Rapid detection of new and expanding human settlements in the Limpopo province of South Africa using a spatio-temporal change detection method

Recent development has identified the benefits of using hyper-temporal satellite time series data for land cover change detection and classification in South Africa. In particular, the monitoring of human settlement expansion in the Limpopo province is of relevance as it is the one of the most pervasive forms of land-cover change in this province which covers an area of roughly 125 000km2. In this paper, a spatiotemporal autocorrelation change detection (STACD) method is developed to improve the performance of a pixel based temporal Autocorrelation change detection (TACD) method previously proposed. The objective is to apply the algorithm to large areas to detect the conversion of natural vegetation to settlement which is then validated by an operator using additional data (such as high resolution imagery). Importantly, as the objective of the method is to indicate areas of potential change to operators for further analysis, a low false alarm rate is required while achieving an acceptable probability of detection. Results indicate that detection accuracies of 70% of new settlement instances are achievable at a false alarm rate of less than 1% with the STACD method, an improvement of up to 17% compared to the original TACD formulation.http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jag2016-08-30hb201

L-band synthetic aperture radar imagery performs better than optical datasets at retrieving woody fractional cover in deciduous, dry savannahs

Woody canopy cover (CC) is the simplesttwo dimensional metric for assessing the presence ofthe woody component in savannahs, but detailed validated maps are not currently available in southern African savannahs. A number of international EO programs (including in savannah landscapes) advocate and use optical LandSAT imagery for regional to country-wide mapping of woody canopy cover. However, previous research has shown that L-band Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) provides good performance at retrieving woody canopy cover in southern African savannahs. This study’s objective was to evaluate, compare and use in combination L-band ALOS PALSAR and LandSAT-5 TM, in a Random Forest environment, to assess the benefits of using LandSAT compared to ALOS PALSAR. Additional objectives saw the testing of LandSAT-5 image seasonality, spectral vegetation indices and image textures for improved CC modelling. Results showed that LandSAT-5 imagery acquired in the summer and autumn seasons yielded the highest single season modelling accuracies (R2 between 0.47 and 0.65), depending on the year but the combination of multi-seasonal images yielded higher accuracies (R2 between 0.57 and 0.72). The derivation of spectral vegetation indices and image textures and their combinations with optical reflectance bands provided minimal improvement with no optical-only result exceeding the winter SAR L-band backscatter alone results (R2 of ∼0.8). The integration of seasonally appropriate LandSAT-5 image reflectance and L-band HH and HV backscatter data does provide a significant improvement for CC modelling at the higher end of the model performance (R2 between 0.83 and 0.88), but we conclude that L-band only based CC modelling be recommended for South African regionshttp://www.elsevier.com/locate/jag2017-10-31hb2016Geography, Geoinformatics and Meteorolog

Hyper-temporal C-band SAR for baseline woody structural assessments in deciduous savannas

Savanna ecosystems and their woody vegetation provide valuable resources and ecosystem services. Locally calibrated and cost effective estimates of these resources are required in order to satisfy commitments to monitor and manage change within them. Baseline maps of woody resources are important for analyzing change over time. Freely available, and highly repetitive, C-band data has the potential to be a viable alternative to high-resolution commercial SAR imagery (e.g., RADARSAT-2, ALOS2) in generating large-scale woody resources maps. Using airborne LiDAR as calibration, we investigated the relationships between hyper-temporal C-band ASAR data and woody structural parameters, namely total canopy cover (TCC) and total canopy volume (TCV), in a deciduous savanna environment. Results showed that: the temporal filter reduced image variance; the random forest model out-performed the linear model; while the TCV metric consistently showed marginally higher accuracies than the TCC metric. Combinations of between 6 and 10 images could produce results comparable to high resolution commercial (C- & L-band) SAR imagery. The approach showed promise for producing a regional scale, locally calibrated, baseline maps for the management of deciduous savanna resources, and lay a foundation for monitoring using time series of data from newer C-band SAR sensors (e.g., Sentinel1).Greg Asner, through the CAO campaign and acknowledged partners, provided funding for the LiDAR acquisition and LiDAR processing, as well as interpretation and review of the results.http://www.mdpi.com/journal/remotesensingam2016Electrical, Electronic and Computer EngineeringGeography, Geoinformatics and Meteorolog

Savannah woody structure modelling and mapping using multi-frequency (X-, C- and L-band) synthetic aperture radar data

Structural parameters of the woody component in African savannahs provide estimates of carbon stocks that are vital to the understanding of fuelwood reserves, which is the primary source of energy for 90% of households in South Africa (80% in Sub-Saharan Africa) and are at risk of over utilisation. The woody component can be characterised by various quantifiable woody structural parameters, such as tree cover, tree height, above ground biomass (AGB) or canopy volume, each been useful for different purposes. In contrast to the limited spatial coverage of ground-based approaches, remote sensing has the ability to sense the high spatio-temporal variability of e.g. woody canopy height, cover and biomass, as well as species diversity and phenological status – a defining but challenging set of characteristics typical of African savannahs. Active remote sensing systems (e.g. Light Detection and Ranging – LiDAR; Synthetic Aperture Radar – SAR), on the other hand, may be more effective in quantifying the savannah woody component because of their ability to sense within-canopy properties of the vegetation and its insensitivity to atmosphere and clouds and shadows. Additionally, the various components of a particular target’s structure can be sensed differently with SAR depending on the frequency or wavelength of the sensor being utilised. This study sought to test and compare the accuracy of modelling, in a Random Forest machine learning environment, woody above ground biomass (AGB), canopy cover (CC) and total canopy volume (TCV) in South African savannahs using a combination of X-band (TerraSAR-X), C-band (RADARSAT-2) and L-band (ALOS PALSAR) radar datasets. Training and validation data were derived from airborne LiDAR data to evaluate the SAR modelling accuracies. It was concluded that the L-band SAR frequency was more effective in the modelling of the CC (coefficient of determination or R2 of 0.77), TCV (R2 of 0.79) and AGB (R2 of 0.78) metrics in Southern African savannahs than the shorter wavelengths (X- and C-band) both as individual and combined (X + C-band) datasets. The addition of the shortest wavelengths also did not assist in the overall reduction of prediction error across different vegetation conditions (e.g. dense forested conditions, the dense shrubby layer and sparsely vegetated conditions). Although the integration of all three frequencies (X + C + L-band) yielded the best overall results for all three metrics (R2 = 0.83 for CC and AGB and R2 = 0.85 for TCV), the improvements were noticeable but marginal in comparison to the L-band alone. The results, thus, do not warrant the acquisition of all three SAR frequency datasets for tree structure monitoring in this environment.Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR) – South Africa, the Department of Science and Technology, South Africa (Grant Agreement DST/CON 0119/2010, Earth Observation Application Development in Support of SAEOS) and the European Union’s Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007-2013, Grant Agreement No. 282621, AGRICAB) for funding this study. The Xband StripMap TerraSAR-X scenes were acquired under a proposal submitted to the TerraSAR-X Science Service of the German Aerospace Center (DLR). The C-band Quad-Pol RADARSAT-2 scenes were provided by MacDonald Dettwiler and Associates Ltd. – Geospatial Services Inc. (MDA GSI), the Canadian Space Agency (CSA), and the Natural Resources Canada’s Centre for Remote Sensing (CCRS) through the Science and Operational Applications Research (SOAR) programme. The L-band ALOS PALSAR FBD scenes were acquired under a K&C Phase 3 agreement with the Japanese Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA). The Carnegie Airborne Observatory is supported by the Avatar Alliance Foundation, John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation, Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation, W.M. Keck Foundation, the Margaret A. Cargill Foundation, Mary Anne Nyburg Baker and G. Leonard Baker Jr., and William R. Hearst III. The application of the CAO data in South Africa is made possible by the Andrew Mellon Foundation, Grantham Foundation for the Protection of the Environment, and the endowment of the Carnegie Institution for Science.http://www.elsevier.com/locate/isprsjprs2016-07-31hb201

The use of a multilayer perceptron for detecting new human settlements from a time series of MODIS images

This paper presents a novel land cover change detection method that employs a sliding window over hyper-temporal multi-spectral images acquired from the 7 bands of the MODerate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) land surface reflectance product. The method uses a Feedforward Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) for supervised change detection that operates on multi-spectral time series extracted with a sliding window from the dataset. The method was evaluated on both real and simulated land cover change examples. The simulated land cover change comprises of concatenated time series that are produced by blending actual time series of pixels from human settlements to those from adjacent areas covered by natural vegetation. The method employs an iteratively retrained MLP to capture all local patterns and to compensate for the time-varying climate in the geographical area. The iteratively retrained MLP was compared to a classical batch mode trained MLP. Depending on the length of the temporal sliding window used, an overall change detection accuracy between 83% and 90% was achieved. It is shown that a sliding window of 6 months using all 7 bands of MODIS data is sufficient to detect land cover change reliably. Window sizes of 18 months and longer provide minor improvements to classification accuracy and change detection performance at the cost of longer time delays.The CSIR Strategic Research Panelhttp://www.elsevier.com/locate/jagai201

Detecting land cover change using an extended Kalman filter on MODIS NDVI time-series data

A method for detecting land cover change using NDVI time series data derived from 500m MODIS satellite data is proposed. The algorithm acts as a per pixel change alarm and takes as input the NDVI time series of a 3x3 grid of MODIS pixels. The NDVI time series for each of these pixels was modeled as a triply (mean, phase and amplitude) modulated cosine function, and an extended Kalman Filter was used to estimate the parameters of the modulated cosine function through time. A spatial comparison between the center pixel of the the 3x3 grid and each of its neighboring pixel’s mean and amplitude parameter sequence was done to calculate a change metric which yields a change or no-change decision after thresholding. Although the development of new settlements is the most prevalent form of land cover change in South Africa, it is rarely mapped and known examples amounts to a limited number of changed MODIS pixels. Therefore simulated change data was generated and used for preliminary optimization of the change detection method. After optimization the method was evaluated on examples of known land cover change in the study area and experimental results indicate a 89% change detection accuracy, while a traditional annual NDVI differencing method could only achieve a 63% change detection accuracy.http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpl/RecentIssue.jsp?punumber=885

Meta-optimization of the Extended Kalman filter's parameters through the use of the Bias-Variance Equilibrium Point criterion

The extraction of information on land cover classes using unsupervised methods has always been of relevance to the remote sensing community. In this paper, a novel criterion is proposed, which extracts the inherent information in an unsupervised fashion from a time series. The criterion is used to fit a parametric model to a time series, derive the corresponding covariance matrices of the parameters for the model, and estimate the additive noise on the time series. The proposed criterion uses both spatial and temporal information when estimating the covariance matrices and can be extended to incorporate spectral information. The algorithm used to estimate the parameters for the model is the extended Kalman filter (EKF). An unsupervised search algorithm, specifically designed for this criterion, is proposed in conjunction with the criterion that is used to rapidly and efficiently estimate the variables. The search algorithm attempts to satisfy the criterion by employing density adaptation to the current candidate system. The application in this paper is the use of an EKF to model Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer time series with a triply modulated cosine function as the underlying model. The results show that the criterion improved the fit of the triply modulated cosine function by an order of magnitude on the time series over all seven spectral bands when compared with the other methods. The state space variables derived from the EKF are then used for both land cover classification and land cover change detection. The method was evaluated in the Gauteng province of South Africa where it was found to significantly improve on land cover classification and change detection accuracies when compared with other methods.http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpl/RecentIssue.jsp?punumber=36hb201

Humans and elephants as treefall drivers in African savannas

Humans have played a major role in altering savanna structure and function, and growing land-use pressure will only increase their influence on woody cover. Yet humans are often overlooked as ecological components. Both humans and the African elephant Loxodonta africana alter woody vegetation in savannas through removal of large trees and activities that may increase shrub cover. Interactive effects of both humans and elephants with fire may also alter vegetation structure and composition. Here we capitalize on a macroscale experimental opportunity – brought about by the juxtaposition of an elephant-mediated landscape, human-utilized communal harvesting lands and a nature reserve fenced off from both humans and elephants – to investigate the influence of humans and elephants on height-specific treefall dynamics. We surveyed 6812 ha using repeat, airborne high resolution Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) to track the fate of 453 685 tree canopies over two years. Human-mediated biennial treefall rates were 2–3.5 fold higher than the background treefall rate of 1.5% treefall ha–1, while elephant-mediated treefall rates were 5 times higher at 7.6% treefall ha–1 than the control site. Model predictors of treefall revealed that human or elephant presence was the most important variable, followed by the interaction between geology and fire frequency. Treefall patterns were spatially heterogeneous with elephant-driven treefall associated with geology and surface water, while human patterns were related to perceived ease of access to wood harvesting areas and settlement expansion. Our results show humans and elephants utilize all height classes of woody vegetation, and that large tree shortages in a heavily utilized communal land has transferred treefall occurrence to shorter vegetation. Elephant- and human-dominated landscapes are tied to interactive effects that may hinder tree seedling survival which, combined with tree loss in the landscape, may compromise woodland sustainability.Andrew Mellon Foundation; Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR) Strategic Research Panel; Dept of Science and Technology (DST); Avatar Alliance Foundation; Margaret A. Cargill Foundation; David and Lucile Packard Foundation; Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation; Grantham Foundation for the Protection of the Environment; W. M. Keck Foundation; John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation; Exxaro Chairman's Fund; Applied Centre for Climate and Earth System Science; DST/NRF Centre of Excellence in Tree Health Biotechnology; NRF Innovation Scholarship [UID: 95030].http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10.1111/(ISSN)1600-05872018-11-30hj2017Geography, Geoinformatics and Meteorolog

Land cover change detection using autocorrelation analysis on MODIS time-series data : detection of new human settlements in the Gauteng province of South Africa

Human settlement expansion is one of the most pervasive forms of land cover change in the Gauteng province of South Africa. A method for detecting new settlement developments in areas that are typically covered by natural vegetation using 500 m MODIS time-series satellite data is proposed. The method is a per pixel change alarm that uses the temporal autocorrelation to infer a change index which yields a change or no-change decision after thresholding. Simulated change data was generated and used to determine a threshold during an off-line optimization phase. After optimization the method was evaluated on examples of known land cover change in the study area and experimental results indicate a 92% change detection accuracy with a 15% false alarm rate. The method shows good performance when compared to a traditional NDVI differencing method that achieved a 75% change detection accuracy with a 24% false alarm rate for the same study area.http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpl/RecentIssue.jsp?reload=true&punumber=4609443hb2017Electrical, Electronic and Computer Engineerin

Fuelwood extraction intensity drives compensatory regrowth in African savanna communal lands

Woody biomass remains the primary energy source for domestic use in the developing world, raising concerns about woodland sustainability. Yet woodland regenerative capacity and the adaptive response of harvesters to localised fuelwood shortages are often underestimated or unaccounted for in fuelwood supply–demand models. Here, we explore the rates and patterns of height‐specific woody vegetation structural dynamics in three communal lands in a semiarid savanna in South Africa. Using repeat, airborne light detection and ranging, we measured height‐specific change in woody vegetation structure, and the relative influence of geology, fire, and ease of access to fuelwood. Monitoring 634,284 trees canopies over 4 years revealed high compensatory growth, particularly in the high wood extraction communal land: 34.1% of trees increased in height >1 m. Vegetation structural patterns were associated with ease of access to the communal land but were mediated by wood extraction intensity. In these communal lands, vegetation structural dynamics show rapid woody thickening as a response to repeat harvesting. However, loss of height in vegetation structure did not follow a gradient of wood extraction intensity. We propose a conceptual framework to better understand change in vegetation structural metrics and the paradoxical phenomenon of high growth in high wood extraction scenarios. We also show coadaptive responses of humans and woody vegetation to fuelwood harvesting in human–environment systems through patterns of regrowth response relative to ease of access to fuelwood resources.LiDAR data collection was funded by the Andrew Mellon Foundation, the Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR) Strategic Research Panel and the Department of Science and Technology (DST). The CAO has been made possible by grants and donations from the Avatar Alliance Foundation, Margaret A. Cargill Foundation, David and Lucile Packard Foundation, Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation, Grantham Foundation for the Protection of the Environment, W. M. Keck Foundation, John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation, Andrew Mellon Foundation, Mary Anne Nyburg Baker and G. Leonard Baker Jr, and William R. Hearst III. B. F. N. E. is supported by the Exxaro Chairman's Fund. P. J. M. is funded by the DST/NRF Centre of Excellence in Tree Health Biotechnology and an NRF Innovation Scholarship (grant UID: 95030).http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10.1002/(ISSN)1099-145X2020-01-30hj2018Geography, Geoinformatics and Meteorolog