1 research outputs found
Potential impact of reduced tobacco use on life and health expectancies in Belgium
Objectives: We investigated the potential impact of reduced tobacco use scenarios on total life expectancy and health expectancies, i.e., healthy life years and unhealthy life years. Methods: Data from the Belgian Health Interview Survey 2013 were used to estimate smoking and disability prevalence. Disability was based on the Global Activity Limitation Indicator. We used DYNAMO-HIA to quantify the impacts of risk factor changes and to compare the âbusiness-as-usualâ with alternative scenarios. Results: The âbusiness-as-usualâ scenario estimated that in 2028 the 15-year-old men/women would live additional 50/52Â years without disability and 14/17Â years with disability. The âsmoking-free populationâ scenario added 3.4/2.8 healthy life years and reduced unhealthy life years by 0.79/1.9. Scenarios combining the prevention of smoking initiation with smoking cessation programs are the most effective, yielding the largest increase in healthy life years (1.9/1.7) and the largest decrease in unhealthy life years (â 0.80/â 1.47). Conclusions: Health impact assessment tools provide different scenarios for