Research on Safety Lane Change Warning Method Based on Potential Angle Collision Point

In order to ensure safe lane change and avoid traffic accidents, an effective lane change assist system is required. In a lane change assist system, it is very important to obtain the following elements in time, such as actual distance between vehicles, minimum safety distance, and warning signal. To this end, this paper analyzed four kinds of lane change angle collision scenes. Initial position, initial velocity, acceleration, heading angle, and kinematics of vehicles were used to calculate the position of potential angle collision points between lane change vehicle and obstacle vehicles. Then, actual distance model was constructed based on potential angular collision points. The minimum safety distance model was also established under the two most unfavorable conditions. In order to achieve the lane change warning, three early warning rules were formulated. We verified the validity of models and early warning rules using vehicle driving video data of Interstate 80 in California. Models and early warning rules constructed in our research can be applied to the advanced active safety systems of vehicle, such as vehicle lane change assist system and active collision early warning system, which can improve the active safety and reduce traffic accidents. Document type: Articl

A Hybrid Algorithm of Traffic Accident Data Mining on Cause Analysis

Road traffic accident databases provide the basis for road traffic accident analysis, the data inside which usually has a radial, multidimensional, and multilayered structure. Traditional data mining algorithms such as association rules, when applied alone, often yield uncertain and unreliable results. An improved association rule algorithm based on Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) put forward by this paper can be used to analyze the correlation between accident attributes and causes. The new algorithm focuses on characteristics of the hyperstereo structure of road traffic accident data, and the association rules of accident causes can be calculated more accurately and in higher rates. A new concept of Association Entropy is also defined to help compare the importance between different accident attributes. T-test model and Delphi method were deployed to test and verify the accuracy of the improved algorithm, the result of which was a ten times faster speed for random traffic accident data sampling analyses on average. In the paper, the algorithms were tested on a sample database of more than twenty thousand items, each with 56 accident attributes. And the final result proves that the improved algorithm was accurate and stable

Mental Health and Safety Assessment Methods of Bus Drivers

To explore the influence of the health psychology characteristics of bus driver on the probability of traffic accidents, such as the severity of unhealthy psychology and negative and impulsive personality. Combined with the demographic questionnaire, SCL-90 scale, and Y-G scale, the psychological factors of drivers causing traffic accidents were evaluated. The key factors selected by binary logistic regression analysis are used as node variables, and the Bayesian network structure was established by combining the K2 algorithm and expert knowledge. The EM algorithm was used for parameter learning. The work identified seven key factors that made bus drivers prone to accidents. The most likely factors were moderate depression, mild anxiety, and mild somatization. Bus drivers in the accident group were significantly more anxious, depressed, and more hypersensitive and emotionally unstable than drivers in the non-accident group. The psychological scale and a Bayesian network model were used to evaluate the mental health and traffic safety of bus drivers. It shows that different degrees of depression, anxiety, and different degrees of subjective and cyclical personality of bus drivers had different effects on traffic safety

Parking and Ride Induction Methods for Drivers in Commuting Scenes

Parking and ride is a very effective method to improve the traffic condition of commuter channels, and it is necessary to develop effective parking guidance strategies. In this study, considering the travel time, walking distance, parking cruise time, parking fee, and personal attributes of drivers, a probability model of parking and ride selection in commuter scenarios was proposed, and a dynamic price adjustment method based on the equilibrium of parking occupancy in the region was constructed. The parking price was adjusted by determining the target occupancy, thus affecting the parking choice behavior to guide the commuter to park. The example analysis showed that this method adjusted the selection probability of the parking lot by using the dynamic price adjustment method from the perspective of regional parking occupancy equilibrium, solved the model by symmetric duality algorithm and formulated a reasonable parking replacement induction scheme to achieve the goal of occupancy equilibrium. Compared with parking guidance under static pricing, it can avoid the crowding of commuter vehicles into the city center effectively to reduce the congestion of commuter channels

Parking and Ride Induction Methods for Drivers in Commuting Scenes

Parking and ride is a very effective method to improve the traffic condition of commuter channels, and it is necessary to develop effective parking guidance strategies. In this study, considering the travel time, walking distance, parking cruise time, parking fee, and personal attributes of drivers, a probability model of parking and ride selection in commuter scenarios was proposed, and a dynamic price adjustment method based on the equilibrium of parking occupancy in the region was constructed. The parking price was adjusted by determining the target occupancy, thus affecting the parking choice behavior to guide the commuter to park. The example analysis showed that this method adjusted the selection probability of the parking lot by using the dynamic price adjustment method from the perspective of regional parking occupancy equilibrium, solved the model by symmetric duality algorithm and formulated a reasonable parking replacement induction scheme to achieve the goal of occupancy equilibrium. Compared with parking guidance under static pricing, it can avoid the crowding of commuter vehicles into the city center effectively to reduce the congestion of commuter channels

Analysis of the Accident Propensity of Chinese Bus Drivers: The Influence of Poor Driving Records and Demographic Factors

Previous studies have shown that bus drivers are a major contributing factor to bus accidents. The aim of this study is to explore the factors that contribute to the presence of accident propensity among bus drivers, as well as the relative importance of each influencing factor and the mechanism of influence. To this end, a C5.0 decision tree model was developed to determine the relative importance as well as rank the importance of the impact of poor driving records and demographic factors on accident propensity, and a binary logistic regression model was developed to analyze the relationship between accident propensity and the different values of each essential influencing factor. Based on our results, we found that: (1) the number of violations had the most significant effect on bus drivers’ accident propensity, followed by age, driving age, and number of alarms; (2) violations and alarms are positively related to bus driver accident propensity; age and driving age are inversely related to bus driver accident propensity; and (3) men have a higher accident risk probability than women. This study’s findings will help bus companies and traffic management authorities to implement more targeted improvements to their bus driver management programs

Analysis of the Accident Propensity of Chinese Bus Drivers: The Influence of Poor Driving Records and Demographic Factors

Previous studies have shown that bus drivers are a major contributing factor to bus accidents. The aim of this study is to explore the factors that contribute to the presence of accident propensity among bus drivers, as well as the relative importance of each influencing factor and the mechanism of influence. To this end, a C5.0 decision tree model was developed to determine the relative importance as well as rank the importance of the impact of poor driving records and demographic factors on accident propensity, and a binary logistic regression model was developed to analyze the relationship between accident propensity and the different values of each essential influencing factor. Based on our results, we found that: (1) the number of violations had the most significant effect on bus drivers’ accident propensity, followed by age, driving age, and number of alarms; (2) violations and alarms are positively related to bus driver accident propensity; age and driving age are inversely related to bus driver accident propensity; and (3) men have a higher accident risk probability than women. This study’s findings will help bus companies and traffic management authorities to implement more targeted improvements to their bus driver management programs

Classification of Driver Distraction Risk Levels: Based on Driver’s Gaze and Secondary Driving Tasks

Driver distraction is one of the significant causes of traffic accidents. To improve the accuracy of accident occurrence prediction under driver distraction and to provide graded warnings, it is necessary to classify the level of driver distraction. Based on naturalistic driving study data, distraction risk levels are classified using the driver’s gaze and secondary driving tasks in this paper. The classification results are then combined with road environment factors for accident occurrence prediction. Two ways are suggested to classify driver distraction risk levels in this study: one is to divide it into three levels based on the driver’s gaze and the AttenD algorithm, and the other is to divide it into six levels based on secondary driving tasks and odds ratio. Random Forest, AdaBoost, and XGBoost are used to predict accident occurrence by combining the classification results, driver characteristics, and road environment factors. The results show that the classification of distraction risk levels helps improve the model prediction accuracy. The classification based on the driver’s gaze is better than that based on secondary driving tasks. The classification method can be applied to accident risk prediction and further driving risk warning

Bus Fleet Accident Prediction Based on Violation Data: Considering the Binding Nature of Safety Violations and Service Violations

The number and severity of bus traffic accidents are increasing annually. Therefore, this paper uses the historical data of Chongqing Liangjiang Public Transportation Co., Ltd. bus driver safety violations, service violations, and road traffic accidents from January to June 2022 and constructs road traffic accident prediction models using Extra Trees, BP Neural Network, Support Vector Machine, Gradient Boosting Tree, and XGBoost. The effects of safety and service violations on vehicular accidents are investigated. The quality of the prediction models is measured by five indicators: goodness of fit, mean square error, root mean square error, mean absolute error, and mean absolute percentage error. The results indicate that the XGBoost model provides the most accurate predictions. Additionally, simultaneously considering safety and service violations can improve the accuracy of the model’s predictions compared to a model that only considers safety violations. Bus safety violations, bus service violations, and bus safety operation violations significantly influence traffic accidents, which account for 27.9%, 20%, and 16.5%, respectively. In addition to safety violations, the service violation systems established by bus companies, such as bus service codes, can be an effective method of regulating the behavior of bus drivers and reducing accidents. They are improving both the safety and quality of public transportation