Predictors of new onsets of irritable bowel syndrome, chronic fatigue syndrome and fibromyalgia:the lifelines study

BACKGROUND: It has been claimed that functional somatic syndromes share a common etiology. This prospective population-based study assessed whether the same variables predict new onsets of irritable bowel syndrome (IBS), chronic fatigue syndrome (CFS) and fibromyalgia (FM). METHODS: The study included 152 180 adults in the Dutch Lifelines study who reported the presence/absence of relevant syndromes at baseline and follow-up. They were screened at baseline for physical and psychological disorders, socio-demographic, psycho-social and behavioral variables. At follow-up (mean 2.4 years) new onsets of each syndrome were identified by self-report. We performed separate analyses for the three syndromes including participants free of the relevant syndrome or its key symptom at baseline. LASSO logistic regressions were applied to identify which of the 102 baseline variables predicted new onsets of each syndrome. RESULTS: There were 1595 (1.2%), 296 (0.2%) and 692 (0.5%) new onsets of IBS, CFS, and FM, respectively. LASSO logistic regression selected 26, 7 and 19 predictors for IBS, CFS and FM, respectively. Four predictors were shared by all three syndromes, four predicted IBS and FM and two predicted IBS and CFS but 28 predictors were specific to a single syndrome. CFS was more distinct from IBS and FM, which predicted each other. CONCLUSIONS: Syndrome-specific predictors were more common than shared ones and these predictors might form a better starting point to unravel the heterogeneous etiologies of these syndromes than the current approach based on symptom patterns. The close relationship between IBS and FM is striking and requires further research

Mental health stigma and mental health knowledge in Chinese population:a cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND: Little is known about the public stigma on mental illness and mental health knowledge (MHK) in China, public stigma and low MHK can negatively affect patients' health and increase the burden of mental disorders on society. This study aimed at investigating the rates of stigma and MHK, the correlates of stigma and MHK, and the association between MHK and stigma among a Chinese population. METHODS: The data is from the Tianjin Mental Health Survey (TJMHS), which involved a large and a representative sample of adult community residents in the Chinese municipality of Tianjin (n = 11,748). In a 12% random subsample (n = 1775) the Perceived Discrimination and Devaluation scale (PDD) and a Mental Health Knowledge Questionnaire (MHKQ) were administered. First, percentages of the responses to the individual items of the PDD and MHKQ were investigated. Second, sociodemographic correlates of PDD and MHK, and the association between stigma and MHK were investigated. RESULTS: We found that a sizable proportion of participants responded that others would hold a negative attitude towards (former) mental patients, especially with regard to engaging in closer personal relationships. Most people were not familiar about the causes, treatments and prevention of mental illness. Resident area, age, education level, Per capita family income and employment status were related to devaluation score and MHKQ score. MHK was negatively associated with public stigma. CONCLUSIONS: There is room for improvement with regard to levels of public stigma and MHK in China. Providing psychoeducation to improve public MHK could also contribute to reduction of public stigma

Individual and common patterns in the order of symptom improvement during outpatient treatment for major depression

BACKGROUND: Research so far provided few clues on the order in which depressive symptoms typically remit during treatment. This study examined which depressive symptoms improve first, and whether symptoms changed before, simultaneous with, or after the core symptoms of depression (i.e., sad mood, loss of pleasure, and loss of interest). METHODS: Participants were 176 patients with Major Depressive Disorder (MDD) receiving outpatient treatment (a combination of pharmacotherapy and psychological interventions) for depression. Participants filled out the Inventory of Depressive Symptomatology - Self Report (IDS-SR) for 16 to 20 consecutive weeks. For each symptom, the timing of onset of a persistent improvement was determined for each single-subject separately. RESULTS: Which symptoms improved first differed markedly across patients. The core depression symptoms improved 1.5 to 2 times more often before (48% - 60%) than after (19% -28%) depressive cognitions ('view of myself' and 'view of the future'), anxiety symptoms ('feeling irritable' and 'feeling anxious / tense') and vegetative symptoms ('loss of energy', 'slowed down', and 'physical energy'). Only improvements in suicidal thoughts were more likely to occur before (46% - 48%) than after (29%) improvements in the depression core symptoms. LIMITATIONS: Not all 'core depression-non-core symptom' combinations could be tested because some symptoms did not improve in a sufficient number of patients. CONCLUSIONS: Which improvements mark the start of symptom remission differed between patients. Improvements in the core depression symptoms 'sad mood', 'loss of interest', and 'loss of pleasure' were more likely to occur before than after improvements in non-core symptoms

The association of developmental trajectories of adolescent mental health with early-adult functioning

BACKGROUND: Mental health problems during adolescence may create a problematic start into adulthood for affected individuals. Usually, categorical indicators of adolescent mental health issues (yes/no psychiatric disorder) are used in studies into long-term functional outcomes. This however does not take into account the full spectrum of mental health, nor does it consider the trajectory of mental health problem development over time. The aim of this study was twofold: (1) to identify distinct developmental trajectories of (co-occurring) internalizing and externalizing mental health symptoms over the course of adolescence (ages 11-19), and (2) to document the associations between these adolescent trajectories and economic, social, and health outcomes in young adulthood (age 22), unadjusted and adjusted for childhood functioning, putative confounders and current mental health. METHODS: Data were used from the Dutch TRAILS cohort study (subsample n = 1524, 47.3% males). Self-reported INT and EXT symptoms using the Youth/Adult Self Report were assessed four times (ages 11y, 13y, 16y, 19y). Adolescent mental health trajectories were estimated using Parallel-Processes Latent Class Growth Analyses. Self-reported economic, social, and health outcomes and parent-reported current mental health (using Adult Behaviour Checklist) were assessed at age 22. Multiple logistic regression analyses were performed to test associations between trajectories and outcomes. RESULTS: Four distinct trajectory classes were identified: (1) a normative class with decreasing-low INT+EXT symptoms (n = 460), (2) continuous moderately-high INT+EXT (n = 298), (3) continuous moderate, INT>EXT (n = 414), and (4) decreasing moderate, EXT>INT (n = 352). Compared to the normative class, the other three trajectories generally predicted less optimal early-adult outcomes, with the strongest effects observed for individuals with continuous moderate-high levels of both INT and EXT symptoms throughout adolescence. The associations largely remained after adjustment for pre-adolescent functioning, selected confounders and current mental health. CONCLUSIONS: Both adolescent trajectories and current mental health had substantial independent effects on early-adult functioning

Symptom and Course Heterogeneity of Depressive Symptoms and Prognosis Following Myocardial Infarction

Objective: Previously published findings from the DepreMI cohort suggested that both the course and the type of depressive symptoms following myocardial infarction (MI) are related to prognosis but did not examine both factors simultaneously. The aim of this reanalysis study was to assess whether MI patients can be empirically classified based on trajectories of cognitive/affective (CA) and somatic/affective (SA) symptoms, and whether these classes differentially predict adverse outcomes. Method: Patients with acute MI (n = 457) were recruited between 1997 and 2000 and provided (BDI-I) data at baseline, 3, 6 and 12 months. Parallel Processes latent class growth analysis was used to identify latent classes. Patients were followed up until 2007 for all-cause mortality and cardiovascular readmissions. Results: Three classes were identified: low severity = consistently low CA and SA (n = 316); somatic persistence = consistently low CA and high SA (n = 110); and overall persistence = high and increasing CA and SA (n = 31). After adjustment for gender and the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events risk score, somatic persistence (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.86; 95% CI: 1.18 -2.94; p = .008) but not overall persistence (HR: 1.09.; 95% CI: 0.39-3.03; p = .87), predicted mortality compared with low severity. Classes were not predictive of nonfatal cardiovascular events. Conclusions: MI patient classes differed in severity and course of CA and SA depressive symptoms in the post-MI year. Only a class with persistent SA depressive symptoms was associated with increased mortality compared with patients with low severity. This is suggestive of different origins of SA depressive symptoms in MI patients that may explain the differential associations with mortality

Loneliness associates strongly with anxiety and depression during the COVID pandemic, especially in men and younger adults

Loneliness is associated with major depressive disorder (MDD), and likely also with generalized anxiety disorder (GAD). It is unclear if these associations are moderated by age, sex, or genetic susceptibility for MDD. We included 75,279 individuals from the Lifelines COVID-19 study, a longitudinal study of a Dutch population-based cohort. Participants completed up to sixteen digital questionnaires between March 2020 and January 2021, yielding a total of 616,129 observations. Loneliness was assessed with the Three-Item Loneliness Scale, and MDD and GAD with the Mini-International Neuropsychiatric Interview. We used generalized estimating equations to investigate the association between loneliness and MDD and GAD, and whether this association varied across time, age, sex and MDD polygenic risk. Loneliness was strongly associated with all MDD and GAD outcomes. Individuals with the highest loneliness scores were around 14 times more likely to have MDD, and 11 times more likely to have GAD, compared to individuals who reported the least loneliness. The association between loneliness and MDD symptoms was stronger in men, younger individuals, and increased across time. While MDD polygenic risk predicted MDD and GAD outcomes, we did not find an interaction effect with loneliness. Our study, which is the largest to date, confirms that loneliness is an important risk factor for MDD, GAD, depressive and anxiety symptoms, especially in men and younger individuals. Future studies should investigate the mechanisms of these associations and explore loneliness-based interventions to prevent and treat MDD and GAD

Female sex and femininity independently associate with common somatic symptom trajectories

BACKGROUND: Multiple predictors have been associated with persistent somatic symptoms. However, previous studies problematically defined the persistence of symptoms, conflated participants' sex and gender, and focused on patient populations. Therefore, we studied associations between predictors, especially sex and gender, and longitudinal patterns of somatic symptoms in the general adult population. We also assessed whether predictors for persisting symptoms differ between sexes. METHOD: To identify developmental trajectories of somatic symptoms, assessed by the SCL-90 SOM, we used latent class trajectory modeling in the Dutch Lifelines Cohort Study [N = 150 494; 58.6% female; median time to follow-up: 46.0 (min-max: 22.0-123.0) months]. To identify predictors of trajectories, we applied multiple logistic regression analyses. Predictors were measured by surveys at baseline and a composite gender index was previously developed. RESULTS: A five-class linear LCGA model fitted the data best: 93.7% of the population had a stable symptom trajectory, whereas 1.5% and 4.8% of the population had a consistently increasing or decreasing symptom trajectory, respectively. Female sex predicted severe, stable symptom severity (OR 1.74, 95% CI 1.36-2.22), but not increasing symptom severity (OR 1.15, 95% CI 0.99-1.40). Femininity was protective hereof (OR 0.60, 95% CI 0.44-0.82 and OR 0.66, 95% CI 0.51-0.85, respectively). Merely a few predictors of symptom severity, for instance hours of paid employment and physical functioning, differed in strength between sexes. Yet, effect sizes were small. CONCLUSION: Female sex and femininity predict symptom trajectories. No large sex differences in the strength of additional predictors were found, thus it may not be clinically useful to distinguish between predictors specific to male or female patients of persistent somatic symptoms

Using bundle embeddings to predict daily cortisol levels in human subjects

BACKGROUND: Many biological variables sampled from human subjects show a diurnal pattern, which poses special demands on the techniques used to analyze such data. Furthermore, most biological variables belong to nonlinear dynamical systems, which may make linear statistical techniques less suitable to analyze their dynamics. The current study investigates the usefulness of two analysis techniques based on nonlinear lagged vector embeddings: sequentially weighted global linear maps (SMAP), and bundle embeddings. METHODS: Time series of urinary cortisol were collected in 10 participants, in the morning ('night' measurement) and the evening ('day' measurement), resulting in 126 consecutive measurements. These time series were used to create lagged vector embeddings, which were split into 'night' and 'day' bundle embeddings. In addition, embeddings were created based on time series that were corrected for the average time-of-day (TOD) values. SMAP was used to predict future values of cortisol in these embeddings. Global (linear) and local (non-linear) predictions were compared for each embedding. Bootstrapping was used to obtain confidence intervals for the model parameters and the prediction error. RESULTS: The best cortisol predictions were found for the night bundle embeddings, followed by the full embeddings and the time-of-day corrected embeddings. The poorest predictions were found for the day bundle embeddings. The night bundle embeddings, the full embeddings and the TOD-corrected embeddings all showed low dimensions, indicating the absence of dynamical processes spanning more than one day. The dimensions of the day bundles were higher, indicating the presence of processes spanning more than one day, or a higher amount of noise. In the full embeddings, local models gave the best predictions, whereas in the bundles the best predictions were obtained from global models, indicating potential nonlinearity in the former but not the latter. CONCLUSIONS: Using a bundling approach on time series of cortisol may reveal differences between the predictions of night and day cortisol that are difficult to find with conventional time-series methods. Combination of this approach with SMAP may especially be useful when analyzing time-series data with periodic components

Early-Life Environmental and Child Factors Associated with the Presence of Disruptive Behaviors in Seven-Year-Old Children with Autistic Traits in the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children

We studied the association of early-life environmental and child factors with disruptive behaviors in children with autistic traits around age 7, in the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (n = 6,401). Logistic regression with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator indicated that disruptive behaviors were associated with prenatal smoking, no seafood-consumption during pregnancy, breech presentation at delivery, neonatal feeding problems, low social-economic situation, suboptimal preschool family environment, maternal depression, maternal antisocial behavior, male sex, and difficult child temperament. Compared to controls, male sex, maternal depression, and suboptimal preschool family environment were related to autistic traits without disruptive behaviors. Thus, there may be a difference in early-life factors related to autism spectrum disorder with and without disruptive behaviors. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10803-021-05081-x

Childhood trauma and dysregulation of multiple biological stress systems in adulthood:Results from the Netherlands Study of Depression and Anxiety (NESDA)

Background: Childhood trauma (CT) is a risk factor for depressive and anxiety disorders. Although dysregulated biological stress systems may underlie the enduring effect of CT, the relation between CT and separate and cumulative activity of the major stress systems, namely, the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal (HPA)-axis, the immune-inflammatory system, and the autonomic nervous system (ANS), remains inconclusive. Methods: In the Netherlands Study of Depression and Anxiety (NESDA, n = 2778), we determined whether self-reported CT (as assessed by the Childhood Trauma Interview) was associated with separate and cumulative markers of the HPA-axis (cortisol awakening response, evening cortisol, dexamethasone suppression test cortisol), the immune-inflammatory system (C-reactive protein, interleukin-6, tumor necrosis factor-α), and the ANS (heart rate, respiratory sinus arrhythmia, pre-ejection period) in adulthood. Results: Almost all individuals with CT (n = 1330) had either current or remitted depressive and/or anxiety disorder (88.6%). Total-sample analyses showed little evidence for CT being significantly associated with the separate or cumulative stress systems’ activity in adulthood. These findings were true for individuals with and without depressive and/or anxiety disorders. To maximize contrast, individuals with severe CT were compared to healthy controls without CT. This yielded slight, but significantly higher levels of cortisol awakening response (AUCg, β =.088, p =.007; AUCi, β =.084, p =.010), cumulative HPA-axis markers (β =.115, p =.001), C-reactive protein (β =.055, p =.032), interleukin-6 (β =.053, p =.038), cumulative inflammation (β =.060, p =.020), and cumulative markers across all systems (β =.125, p =.0003) for those with severe CT, partially explained by higher rates of smoking, body mass index, and chronic diseases. Conclusion: While our findings do not provide conclusive evidence on CT directly dysregulating stress systems, individuals with severe CT showed slight indications of dysregulations, partially explained by an unhealthy lifestyle and poorer health