Stable carbon isotopic composition of biomass burning emissions - implications for estimating the contribution of C-3 and C-4 plants

Landscape fires are a significant contributor to atmospheric burdens of greenhouse gases and aerosols. Although many studies have looked at biomass burning products and their fate in the atmosphere, estimating and tracing atmospheric pollution from landscape fires based on atmospheric measurements are challenging due to the large variability in fuel composition and burning conditions. Stable carbon isotopes in biomass burning (BB) emissions can be used to trace the contribution of C-3 plants (e.g. trees or shrubs) and C-4 plants (e.g. savanna grasses) to various combustion products. However, there are still many uncertainties regarding changes in isotopic composition (also known as fractionation) of the emitted carbon compared to the burnt fuel during the pyrolysis and combustion processes. To study BB isotope fractionation, we performed a series of laboratory fire experiments in which we burned pure C-3 and C-4 plants as well as mixtures of the two. Using isotope ratio mass spectrometry (IRMS), we measured stable carbon isotope signatures in the pre-fire fuels and post-fire residual char, as well as in the CO2, CO, CH4, organic carbon (OC), and elemental carbon (EC) emissions, which together constitute over 98 % of the post-fire carbon. Our laboratory tests indicated substantial isotopic fractionation in combustion products compared to the fuel, which varied between the measured fire products. CO2, EC, and residual char were the most reliable tracers of the fuel C-13 signature. CO in particular showed a distinct dependence on burning conditions; flaming emissions were enriched in C-13 compared to smouldering combustion emissions. For CH4 and( )OC, the fractionation was the other way round for C3 emissions (C-13-enriched) and C-4 emissions (C-13-depleted). This indicates that while it is possible to distinguish between fires that were dominated by either C-3 or C-4 fuels using these tracers, it is more complicated to quantify their relative contribution to a mixed-fuel fire based on the delta C-13 signature of emissions. Besides laboratory experiments, we sampled gases and carbonaceous aerosols from prescribed fires in the Niassa Special Reserve (NSR) in Mozambique, using an unmanned aerial system (UAS)-mounted sampling set-up. We also provided a range of C-3:C-4 contributions to the fuel and measured the fuel isotopic signatures. While both OC and EC were useful tracers of the C-3-to-C-4 fuel ratio in mixed fires in the lab, we found particularly OC to be depleted compared to the calculated fuel signal in the field experiments. This suggests that either our fuel measurements were incomprehensive and underestimated the C-3:C-4 ratio in the field or other processes caused this depletion. Although additional field measurements are needed, our results indicate that C-3-vs.-C-4 source ratio estimation is possible with most BB products, albeit with varying uncertainty ranges

Clinical significance of cerebral microbleeds on MRI

__Background:__ Cerebral microbleeds can confer a high risk of intracerebral hemorrhage, ischemic stroke, death and dementia, but estimated risks remain imprecise and often conflicting. We investigated the association between cerebral microbleeds presence and these outcomes in a large meta-analysis of all published cohorts including: ischemic stroke/TIA, memory clinic, “high risk” elderly populations, and healthy individuals in population-based studies. __Methods:__ Cohorts (with > 100 participants) that assessed cerebral microbleeds presence on MRI, with subsequent follow-up (≥3 months) were identified. The association between cerebral microbleeds and each of the outcomes (ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, death, and dementia) was quantified using random effects models of (a) unadjusted crude odds ratios and (b) covariate-adjusted hazard rations. Results: We identified 31 cohorts (n = 20,368): 19 ischemic stroke/TIA (n = 7672), 4 memory clinic (n = 1957), 3 high risk elderly (n = 1458) and 5 population-based cohorts (n = 11,722). Cerebral microbleeds were associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke (OR: 2.14; 95% CI: 1.58–2.89 and adj-HR: 2.09; 95% CI: 1.71–2.57), but the relative increase in future intracerebral hemorrhage risk was greater (OR: 4.65; 95% CI: 2.68–8.08 and adj-HR: 3.93; 95% CI: 2.71–5.69). Cerebral microbleeds were an independent predictor of all-cause mortality (adj-HR: 1.36; 95% CI: 1.24–1.48). In three population-based studies, cerebral microbleeds were independently associated with incident dementia (adj-HR: 1.35; 95% CI: 1.00–1.82). Results were overall consistent in analyses stratified by different populations, but with different degrees of heterogeneity. __Conclusions:__ Our meta-analysis shows that cerebral microbleeds predict an increased risk of stroke, death, and dementia and provides up-to-date effect sizes across different clinical settings. These pooled estimates can inform clinical decisions and trials, further supporting cerebral microbleeds role as biomarkers of underlying subclinical brain pathology in research and clinical settings

Stable carbon isotopic composition of biomass burning emissions – implications for estimating the contribution of C3 and C4 plants

Landscape fires are a significant contributor to atmospheric burdens of greenhouse gases and aerosols. Although many studies have looked at biomass burning products and their fate in the atmosphere, estimating and tracing atmospheric pollution from landscape fires based on atmospheric measurements are challenging due to the large variability in fuel composition and burning conditions. Stable carbon isotopes in biomass burning (BB) emissions can be used to trace the contribution of C3 plants (e.g. trees or shrubs) and C4 plants (e.g. savanna grasses) to various combustion products. However, there are still many uncertainties regarding changes in isotopic composition (also known as fractionation) of the emitted carbon compared to the burnt fuel during the pyrolysis and combustion processes. To study BB isotope fractionation, we performed a series of laboratory fire experiments in which we burned pure C3 and C4 plants as well as mixtures of the two. Using isotope ratio mass spectrometry (IRMS), we measured stable carbon isotope signatures in the pre-fire fuels and post-fire residual char, as well as in the CO2, CO, CH4, organic carbon (OC), and elemental carbon (EC) emissions, which together constitute over 98 % of the post-fire carbon. Our laboratory tests indicated substantial isotopic fractionation in combustion products compared to the fuel, which varied between the measured fire products. CO2, EC, and residual char were the most reliable tracers of the fuel 13C signature. CO in particular showed a distinct dependence on burning conditions; flaming emissions were enriched in 13C compared to smouldering combustion emissions. For CH4 and OC, the fractionation was the other way round for C3 emissions (13C-enriched) and C4 emissions (13C-depleted). This indicates that while it is possible to distinguish between fires that were dominated by either C3 or C4 fuels using these tracers, it is more complicated to quantify their relative contribution to a mixed-fuel fire based on the δ13C signature of emissions. Besides laboratory experiments, we sampled gases and carbonaceous aerosols from prescribed fires in the Niassa Special Reserve (NSR) in Mozambique, using an unmanned aerial system (UAS)-mounted sampling set-up. We also provided a range of C3 : C4 contributions to the fuel and measured the fuel isotopic signatures. While both OC and EC were useful tracers of the C3-to-C4 fuel ratio in mixed fires in the lab, we found particularly OC to be depleted compared to the calculated fuel signal in the field experiments. This suggests that either our fuel measurements were incomprehensive and underestimated the C3 : C4 ratio in the field or other processes caused this depletion. Although additional field measurements are needed, our results indicate that C3-vs.-C4 source ratio estimation is possible with most BB products, albeit with varying uncertainty ranges

CO2-water-rock interactions in undeformed and sheared claystone caprocks from Northern Europe

One of the most promising, cost-effective, and readily available technologies for reducing greenhouse gas emissions to the atmosphere is the capture and separation of CO2 from large stationary sources and storage in geological formations. Storage security, especially in the early stages of operation, is mostly guaranteed by caprock formations with very low permeability overlying the reservoir, capable of containing the injected fluid. Chemical alterations of the formation brine, caused by CO2 injection may cause dissolution and precipitation of secondary minerals, potentially increasing the risks of leakage from the reservoir. In order to evaluate these processes and their potential to induce the formation of leakage pathways in ultrafine fault gouges, a series of batch experiments was performed on crushed and sheared samples from three different caprock formations from Northern Europe (Sollingen, Röt and Opalinus claystones). The experiments were supported by numerical models of the kinetics of mineral dissolution and precipitation simulating the same experimental conditions, and over a longer time (10 000 years). Minor mineral alterations were observed after the batch experiments, the most important being: illite dissolution for the Opalinus and Röt formation samples, and dolomite dissolution and the transformation of illite and chlorite into kaolinite for the Sollingen sample

Division of the tropical savanna fire season into early and late dry season burning using MODIS active fires

Tropical savannas and grasslands are the most frequently burned biome in the world, and fire has an important role in sustaining ecosystem processes. Modern management of fires in savannas has roots in traditions stretching back centuries, and nowadays earth observation data is incorporated extensively in fire management practices. In tropical savannas in particular strongly seasonal monsoonal climates allow relatively low severity prescribed burning in the early part of the dry season (EDS) with the goal of preventing more destructive late dry season (LDS) fires. In many regional contexts it is common that a specific, fixed date is used officially to indicate when the window of safe burning has expired and the EDS transitions to the LDS, based on the experience of local or regional fire management authorities. This approach, while practical, neglects inter-annual variability in meteorological conditions and timing of onset of more dangerous fire weather. In this study, we pro-pose a remote sensing-based method for determining when this EDS window expires for five savanna-dominated continental-scale regions. By taking ad- vantage of the fact that conditions allowing night-time burning occur later in the dry season, we use day and night-time active fire detections from the MODerate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) instruments to set a flexible date of transition between the EDS and LDS. The vast majority of tropical savannas have very variable (std. dev. ≈ 20–40 days) transition dates, though this is somewhat modulated by fire frequency. Fuel connectivity rather than fuel condition appears to be a strong driving factor behind this variability. We find that especially national parks and protected areas have a high proportion of potentially more severe burning in the LDS, though areas with well-established EDS burning programmes are reducing this impact.</p

Incentivizing sustainable fire management in Australia's northern arid spinifex grasslands

Fire management across Australia's fire-prone 1.2 M km2 northern savannas region has been transformed over the past decade supported by the inception of Australia's national regulated emissions reduction market in 2012. Today, incentivised fire management is undertaken over a quarter of that entire region, providing a range of socio-cultural, environmental, and economic benefits, including for remote Indigenous (Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander) communities and enterprises. Building on those advances, here we explore the emissions abatement potential for expanding incentivised fire management opportunities to include a contiguous fire-prone region, extending to monsoonal but annually lower (&lt;600 mm) and more variable rainfall conditions, supporting predominantly shrubby spinifex (Triodia) hummock grasslands characteristic of much of Australia's deserts and semi-arid rangelands. Adapting a standard methodological approach applied previously for assessing savanna emissions parameters, we first describe fire regime and associated climatic attributes for a proposed ∼850,000 km2 lower rainfall (600–350 mm MAR) focal region. Second, based on regional field assessments of seasonal fuel accumulation, combustion, burnt area patchiness, and accountable methane and nitrous oxide Emission Factor parameters, we find that significant emissions abatement is feasible for regional hummock grasslands. This applies specifically for more frequently burnt sites under higher rainfall conditions if substantial early dry season prescribed fire management is undertaken resulting in marked reduction in late dry season wildfires. The proposed Northern Arid Zone (NAZ) focal envelope is substantially under Indigenous land ownership and management, and in addition to reducing emissions impacts associated with recurrent extensive wildfires, development of commercial landscape-scale fire management opportunities would significantly support social, cultural and biodiversity management aspirations as promoted by Indigenous landowners. Combined with existing regulated savanna fire management regions, inclusion of the NAZ under existing legislated abatement methodologies would effectively provide incentivised fire management covering a quarter of Australia's landmass. This could complement an allied (non-carbon) accredited method valuing combined social, cultural and biodiversity outcomes from enhanced fire management of hummock grasslands. Although the management approach has potential application to other international fire-prone savanna grasslands, caution is required to ensure that such practice does not result in irreversible woody encroachment and undesirable habitat change.</p

Instantaneous pre-fire biomass and fuel load measurements from multi-spectral UAS mapping in southern African Savannas

Landscape fires are substantial sources of (greenhouse) gases and aerosols. Fires in savanna landscapes represent more than half of global fire carbon emissions. Quantifying emissions from fires relies on accurate burned area, fuel load and burning efficiency data. Of these, fuel load remains the source of the largest uncertainty. In this study, we used high spatial resolution images from an Unmanned Aircraft System (UAS) mounted multispectral camera, in combination with meteorological data from the ERA-5 land dataset, to model instantaneous pre-fire above-ground biomass. We constrained our model with ground measurements taken in two locations in savannadominated regions in Southern Africa, one low-rainfall region (660 mm year−1) in the North-West District (Ngamiland), Botswana, and one high-rainfall region (940 mm year−1) in Niassa Province (northern Mozambique). We found that for fine surface fuel classes (live grass and dead plant litter), the model was able to reproduce measured Above-Ground Biomass (AGB) (R2 of 0.91 and 0.77 for live grass and total fine fuel, respectively) across both low and high rainfall areas. The model was less successful in representing other classes, e.g., woody debris, but in the regions considered, these are less relevant to biomass burning and make smaller contributions to total AGB

Intraseasonal variability of greenhouse gas emission factors from biomass burning in the Brazilian Cerrado

Landscape fires, often referred to as biomass burning (BB), emit substantial amounts of (greenhouse) gases and aerosols into the atmosphere each year. Frequently burning savannas, mostly in Africa, Australia, and South America are responsible for over 60 % of total BB carbon emissions. Compared to many other sources of emissions, fires have a strong seasonality. Previous research has identified the mitigation potential of prescribed fires in savanna ecosystems; by burning cured fuels early in the dry season when landscape conditions still provide moist buffers against fire spread, fires are in general smaller, patchier, and less intense. While it is widely accepted that burned area (BA) and the total carbon consumed are lower when fires are ignited early in the dry season, little is known about the intraseasonal variability of emission factors (EFs). This is important because potentially, higher EFs in the early dry season (EDS) could offset some of the carbon benefits of EDS burning. Also, a better understanding of EF intraseasonal variability may improve large-scale BB assessments, which to date rely on temporally static EFs. We used a sampling system mounted on an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) to sample BB smoke in the Estac ao Ecologica Serra Geral do Tocantins in the Brazilian states of Tocantins and Bahia. The protected area contains all major Cerrado vegetation types found in Brazil, and EDS burning has been implemented since 2014. Over 800 smoke samples were collected and analysed during the EDS of 2018 and late dry season (LDS) of 2017 and 2018. The samples were analysed using cavity ring-down spectroscopy, and the carbon balance method was used to estimate CO span classCombining double low lineinline-formula 2 , CO, CH span classCombining double low lineinline-formula 4 , and N span classCombining double low lineinline-formula 2 O EFs. Observed EF averages and standard deviations were 1651 ( span classCombining double low lineinline-formula ±50 ) g kg span classCombining double low lineinline-formula -1 for CO span classCombining double low lineinline-formula 2 , 57.9 ( span classCombining double low lineinline-formula ±28.2 ) g kg span classCombining double low lineinline-formula -1 for CO, 0.97 ( span classCombining double low lineinline-formula ±0.82 ) g kg span classCombining double low lineinline-formula -1 for CH span classCombining double low lineinline-formula 4 , and 0.096 ( span classCombining double low lineinline-formula ±0.174 ) g kg span classCombining double low lineinline-formula -1 for N span classCombining double low lineinline-formula 2 O. Averaged over all measured fire prone Cerrado types, the modified combustion efficiency (MCE) was slightly higher in the LDS (0.961 versus 0.956), and the CO and CH span classCombining double low lineinline-formula 4 were 10 % and 2.3 % lower in the LDS compared to the EDS. However, these differences were not statistically significant using a two-tailed span classCombining double low lineinline-formula i t /i test with unequal variance at a 90 % significance level. The seasonal effect was larger in more wood-dominated vegetation types. N span classCombining double low lineinline-formula 2 O EFs showed a more complex seasonal dependency, with opposite intraseasonal trends for savannas that were dominated by grasses versus those with abundant shrubs. We found that the N span classCombining double low lineinline-formula 2 O EF for the open Cerrado was less than half the EF suggested by literature compilations for savannas. This may indicate a substantial overestimation of the contribution of fires in the N span classCombining double low lineinline-formula 2 O budget. Overall, our data imply that in this region, seasonal variability in greenhouse gas emission factors may offset only a small fraction of the carbon mitigation gains in fire abatement programmes