9 research outputs found
Eurasian watermilfoil biomass associated with insect herbivores in New York
A study of aquatic plant biomass within Cayuga Lake, New
York spans twelve years from 1987-1998. The exotic Eurasian
watermilfoil
(
Myriophyllum spicatum
L.) decreased in the
northwest end of the lake from 55% of the total biomass in
1987 to 0.4% in 1998 and within the southwest end from
50% in 1987 to 11% in 1998. Concurrent with the watermilfoil
decline was the resurgence of native species of submersed
macrophytes. During this time we recorded for the
first time in Cayuga Lake two herbivorous insect species: the
aquatic moth
Acentria ephemerella
, first observed in 1991, and
the aquatic weevil
Euhrychiopsis lecontei
, first found in 1996
.
Densities of
Acentria
in southwest Cayuga Lake averaged 1.04
individuals per apical meristem of Eurasian watermilfoil for
the three-year period 1996-1998. These same meristems had
Euhrychiopsis
densities on average of only 0.02 individuals per
apical meristem over the same three-year period. A comparison
of herbivore densities and lake sizes from five lakes in
1997 shows that
Acentria
densities correlate positively with
lake surface area and mean depth, while
Euhrychiopsis
densities
correlate negatively with lake surface area and mean
depth. In these five lakes,
Acentria
densities correlate negatively
with percent composition and dry mass of watermilfoil.
However,
Euhrychiopsis
densities correlate positively with percent
composition and dry mass of watermilfoil. Finally,
Acentria
densities correlate negatively with
Euhrychiopsis
densities
suggesting interspecific competition
The Spatial Organization Of Watershed Systems.
PhDGeographyUniversity of Michigan, Horace H. Rackham School of Graduate Studieshttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/187089/2/7215029.pd
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21st Century flood risk projections at select sites for the U.S. National Park Service
Assessing flood risk using stationary flood frequency analysis techniques is commonplace. Flood risk However, it is increasingly evident that the stationarity assumption of these analyses does not hold as anthropogenic climate change could shift a site's hydroclimate beyond the range of historical behaviors. We employ nonstationary flood frequency models using the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution to model changing flood risk for select seasons at twelve National Parks across the U.S. In this GEV model, the location and/or scale parameters of the distribution are allowed to change as a function of time-variable covariates. We use historical precipitation and modeled flows from the Variable Infiltration Capacity model (VIC), a land-surface model that simulates land-atmosphere fluxes using water and energy balance equations, as covariates to fit a best nonstationary GEV model to each site. We apply climate model projections of precipitation and VIC flows to these models to obtain future flood probability estimates. Our model results project a decrease in flood risk for sites in the southwestern U.S. region and an increase in flood risk for sites in northern and eastern regions of the U.S. for the selected seasons. The methods and results presented will enable the NPS to develop strategies to ensure public safety and efficient infrastructure management and planning in a nonstationary climate.Open access journalThis item from the UA Faculty Publications collection is made available by the University of Arizona with support from the University of Arizona Libraries. If you have questions, please contact us at [email protected]