4 research outputs found
Energy Enterprise Risks Analysis Using Fuzzy Logic Methods
In Russia's contemporary conditions, enterprises fail to make the full use of the state-of-the-art financial risks management toolkit. Both diagnosing methods and criterial norms within the mechanism of managing the energy enterprises are not adapted to the current crisis conditions of economic management, which renders it essential to develop the financial management tools that will take into account the industry-related specific nature and anti-crisis constituent of the organizations. In the work, the opportunity of applying the fuzzy logic method for analyzing the financial risks of energy enterprises in Russia is explored. For this purpose, the analysis and assessment of financial situation have been performed for a modeled energy enterprise and bankruptcy risk of the enterprise has been analyzed using the fuzzy logic method. It is demonstrated that the process of managing financial risks at the enterprise using the fuzzy sets approach is relevant in the contemporary conditions of energy enterprises functioning in Russia. There has been found the problem of having to improve the integrated risk management of energy enterprises.
Keywords: Energy enterprise; risk management; financial risks; bankruptcy risk; business activity indicator; concept of economic value added (EVA); fuzzy logic methods
JEL Classifications: O13, P28, P48
DOI: https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.795
Π‘ΡΠ΄Π΅Π±Π½Π°Ρ ΡΡΡΠΎΠΈΡΠ΅Π»ΡΠ½ΠΎ-ΡΠ΅Ρ Π½ΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠ°Ρ ΡΠΊΡΠΏΠ΅ΡΡΠΈΠ·Π° ΡΠ΅ΠΊΠΎΠ½ΡΡΡΡΠΈΡΠΎΠ²Π°Π½Π½ΡΡ ΠΏΠΎΠΌΠ΅ΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠΉ
The article addresses solving the issue of the possibility of preserving reconstructed premises or carrying out proposed reconstruction works in the course of in the course of construction forensic investigation. The significance of the problem attributes to the volume of the stock of residential and public buildings which are older than 40 years (according to statistics, the housing stock of Russia in 1980 was 1,861 million m2 , in 2015 β 3,581 million m2 ), outdated layouts of premises, and the evolved consumersβ idea of comfort.A construction expertβs task is to determine if there is a possibility to change the layout, the function of premises to improve living conditions, or reconstruction poses a threat to the state of the object, its further proper operation, the integrity of the installed engineering systems, the appearance of the facades, nearby buildings and structures.Β Using regulatory material, the authors consider the criteria for solving this problem, present the procedure for conducting studies of buildings or structures, building materials, structures, and relevant documents in this line of forensic construction examination. Finally, the article gives specific examples of the redevelopment of apartments, a proposed reconstruction of the kindergarten premises.It is noted that the reliability of expertsβ opinions is based on a comprehensive, unbiased analysis of all the technical and economic characteristics of construction objects, verification of documentation, an inspection of structures for compliance with the requirements of federal laws, rules, and regulations.Π‘ΡΠ°ΡΡΡ ΠΏΠΎΡΠ²ΡΡΠ΅Π½Π° ΡΠ΅ΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΡ ΡΠΊΡΠΏΠ΅ΡΡΠΎΠΌ-ΡΡΡΠΎΠΈΡΠ΅Π»Π΅ΠΌ Π²ΠΎΠΏΡΠΎΡΠ° ΠΎ Π²ΠΎΠ·ΠΌΠΎΠΆΠ½ΠΎΡΡΠΈ ΡΠΎΡ
ΡΠ°Π½Π΅Π½ΠΈΡ ΡΠ΅ΠΊΠΎΠ½ΡΡΡΡΠΈΡΠΎΠ²Π°Π½Π½ΡΡ
ΠΏΠΎΠΌΠ΅ΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠΉ ΠΈΠ»ΠΈ ΠΏΡΠΎΠ²Π΅Π΄Π΅Π½ΠΈΡ ΠΏΡΠ΅Π΄ΠΏΠΎΠ»Π°Π³Π°Π΅ΠΌΡΡ
ΡΠ΅ΠΊΠΎΠ½ΡΡΡΡΠΊΡΠΈΠ²Π½ΡΡ
ΠΌΠ΅ΡΠΎΠΏΡΠΈΡΡΠΈΠΉ. ΠΠΊΡΡΠ°Π»ΡΠ½ΠΎΡΡΡ ΠΎΠ±ΡΡΠ»ΠΎΠ²Π»Π΅Π½Π° ΠΎΠ±ΡΠ΅ΠΌΠ°ΠΌΠΈ ΡΠΎΠ½Π΄Π° ΠΆΠΈΠ»ΡΡ
ΠΈ ΠΎΠ±ΡΠ΅ΡΡΠ²Π΅Π½Π½ΡΡ
Π·Π΄Π°Π½ΠΈΠΉ ΡΡΠ°ΡΡΠ΅ 40 Π»Π΅Ρ (ΠΏΠΎ Π΄Π°Π½Π½ΡΠΌ ΡΡΠ°ΡΠΈΡΡΠΈΠΊΠΈ ΠΆΠΈΠ»ΠΎΠΉ ΡΠΎΠ½Π΄ Π ΠΎΡΡΠΈΠΈ Π² 1980 Π³. ΡΠΎΡΡΠ°Π²Π»ΡΠ» 1861 ΠΌΠ»Π½. ΠΌ2 , Π² 2015 Π³. β 3581 ΠΌΠ»Π½. ΠΌ2), ΠΌΠΎΡΠ°Π»ΡΠ½ΠΎ ΡΡΡΠ°ΡΠ΅Π²ΡΠΈΠΌΠΈ ΠΏΠ»Π°Π½ΠΈΡΠΎΠ²ΠΊΠ°ΠΌΠΈ ΠΏΠΎΠΌΠ΅ΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠΉ, Π° ΡΠ°ΠΊΠΆΠ΅ ΠΈΠ·ΠΌΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠ²ΡΠΈΠΌΠΈΡΡ ΠΏΡΠ΅Π΄ΡΡΠ°Π²Π»Π΅Π½ΠΈΡΠΌΠΈ ΠΏΠΎΡΡΠ΅Π±ΠΈΡΠ΅Π»Π΅ΠΉ ΠΎ ΠΊΠ°ΡΠ΅ΡΡΠ²Π΅ ΠΆΠΈΠ·Π½ΠΈ.ΠΠ°Π΄Π°ΡΠ° ΡΠΊΡΠΏΠ΅ΡΡΠ° β ΠΎΠΏΡΠ΅Π΄Π΅Π»ΠΈΡΡ, ΠΈΠΌΠ΅Π΅ΡΡΡ Π»ΠΈ Π²ΠΎΠ·ΠΌΠΎΠΆΠ½ΠΎΡΡΡ ΠΈΠ·ΠΌΠ΅Π½ΠΈΡΡ ΠΏΠ»Π°Π½ΠΈΡΠΎΠ²ΠΊΡ, Π½Π°Π·Π½Π°ΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ ΠΏΠΎΠΌΠ΅ΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠΉ Π΄Π»Ρ ΡΠ»ΡΡΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΡ ΡΡΠ»ΠΎΠ²ΠΈΠΉ ΠΏΡΠΎΠΆΠΈΠ²Π°Π½ΠΈΡ, ΠΈΠ»ΠΈ ΠΆΠ΅ ΡΠ΅ΠΊΠΎΠ½ΡΡΡΡΠΊΡΠΈΡ ΠΏΡΠ΅Π΄ΡΡΠ°Π²Π»ΡΠ΅Ρ ΡΠ³ΡΠΎΠ·Ρ ΡΠ°Π±ΠΎΡΠΎΡΠΏΠΎΡΠΎΠ±Π½ΠΎΡΡΠΈ ΠΎΠ±ΡΠ΅ΠΊΡΠ°, Π΅Π³ΠΎ Π΄Π°Π»ΡΠ½Π΅ΠΉΡΠ΅ΠΉ Π½ΠΎΡΠΌΠ°Π»ΡΠ½ΠΎΠΉ ΡΠΊΡΠΏΠ»ΡΠ°ΡΠ°ΡΠΈΠΈ, ΡΠ΅Π»ΠΎΡΡΠ½ΠΎΡΡΠΈ ΡΡΡΠ°Π½ΠΎΠ²Π»Π΅Π½Π½ΡΡ
ΠΈΠ½ΠΆΠ΅Π½Π΅ΡΠ½ΡΡ
ΡΠΈΡΡΠ΅ΠΌ, Π²Π½Π΅ΡΠ½Π΅ΠΌΡ Π²ΠΈΠ΄Ρ ΡΠ°ΡΠ°Π΄ΠΎΠ², ΠΏΡΠΈΠ»Π΅Π³Π°ΡΡΠΈΠΌ Π·Π΄Π°Π½ΠΈΡΠΌ ΠΈ ΡΠΎΠΎΡΡΠΆΠ΅Π½ΠΈΡΠΌ.Π Π°ΡΡΠΌΠΎΡΡΠ΅Π½Ρ ΠΊΡΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΈΠΈ ΡΠ΅ΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΡ, ΠΈΠ·Π»ΠΎΠΆΠ΅Π½ ΠΏΠΎΡΡΠ΄ΠΎΠΊ ΠΏΡΠΎΠ²Π΅Π΄Π΅Π½ΠΈΡ ΠΈΡΡΠ»Π΅Π΄ΠΎΠ²Π°Π½ΠΈΠΉ ΡΡΡΠΎΠΈΡΠ΅Π»ΡΠ½ΡΡ
ΡΠΎΠΎΡΡΠΆΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠΉ ΠΈ ΠΌΠ°ΡΠ΅ΡΠΈΠ°Π»ΠΎΠ², ΠΊΠΎΠ½ΡΡΡΡΠΊΡΠΈΠΉ, ΡΠΎΠΎΡΠ²Π΅ΡΡΡΠ²ΡΡΡΠΈΡ
Π΄ΠΎΠΊΡΠΌΠ΅Π½ΡΠΎΠ² ΠΏΠΎ ΡΡΠΎΠΌΡ Π½Π°ΠΏΡΠ°Π²Π»Π΅Π½ΠΈΡ ΡΡΠ΄Π΅Π±Π½ΠΎΠΉ ΡΡΡΠΎΠΈΡΠ΅Π»ΡΠ½ΠΎ-ΡΠ΅Ρ
Π½ΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠΎΠΉ ΡΠΊΡΠΏΠ΅ΡΡΠΈΠ·Ρ. ΠΡΠΈΠ²Π΅Π΄Π΅Π½Ρ ΠΊΠΎΠ½ΠΊΡΠ΅ΡΠ½ΡΠ΅ ΠΏΡΠΈΠΌΠ΅ΡΡ ΠΎΠ±ΡΠ»Π΅Π΄ΠΎΠ²Π°Π½ΠΈΡ ΠΏΡΠΎΠΈΠ·Π²Π΅Π΄Π΅Π½Π½ΡΡ
ΠΏΠ΅ΡΠ΅ΠΏΠ»Π°Π½ΠΈΡΠΎΠ²ΠΎΠΊ ΠΊΠ²Π°ΡΡΠΈΡ, Π° ΡΠ°ΠΊΠΆΠ΅ ΠΏΡΠ΅Π΄ΠΏΠΎΠ»Π°Π³Π°Π΅ΠΌΠΎΠΉ ΡΠ΅ΠΊΠΎΠ½ΡΡΡΡΠΊΡΠΈΠΈ ΠΏΠΎΠΌΠ΅ΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠΉ Π΄Π΅ΡΡΠΊΠΎΠ³ΠΎ ΡΠ°Π΄Π°.ΠΡΠΌΠ΅ΡΠ΅Π½ΠΎ, ΡΡΠΎ Π΄ΠΎΡΡΠΎΠ²Π΅ΡΠ½ΠΎΡΡΡ Π²ΡΠ²ΠΎΠ΄ΠΎΠ² ΡΠΊΡΠΏΠ΅ΡΡΠ° ΠΎΡΠ½ΠΎΠ²ΡΠ²Π°Π΅ΡΡΡ Π½Π° Π²ΡΠ΅ΡΡΠΎΡΠΎΠ½Π½Π΅ΠΌ Π±Π΅ΡΠΏΡΠΈΡΡΡΠ°ΡΡΠ½ΠΎΠΌ Π°Π½Π°Π»ΠΈΠ·Π΅ Π²ΡΠ΅Ρ
ΡΠ΅Ρ
Π½ΠΈΠΊΠΎ-ΡΠΊΠΎΠ½ΠΎΠΌΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠΈΡ
Ρ
Π°ΡΠ°ΠΊΡΠ΅ΡΠΈΡΡΠΈΠΊ ΡΡΡΠΎΠΈΡΠ΅Π»ΡΠ½ΡΡ
ΠΎΠ±ΡΠ΅ΠΊΡΠΎΠ², ΠΏΡΠΎΠ²Π΅ΡΠΊΠ΅ Π΄ΠΎΠΊΡΠΌΠ΅Π½ΡΠ°ΡΠΈΠΈ, ΠΎΠ±ΡΠ»Π΅Π΄ΠΎΠ²Π°Π½ΠΈΠΈ ΠΊΠΎΠ½ΡΡΡΡΠΊΡΠΈΠΉ Π½Π° ΡΠΎΠΎΡΠ²Π΅ΡΡΡΠ²ΠΈΠ΅ ΡΡΠ΅Π±ΠΎΠ²Π°Π½ΠΈΡΠΌ ΡΠ΅Π΄Π΅ΡΠ°Π»ΡΠ½ΡΡ
Π·Π°ΠΊΠΎΠ½ΠΎΠ², ΠΏΡΠ°Π²ΠΈΠ» ΠΈ Π½ΠΎΡΠΌ