Has greater globalization made forecasting inflation more difficult?

U.S. inflation and real economic activity became more difficult to forecast during the Great Moderation. We investigate the possibility that the decline in the ability to forecast inflation may be due to greater globalization. As countries become more integrated through trade and financial flows, domestic inflation has a larger foreign component that is determined by variables typically excluded from forecasts.Forecasting ; Inflation (Finance) ; Globalization ; International trade

Sauron Gets Drafted (and Other Thoughts on the Battle of Creativity): 21st Mythopoeic Conference Guest of Honor Address

Guest of Honor address, Mythcon 21. Gives insight into both the necessary research and creative process necessary to illustrate mythopoeic themes. Analyzes four drafts of “The Forging of the One Ring.” Illustrations

Stone Towers

Proposes “Celtic and pre-Celtic origins for certain linguistic and legendary elements in a corpus whose sources” have been sought in Germanic myth and legend