Internal phosphorus load estimation during biomanipulation in a large polymictic and mesotrophic lake

We quantified internal phosphorus (P) load for 26 years in the polymictic, large (155 km(2)) and shallow (mean depth 5.5 m) Lake Sakylan Pyhajarvi, which was heavily biomanipulated by fish removal. Internal load was estimated as (1) partially net estimates from in situ P summer increases, (2) net estimates from P budgets (mass balance approach), and (3) gross estimates from predicted active sediment release area and sediment P release, dependent on August lake temperature. Long-term averages of these estimates were similar and large at about 60% of average external load (105 mg m(-2) yr(-1)) and were larger than external load in years with high water temperature and low water load. Regression analysis revealed that external load is decreasing but internal load is increasing over time. Internal load was negatively correlated with annual water load and positively correlated with lake water temperature. Long-term average annual or summer P concentrations are adequately predicted by a P mass balance model that includes external load, internal load (Method 3), and sedimentation as independently predicted retention. Predictability was poor for individual years, however, partially due to the poor correlation of observed lake and outflow P concentrations, the variable abundance of planktivorous fish, and reflecting the violation of the steady state assumption when individual years are modeled. Scenario modeling shows that biomanipulation cancels out the effects of internal load and forecasts a rapid increase of internal load and P concentration due to climate change; therefore, measures that further decrease external and internal P load and strengthen biomanipulation are recommended

Impacts of climate warming on the long-term dynamics of key fish species in 24 European lakes

Fish play a key role in the trophic dynamics of lakes. With climate warming, complex changes in fish assemblage structure may be expected owing to direct effects of temperature and indirect effects operating through eutrophication, water level changes, stratification and salinisation. We reviewed published and new long-term (10-100 years) fish data series from 24 European lakes (area: 0.04-5,648 km(2); mean depth: 1-177 m; a north-south gradient from Sweden to Spain). Along with an annual temperature increase of about 0.15-0.3A degrees C per decade profound changes have occurred in either fish assemblage composition, body size and/or age structure during recent decades and a shift towards higher dominance of eurythermal species. These shifts have occurred despite a reduction in nutrient loading in many of the lakes that should have benefited the larger-sized individuals and the fish species typically inhabiting cold-water, low-nutrient lakes. The cold-stenothermic Arctic charr has been particularly affected and its abundance has decreased in the majority of the lakes where its presence was recorded. The harvest of cool-stenothermal brown trout has decreased substantially in two southern lakes. Vendace, whitefish and smelt show a different response depending on lake depth and latitude. Perch has apparently been stimulated in the north, with stronger year classes in warm years, but its abundance has declined in the southern Lake Maggiore, Italy. Where introduced, roach seems to take advantage of the higher temperature after years of low population densities. Eurythermal species such as common bream, pike-perch and/or shad are apparently on the increase in several of the lakes. The response of fish to the warming has been surprisingly strong and fast in recent decades, making them ideal sentinels for detecting and documenting climate-induced modifications of freshwater ecosystems