Estimating the current and future cancer burden in Canada: Methodological framework of the Canadian population attributable risk of cancer (ComPARe) study

Introduction The Canadian Population Attributable Risk of Cancer project aims to quantify the number and proportion of cancer cases incident in Canada, now and projected to 2042, that could be prevented through changes in the prevalence of modifiable exposures associated with cancer. The broad risk factor categories of interest include tobacco, diet, energy imbalance, infectious diseases, hormonal therapies and environmental factors such as air pollution and res

Estimates of the current and future burden of cancer attributable to active and passive tobacco smoking in Canada

Although previous studies have examined the burden of cancer attributable to tobacco smoking, updated estimates are needed given the dramatic changes in smoking behaviours over the last 20 years. In this study, we estimate the proportion of cancer cases in 2015 attributable to past tobacco smoking and passive exposure in Canada and the proportion of cancers in the future that could be prevented through the implementation of interventions targeted at reducing tobacco use. Data from the Canadian Community Health Survey (2003) were used to estimate the prevalence of active tobacco smoking and passive exposure. Population attributable risk estimates were employed to estimate the proportion of cancers attributable to tobacco in 2015. The prevalence of active tobacco smoking and passive exposure was projected to 2032 and cancer incidence was projected from 2016 to 2042 to estimate the future burden of cancer attributable to tobacco. In 2003, 30% and 24% of Canadians were former and current smoker, respectively and 24

The Alberta Congenital Anomalies Surveillance System: a 40-year review with prevalence and trends for selected congenital anomalies, 1997–2019

IntroductionCurrent published long-term provincial or territorial congenital anomaly data are lacking for Canada. We report on prevalence (per 1000 total births) and trends in 1997–2019, in Alberta, Canada, for selected congenital anomalies. Associated risk factors are also discussed. MethodsWe used data from the Alberta Congenital Anomalies Surveillance System (ACASS) to calculate the prevalence and perform chi-square linear trend analyses. ResultsFrom 1997 to 2019, the overall prevalence of neural tube defects was stable, at 0.74 per 1000 total births. The same was true for spina bifida (0.38), orofacial clefts (1.99), more severe CHDs (transposition of the great arteries, 0.38; tetralogy of Fallot, 0.33; and hypoplastic left heart syndrome, 0.32); and gastroschisis (0.38). Anencephaly, cleft palate and anorectal malformation significantly decreased with a prevalence of 0.23, 0.75 and 0.54 per 1000 total births, respectively. Significantly increasing trends were reported for anotia/microtia (0.24), limb reduction anomalies (0.73), omphalocele (0.36) and Down syndrome (2.21) and for hypospadias and undescended testes (4.68 and 5.29, respectively, per 1000 male births). ConclusionCongenital anomalies are an important public health concern with significant social and societal costs. Surveillance data gathered by ACASS for over 40 years can be used for planning and policy decisions and the evaluation of prevention strategies. Contributing genetic and environmental factors are discussed as is the need for continued surveillance and research

Le système de surveillance des anomalies congénitales de l’Alberta : compte rendu des données sur 40 ans avec prévalence et tendances de certaines anomalies congénitales entre 1997 et 2019

IntroductionOn manque de données provinciales ou territoriales à long terme publiées et actuelles sur les anomalies congénitales Au Canada. Cette étude fait état de la prévalence (pour 1000 naissances totales) et des tendances pour diverses anomalies congénitales de 1997 à 2019 en Alberta (Canada). Les facteurs de risque associés sont également abordés. MethodsNous avons utilisé les données du Système de surveillance des anomalies congénitales de l’Alberta (ACASS) pour calculer la prévalence et effectuer des analyses de tendance linéaire par test du chi carré. ResultsEntre 1997 et 2019, la prévalence globale des anomalies du tube neural est demeurée stable, à 0,74 pour 1000 naissances totales. C’était également le cas pour le spina bifida (0,38), les fentes orofaciales (1,99), les cardiopathies congénitales graves (transposition des grandes artères, 0,38; tétralogie de Fallot, 0,33; hypoplasie du coeur gauche, 0,32) et le gastroschisis (0,38). L’anencéphalie, la fente palatine et les anomalies anorectales ont diminué significativement, avec une prévalence de respectivement 0,23, 0,75 et 0,54 pour 1000 naissances totales. Une tendance significativement à la hausse a été relevée pour l’anotie/microtie (0,24), les anomalies de raccourcissement des membres (0,73), l’omphalocèle (0,36) et le syndrome de Down (2,21), ainsi que pour l’hypospadias et la cryptorchidie (respectivement 4,68 et 5,29 pour 1 000 naissances masculines). ConclusionLes anomalies congénitales constituent un important problème de santé publique, qui est associé à des coûts sociaux et sociétaux substantiels. Les données de surveillance recueillies par l’ACASS sur plus de 40 ans peuvent servir à la planification et aux décisions en matière de politiques ainsi qu’à l’évaluation des stratégies de prévention. Les facteurs génétiques et environnementaux contributifs sont abordés, de même que la nécessité de poursuivre la surveillance et la recherche

Corrigendum to “Estimates of the current and future burden of cancer attributable to lack of physical activity in Canada” [Prev. Med. 122 (2019) 65–72](S0091743519300817)(10.1016/j.ypmed.2019.03.008)

The authors regret that on page 68, Table 3, the number of observed cases, the PAR, and the attributable cases of breast cancer in the rows for both men and women were mistakenly presented. These values should be the same as those for women. In Table 3, the column heading ‘EAC’ should be changed to ‘AC’. In the title of Table 3, ‘***No confidence intervals.’ Should be deleted. Tables 1, 3, 4, and 5 are all missing a footnote to indicate ‘postmenopausal breast cancer’. In the last paragraph on page 70, the text should read ‘and 180 to 900 colon cancer cases’. The original text erroneously states ‘colorectal’. In the author list on page 65, the superscript for ‘the ComPARe Study Team’ should be ‘1’ instead of ‘c, 1’. A corrected Table 3 is attached with this corrigendum. The authors would like to apologize for any inconvenience caused. [Table presented

Estimates of the current and future burden of cancer attributable to lack of physical activity in Canada

Physical activity reduces the risk of many cancers, yet the prevalence of inadequate physical activity among Canadians remains high. Here we estimated the current attributable and f

Corrigendum to “Estimates of the current and future burden of cancer attributable to lack of physical activity in Canada” [Prev. Med. 122 (2019)65–72](S0091743519300817)(10.1016/j.ypmed.2019.03.008)

The authors regret that in the third paragraph on page 71, the text should read ‘Our result of 6.2% of all cancers in Canada being attributed to inadequate physical activity in 20

Estimates of the current and future burden of cancer attributable to sedentary behavior in Canada

Leisure-time sedentary behavior is an emerging modifiable risk factor for cancer. We estimated the proportion of cancers attributed to leisure-time sedentary behavior as a separate

Estimates of the current and future burden of cancer attributable to excess body weight and abdominal adiposity in Canada

The increasing prevalence of obesity among Canadians has important implications for newly diagnosed cases of cancer given that excess body weight and abdominal adiposity are known to increase the risk of several cancers. The purpose of this analysis was to estimate the current attributable and future avoidable burden of cancer related to excess body weight and abdominal adiposity among Canadian adults. We estimated the population attributable risk (PAR) for all cancers associated with excess body weight and abdominal adiposity using contemporary cancer incidence, relative risk and exposure prevalence data for body mass index (BMI), waist circumference and waist-to-hip-ratio. Using the partial impact fraction (PIF), we also estimated the future avoidable burden of cancer from 2015 to 2042 in Canada, and by province, through various hypothetical intervention scenarios. In 2003, approximately half (50.5%) of the Canadian population was estimated to be overweight (BMI 25.0–29.9) or obese (BMI ≥30.0), 56.5% to have excess abdominal adiposity and 56.8% with a high waist-to-hip ratio. In 2015, the estimated PARs of all incident cancers associated with excess body weight, excess abdominal adiposity and high waist-to-hip ratio were 7.2%, 8.9% and 10.0%, respectively. If the population BMI could revert to its 1994 distribution, 72,157 associated cancer cases could be prevented cumulatively by 2042. A reduction in excess body weight and abdominal adiposity has the potential to decrease the future cancer burden in Canada substantially, and hence efforts to reverse increasing trends in obesity should be prioritized

Estimates of the current and future burden of melanoma attributable to ultraviolet radiation in Canada

Exposure to ultraviolet radiation (UVR) is an established cause of cutaneous melanoma. The purpose of this study was to estimate the current attributable and future avoidable burden of melanoma related to exposure to UVR and modifiable UVR risk behaviors (sunburn, sunbathing, and indoor tanning). The population attributable ris