges. They effectively conveyed the importance of building a culture of conducting substantive and respectful discussions. CONCLUSION: Simulation is a powerful pedagogical training tool for public health leadership competencies. Simulations were seen to be advantageous over face-to-face learning in imparting a range of leadership skills and hands-on practice. We recommend integrating simulations in all public health leadership training programs

The future of International Classification of Diseases coding in steatotic liver disease:An expert panel Delphi consensus statement

BACKGROUND: Following the adoption of new nomenclature for steatotic liver disease, we aimed to build consensus on the use of International Classification of Diseases codes and recommendations for future research and advocacy.METHODS: Through a two-stage Delphi process, a core group (n = 20) reviewed draft statements and recommendations (n = 6), indicating levels of agreement. Following revisions, this process was repeated with a large expert panel (n = 243) from 73 countries.RESULTS: Consensus ranged from 88.8% to 96.9% (mean = 92.3%).CONCLUSIONS: This global consensus statement provides guidance on harmonizing the International Classification of Diseases coding for steatotic liver disease and future directions to advance the field.</p

A global research priority agenda to advance public health responses to fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS: An estimated 38% of adults worldwide have non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). From individual impacts to widespread public health and economic consequences, the implications of this disease are profound. This study aimed to develop an aligned, prioritised fatty liver disease research agenda for the global health community. METHODS: Nine co-chairs drafted initial research priorities, subsequently reviewed by 40 core authors and debated during a three-day in-person meeting. Following a Delphi methodology, over two rounds, a large panel (R1 n = 344, R2 n = 288) reviewed the priorities, via Qualtrics XM, indicating agreement using a four-point Likert-scale and providing written feedback. The core group revised the draft priorities between rounds. In R2, panellists also ranked the priorities within six domains: epidemiology, models of care, treatment and care, education and awareness, patient and community perspectives, and leadership and public health policy. RESULTS: The consensus-built fatty liver disease research agenda encompasses 28 priorities. The mean percentage of 'agree' responses increased from 78.3 in R1 to 81.1 in R2. Five priorities received unanimous combined agreement ('agree' + 'somewhat agree'); the remaining 23 priorities had >90% combined agreement. While all but one of the priorities exhibited at least a super-majority of agreement (>66.7% 'agree'), 13 priorities had 90% combined agreement. CONCLUSIONS: Adopting this multidisciplinary consensus-built research priorities agenda can deliver a step-change in addressing fatty liver disease, mitigating against its individual and societal harms and proactively altering its natural history through prevention, identification, treatment, and care. This agenda should catalyse the global health community's efforts to advance and accelerate responses to this widespread and fast-growing public health threat. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: An estimated 38% of adults and 13% of children and adolescents worldwide have fatty liver disease, making it the most prevalent liver disease in history. Despite substantial scientific progress in the past three decades, the burden continues to grow, with an urgent need to advance understanding of how to prevent, manage, and treat the disease. Through a global consensus process, a multidisciplinary group agreed on 28 research priorities covering a broad range of themes, from disease burden, treatment, and health system responses to awareness and policy. The findings have relevance for clinical and non-clinical researchers as well as funders working on fatty liver disease and non-communicable diseases more broadly, setting out a prioritised, ranked research agenda for turning the tide on this fast-growing public health threat