CAPITAL MARKET AND BUSINESS CYCLE VOLATILITY

This paper investigates cross-country evidence on how capital markets affect business cycle volatilities. In contrast to the large and growing literature of finance and growth, empirical work on the relationship between finance, particularly capital markets, and volatility has been relatively scarce, though theoretically, more developed capital markets should lead to lower macroeconomic volatilities. Results are generated using panel estimation technique with data from 44 countries covering the years 1975 through 2004. The major finding is that countries with more developed capital markets have smoother economic fluctuations. The results hold under various estimation methods and after controlling for other relevant variables, country specific effects, and plausible endogeneity problems.business cycle, capital market, financial development, financial structure, panel data, market-based, bank-based

CAPITAL MARKET, SEVERITY OF BUSINESS CYCLE, AND PROBABILITY OF AN ECONOMIC DOWNTURN

This paper investigates the relationships of capital market, severity of economic contraction, and probability of an economic downturn. The finding supports a theoretical prediction that countries with more advanced capital markets would face less severe business cycle output contraction, and a lower chance of an economic downturn. The results hold even after controlling for other relevant variables, country specific effects, and state dependences. However, the marginal effects are small. Results are generated using panel estimation technique with panel data from 44 countries covering the years 1975 through 2004.business cycle, capital market, financial development, financial structure, panel data, market-based, bank-based

Capital Market, Frequency of Recession, and Fraction of Time the Economy in Recession

This paper investigates the relationships of capital markets, frequency of recession, and fraction of time the economy is in recession. The main finding is that frequency of recession is not robustly linked to measures of capital market development. However, the fraction of time the economy spends in recession is significantly related to capital market development, though the marginal effect is small. This implies that countries with more advanced capital markets would tend to spend lower proportion of time in recession. Results are generated using quarterly data of thirty-five countries from 1975 to 2004

Capital Market, Severity of Business Cycle, and Probability of Economic Downturn

This paper investigates the effect of capital market development on severity of economic contraction, and probability of economic downturn. The major finding is that countries with deeper capital market would face less severe business cycle output contraction, and lower chance of an economic downturn. The results hold even after controlling for other relevant variables, country specific effects, and state dependence. However, marginal effects are relatively small. Results are generated using panel estimation technique with panel data from 44 countries covering the years 1975 through 2004

Capital Market, Severity of Business Cycle, and Probability of an Economic Downturn

This paper investigates the relationships of capital market, severity of economic contraction, and probability of an economic downturn. The finding supports a theoretical prediction that countries with more advanced capital markets would face less severe business cycle output contraction, and a lower chance of an economic downturn. The results hold even after controlling for other relevant variables, country specific effects, and state dependences. However, the marginal effects are small. Results are generated using panel estimation technique with panel data from 44 countries covering the years 1975 through 2004

Capital Market, Severity of Business Cycle, and Probability of Economic Downturn

This paper investigates the effect of capital market development on severity of economic contraction, and probability of economic downturn. The major finding is that countries with deeper capital market would face less severe business cycle output contraction, and lower chance of an economic downturn. The results hold even after controlling for other relevant variables, country specific effects, and state dependence. However, marginal effects are relatively small. Results are generated using panel estimation technique with panel data from 44 countries covering the years 1975 through 2004

Capital Market and Business Cycle Volatility

This paper investigates cross-country evidence on how capital market affects business cycle volatility. In contrast to the large and growing literature on the impact of finance and growth, empirical work on the relationship between finance and volatility has been relatively scarce. Theoretically, more developed capital market should lead to lower macroeconomic volatility. The major finding is that countries with more developed capital market have smoother economic fluctuations. Results are generated using panel estimation technique with panel data from 44 countries covering the years 1975 through 2004

Capital Market Development, Frequency of Recession, and Fraction of Time the Economy in Recession

This paper investigates the effect of capital market development on the frequency of recession and the fraction of time the economy in recession using quarterly data of thirty-five countries from 1975 to 2004. The main finding is that frequency of recession is not robustly linked to measures of capital market development. However, the fraction of time the economy spends in recession is significantly related to capital market development. This implies that countries with more advanced capital market would tend to spend lower proportion of time in recession, though the marginal effect is small

Capital Market Development, Frequency of Recession, and Fraction of Time the Economy in Recession

This paper investigates the effect of capital market development on the frequency of recession and the fraction of time the economy in recession using quarterly data of thirty-five countries from 1975 to 2004. The main finding is that frequency of recession is not robustly linked to measures of capital market development. However, the fraction of time the economy spends in recession is significantly related to capital market development. This implies that countries with more advanced capital market would tend to spend lower proportion of time in recession, though the marginal effect is small

Capital Market, Frequency of Recession, and Fraction of Time the Economy in Recession

This paper investigates the relationships of capital markets, frequency of recession, and fraction of time the economy is in recession. The main finding is that frequency of recession is not robustly linked to measures of capital market development. However, the fraction of time the economy spends in recession is significantly related to capital market development, though the marginal effect is small. This implies that countries with more advanced capital markets would tend to spend lower proportion of time in recession. Results are generated using quarterly data of thirty-five countries from 1975 to 2004