Prognostic value of risk score and urinary markers in idiopathic membranous nephropathy.

Item does not contain fulltextBACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Accurate prediction of prognosis may improve management of patients with idiopathic membranous nephropathy. This study compared the Toronto Risk Score and urinary low-molecular weight proteins. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: One hundred four patients with biopsy-proven idiopathic membranous nephropathy who presented between 1995 and 2008 with a well-preserved kidney function and nephrotic range proteinuria were included. Urinary beta2-microglobulin and alpha1-microglobulin measurements were obtained by timed standardized measurements, and the Toronto Risk Score was calculated using data obtained from medical records. The endpoint was progression, which was defined as an increase in serum creatinine>50% or >25% with a concentration>135 mumol/L. RESULTS: Forty-nine patients showed progression. The area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve was 0.78 (95% confidence interval=0.69-0.88) for the risk score versus 0.80 (0.71-0.89) and 0.79 (0.71-0.88) for urinary beta2- and alpha1-microglobulin, respectively. Differences were not significant. Persistent proteinuria did not add accuracy to the Toronto Risk Score. Conversely, its accuracy was not reduced when data from the first 6 months of follow-up were used. Furthermore, a score based on GFR estimated with the six-variable Modification of Diet in Renal Disease equation, calculated in the first 6 months of follow-up, gave an area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve of 0.83 (0.74-0.92), which was not statistically different from other markers. CONCLUSIONS: The prognostic accuracies of the Toronto Risk Score and urinary low-molecular weight proteins were not significantly different. The risk score can be calculated within 6 months of diagnosis, and a simplified risk score using estimated GFR-Modification of Diet in Renal Disease may be sufficient.1 augustus 201

Segmental and global subclasses of class IV lupus nephritis have similar renal outcomes.

Item does not contain fulltextWhether renal outcomes differ between the segmental and global subclasses of diffuse proliferative (class IV) lupus nephritis is unknown. In this meta-analysis, we searched the literature in MEDLINE, EMBASE, five registries of clinical trials, and selected cohort studies and randomized, controlled trials that used the 2003 International Society of Nephrology and Renal Pathology Society classification of lupus nephritis in adult patients. Our endpoint was the composite of doubling of serum creatinine concentration or ESRD. In the eight studies included in the final analysis, the incidence of this endpoint varied between 0% and 67%. A funnel plot and Egger's test did not suggest significant heterogeneity. The meta-analysis did not support a significant difference in renal outcome between the segmental (IV-S) and global (IV-G) subclasses (relative risk for class IV-G versus IV-S, 1.08; 95% confidence interval, 0.68-1.70). Meta-regression did not suggest that ethnicity or duration of follow-up influenced the association between histologic class and renal risk. In conclusion, the rate of doubling of serum creatinine concentration or of ESRD did not differ between patients with class IV-S and those with IV-G lupus nephritis.1 januari 201

Prognostic models for chronic kidney disease: a systematic review and external validation

BACKGROUND: Accurate risk prediction is needed in order to provide personalized healthcare for chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients. An overload of prognosis studies is being published, ranging from individual biomarker studies to full prediction studies. We aim to systematically appraise published prognosis studies investigating multiple biomarkers and their role in risk predictions. Our primary objective was to investigate if the prognostic models that are reported in the literature were of sufficient quality and to externally validate them. METHODS: We undertook a systematic review and appraised the quality of studies reporting multivariable prognosis models for end-stage renal disease (ESRD), cardiovascular (CV) events and mortality in CKD patients. We subsequently externally validated these models in a randomized trial that included patients from a broad CKD population. RESULTS: We identified 91 papers describing 36 multivariable models for prognosis of ESRD, 50 for CV events, 46 for mortality and 17 for a composite outcome. Most studies were deemed of moderate quality. Moreover, they often adopted different definitions for the primary outcome and rarely reported full model equations (21% of the included studies). External validation was performed in the Multifactorial Approach and Superior Treatment Efficacy in Renal Patients with the Aid of Nurse Practitioners trial (n = 788, with 160 events for ESRD, 79 for CV and 102 for mortality). The 24 models that reported full model equations showed a great variability in their performance, although calibration remained fairly adequate for most models, except when predicting mortality (calibration slope >1.5). CONCLUSIONS: This review shows that there is an abundance of multivariable prognosis models for the CKD population. Most studies were considered of moderate quality, and they were reported and analysed in such a manner that their results cannot directly be used in follow-up research or in clinical practice

Worldwide Disparity in the Relation Between CKD Prevalence and Kidney Failure Risk

International audienceIntroduction: The incidence of kidney replacement therapy (KRT) for kidney failure varies internationally much more than chronic kidney disease (CKD) prevalence. This ecologic study investigated the relation of CKD prevalence to KRT and mortality risks by world region. Methods: We used data from Global Burden of Disease and KRT registries worldwide with linear models to estimate the percentages of variance in KRT incidence and all-cause mortality explained by age-adjusted prevalence of CKD stages 3 to 5, overall and by gender, in 61 countries classified in 3 regions: high income (n = 28), Eastern and Central Europe (n = 15), and other (n = 18). Results: The incidence of KRT ranged from 89 to 378 per million population in high-income regions, 32 to 222 per million population in Central and Eastern Europe, and 22 to 493 per million population in the other region; age-adjusted CKD prevalence ranged from 5.5% to 10.4%, 7.6% to 13.7%, and 7.4% to 13.1%, respectively. The relation between these indicators was positive in high-income countries, negative in Central and Eastern Europe, and null in the other region. Age-adjusted CKD prevalence explained 40% of the variance in KRT incidence (P < 0.001) in high-income countries. The explained variance of age-adjusted mortality was close to 0 in high-income countries and positive at 19% (P = 0.10) in Central and Eastern Europe and at 11% (P = 0.17) in the other region. Results were consistent by gender. Conclusion: This study raises awareness on the significant part of the gaps in KRT incidence across countries not explained by the number of individuals with CKD, even in high-income countries where access to KRT is not limited

ABO-incompatible kidney transplantation in perspective of deceased donor transplantation and induction strategies: a propensity-matched analysis

Kidney transplant candidates are blood group incompatible with roughly one out of three potential living donors. We compared outcomes after ABO-incompatible (ABOi) kidney transplantation with matched ABO-compatible (ABOc) living and deceased donor transplantation and analyzed different induction regimens. We performed a retrospective study with propensity matching and compared patient and death-censored graft survival after ABOi versus ABOc living donor and deceased donor kidney transplantation in a nationwide registry from 2006 till 2019. 296 ABOi were compared with 1184 center and propensity-matched ABOc living donor and 1184 deceased donor recipients (matching: recipient age, sex, blood group, and PRA). Patient survival was better compared with deceased donor [hazard ratio (HR) for death of HR 0.69 (0.49–0.96)] and non-significantly different from ABOc living donor recipients [HR 1.28 (0.90–1.81)]. Rate of graft failure was higher compared with ABOc living donor transplantation [HR 2.63 (1.72–4.01)]. Rejection occurred in 47% of 140 rituximab versus 22% of 50 rituximab/basiliximab, and 4% of 92 alemtuzumab-treated recipients (P < 0.001). ABOi kidney transplantation is superior to deceased donor transplantation. Rejection rate and graft failure are higher compared with matched ABOc living donor transplantation, underscoring the need for further studies into risk stratification and induction therapy [NTR7587, www.trialregister.nl]

წითელი არმიელი N155

Background. Upcoming KDIGO guidelines for the evaluation of living kidney donors are expected to move towards a personal risk-based evaluation of potential donors. We present the age and sex-specific lifetime risk of renal replacement therapy (RRT) for end-stage renal disease in 10 European countries. Methods. We defined lifetime risk of RRT as the cumulative incidence of RRT up to age 90 years. We obtained RRT incidence rates per million population by 5-year age groups and sex using data from the European Renal Association-European Dialysis and Transplant Association (ERA-EDTA) Registry, and used these to estimate the cumulative incidence of RRT, adjusting for competingmortality risk. Results. Lifetime risk of RRT varied from 0.44% to 2.05% at age 20 years and from 0.17% to 1.59% at age 70 years across countries, and was twice as high in men as in women. Lifetime RRT risk decreased with age, ranging from an average of 0.77% to 0.44% in 20- to- 70-year-old women, and from 1.45% to 0.96% in 20- to- 70-year-old men. The lifetime risk of RRT increased slightly over the past decade, more so in men than in women. However, it appears to have stabilized or even decreased slightly inmore recent years. Conclusions. The lifetime risk of RRT decreased with age, was lower in women as compared with men of equal age and varied considerably throughout Europe. Given the substantial differences in lifetime risk of RRT between the USA and Europe, country-specific estimates should be used in the evaluation and communication of the risk of RRT for potential living kidney donors.SCOPUS: ar.jinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishe

Intra-individual variability of serum hepcidin-25 in haemodialysis patients using mass spectrometry and ELISA

Background. Measurement of serum hepcidin levels may provide a useful alternative to the current methods of determining iron status in chronic haemodialysis (HD) patients. However, the biological variability of this pivotal regulator of iron homeostasis is unclear, and the impact of inflammation, dialysis clearance and iron therapy on hepcidin variability has not been established.Methods. Two independent studies in chronic HD patients were conducted; serum hepcidin levels were measured at the start of dialysis sessions in 20 UK patients and in 43 Dutch patients by mass spectrometry (MS). Samples from UK patients were also analysed by a competitive enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (cELISA). Coefficient of variance (CV1) was calculated and potential factors affecting CV1 were also examined.Results. The median CV1 (inter-quartile range) was 23% (17-28) for the UK MS, 26% (17-48) for the Dutch MS and 23% (17-39) for the UK cELISA. The CV1 was similar in those patients receiving and those not receiving regular intravenous iron. The CV1 was not associated with the degree of inflammation. Hepcidin levels were higher following an inter-dialytic period of 3 versus 2 days (P = 0.02).Conclusions. These findings suggest considerable variability of serum hepcidin levels in HD patients. Inflammation and the use of iron did not impact on the degree of variability, and hepcidin levels were higher after an inter-dialytic period of 3 versus 2 days. These findings need to be taken into account in future studies assessing the utility of serum hepcidin as a guide to the use of iron or erythropoiesis-stimulating agents therapy.</p