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    Supernova pencil beam survey

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    Type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia) can be calibrated to be good standard candles at cosmological distances. We propose a supernova pencil beam survey that could yield between dozens to hundreds of SNe Ia in redshift bins of 0.1 up to z=1.5z=1.5, which would compliment space based SN searches, and enable the proper consideration of the systematic uncertainties of SNe Ia as standard candles, in particular, luminosity evolution and gravitational lensing. We simulate SNe Ia luminosities by adding weak lensing noise (using empirical fitting formulae) and scatter in SN Ia absolute magnitudes to standard candles placed at random redshifts. We show that flux-averaging is powerful in reducing the combined noise due to gravitational lensing and scatter in SN Ia absolute magnitudes. The SN number count is not sensitive to matter distribution in the universe; it can be used to test models of cosmology or to measure the SN rate. The SN pencil beam survey can yield a wealth of data which should enable accurate determination of the cosmological parameters and the SN rate, and provide valuable information on the formation and evolution of galaxies. The SN pencil beam survey can be accomplished on a dedicated 4 meter telescope with a square degree field of view. This telescope can be used to conduct other important observational projects compatible with the SN pencil beam survey, such as QSOs, Kuiper belt objects, and in particular, weak lensing measurements of field galaxies, and the search for gamma-ray burst afterglows.Comment: Final version, to appear in ApJ, 531, #2 (March 10, 2000). 22 pages including 5 figures. Improved presentatio

    Detecting and diagnosing faults in dynamic stochastic distributions using a rational b-splines approximation to output PDFs

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    Describes the process of detecting and diagnosing faults in dynamic stochastic distributions using a rational b-splines approximation to output PDFs
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