Plausible explanation for the third COVID-19 wave in India and its implications

Recently some of us used a random-walk Monte Carlo simulation approach to study the spread of COVID-19. The calculations were reasonably successful in describing secondary and tertiary waves of infection, in countries such as the USA, India, South Africa and Serbia. However, they failed to predict the observed third wave for India. In this work we present a more complete set of simulations for India, that take into consideration two aspects that were not incorporated previously. These include the stochastic movement of an erstwhile protected fraction of the population, and the reinfection of some recovered individuals because of their exposure to a new variant of the SARS-CoV-2 virus. The extended simulations now show the third COVID-19 wave for India that was missing in the earlier calculations. They also suggest an additional fourth wave, which was indeed observed during approximately the same time period as the model prediction

Paarl Africa Underground Laboratory (PAUL)

International audienceEstablishing a deep underground physics laboratory to study, amongst others, double beta decay, geoneutrinos, reactor neutrinos and dark matter has been discussed for more than a decade within the austral African physicists' community. PAUL, the Paarl Africa Underground Laboratory, is an initiative foreseeing an open international laboratory devoted to the development of competitive science in the austral region. It has the advantage that the location, the Huguenot tunnel, exists already and the geology and the environment of the site is appropriate for an experimental facility. The paper describes the PAUL initiative, presents the physics prospects and discusses the capacity for building the future experimental facility

Paarl Africa Underground Laboratory (PAUL)

International audienceEstablishing a deep underground physics laboratory to study, amongst others, double beta decay, geoneutrinos, reactor neutrinos and dark matter has been discussed for more than a decade within the austral African physicists' community. PAUL, the Paarl Africa Underground Laboratory, is an initiative foreseeing an open international laboratory devoted to the development of competitive science in the austral region. It has the advantage that the location, the Huguenot tunnel, exists already and the geology and the environment of the site is appropriate for an experimental facility. The paper describes the PAUL initiative, presents the physics prospects and discusses the capacity for building the future experimental facility