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    A Spatial Model of Long-Term Forest Fire Dynamics and Its Application to Forests in Western Siberia

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    This paper is devoted to developing a spatial model of wildfires in forests. Wildfires are a dominant factor in controlling the structure and life of boreal forest communities. The main parameters controlling the simulation of fire dynamics are: probability of occurrence of fire source during one year per square unit, probability of fire maturity of cell in k-th state of n-th successional line during one year, and fire spread probability for cell in a stage of some successional line during one year per square unit. The dependence of forest fire dynamics on climatic conditions is reflected in such general climatic parameters as mean seasonal air temperature, seasonal sum of precipitations, and maximum period between two successive rains during one season. Testing of the model is based upon data on long-term forest fire dynamics in North America and western Siberia
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