The Effect of Child Support on Selection into Marriage and Fertility

This paper studies the expansion of US child support policies from 1977 to 1992 and its consequences for marriage and fertility decisions. I develop a model showing that child support enforces ex ante commitment from men to provide financial support in the event of a child, which (1) increases premarital sex among couples unlikely to marry and (2) reduces the abortion rate by reducing the cost of child-rearing to single moms. Using variation in the rollout relative to the timing of nonmarital pregnancy, I find that child support policies reduced the likelihood of marriage and reduced the abortion rate. Supplemental appendices attached below

New Technologies and the Labor Market

Using newspaper job ad text from 1960 to 2000, we measure job tasks and the adoption of individual information and communication technologies (ICTs). Most new technologies are associated with an increase in nonroutine analytic tasks, and a decrease in nonroutine interactive, routine cognitive, and routine manual tasks. We embed these interactions in a quantitative model of worker sorting across occupations and technology adoption. Through the lens of the model, the arrival of ICTs broadly shifts workers away from routine tasks, which increases the college premium. A notable exception is the Microsoft Office suite, which has the opposite set of effects. JEL Codes: E24, J20, O3

The Evolution of Work in the United States

Using the text from job ads, we introduce a new dataset to describe the evolution of work from 1950 to 2000. We show that the transformation of the US labor market away from routine cognitive and manual tasks and toward nonroutine interactive and analytic tasks has been larger than prior research has found, with a substantial fraction of total changes occurring within narrowly defined job titles. We provide narrative and systematic evidence on changes in task content within job titles and on the emergence and disappearance of individual job titles. (JEL E24, J21, J24, J31, N32

New Technologies and the Labor Market

Using newspaper job ad text from 1960 to 2000, we measure job tasks and the adoption of individual information and communication technologies (ICTs). Most new technologies are associated with an increase in nonroutine analytic tasks, and a decrease in nonroutine interactive, routine cognitive, and routine manual tasks. We embed these interactions in a quantitative model of worker sorting across occupations and technology adoption. Through the lens of the model, the arrival of ICTs broadly shifts workers away from routine tasks, which increases the college premium. A notable exception is the Microsoft Office suite, which has the opposite set of effects. JEL Codes: E24, J20, O3

Distributed Nonlinear Filtering using Triangular Transport Maps

The distributed filtering problem sequentially estimates a global state variable using observations from a network of local sensors with different measurement models. In this work, we introduce a novel methodology for distributed nonlinear filtering by combining techniques from transportation of measures, dimensionality reduction, and consensus algorithms. We illustrate our methodology on a satellite pose estimation problem from a network of direct and indirect observers. The numerical results serve as a proof of concept, offering new venues for theoretical and applied research in the domain of distributed filtering.Comment: 7 pages, 2 figure

Does Eviction Cause Poverty? Quasi-Experimental Evidence from Cook County, IL

Each year, more than two million U.S. households have an eviction case filed against them. Many cities have recently implemented policies aimed at reducing the number of evictions, motivated by research showing strong associations between being evicted and subsequent adverse economic outcomes. Yet it is difficult to determine to what extent those associations represent causal relationships, because eviction itself is likely to be a consequence of adverse life events. This paper addresses that challenge and offers new causal evidence on how eviction affects financial distress, residential mobility, and neighborhood quality. We collect the near-universe of Cook County court records over a period of seventeen years, and link these records to credit bureau and payday loans data. Using this data, we characterize the trajectory of financial strain in the run-up and aftermath of eviction court for both evicted and non-evicted households, finding high levels and striking increases in financial strain in the years before an eviction case is filed. Guided by this descriptive evidence, we employ two approaches to draw causal inference on the effect of eviction. The first takes advantage of the panel data through a difference-in-differences design. The second is an instrumental variables strategy, relying on the fact that court cases are randomly assigned to judges of varying leniency. We find that eviction negatively impacts credit access and durable consumption for several years. However, the effects are small relative to the financial strain experienced by both evicted and non-evicted tenants in the run-up to an eviction filing

Computational Optimal Transport and Filtering on Riemannian manifolds

In this paper we extend recent developments in computational optimal transport to the setting of Riemannian manifolds. In particular, we show how to learn optimal transport maps from samples that relate probability distributions defined on manifolds. Specializing these maps for sampling conditional probability distributions provides an ensemble approach for solving nonlinear filtering problems defined on such geometries. The proposed computational methodology is illustrated with examples of transport and nonlinear filtering on Lie groups, including the circle $S^1$, the special Euclidean group $SE(2)$, and the special orthogonal group $SO(3)$.Comment: 6 pages, 7 figure

Preliminary mu-synthesis design for the ATB-1000

Presented at the Tenth Army Conference on Applied Mathematics and Computing, U.S. Military Academy, West Point, New York 16-19 June 1992A preliminary µ-synthesis controller for the Army's ATB-1000 test fixture is designed and analyzed. For comparison, two SISO controller designs are also described. The test fixture is pattered after the Apache helicopter's 30 mm gun and has tunable nonlinearities which may be representative not only of the nonlinearities of the gun, but of other mechanical systems as well. The models of the test fixture which were available at the time of the work are also described. The goal in pointing the gun is to reduce dispersions of fired gun rounds on targets. The resulting µ-synthesis design, when connected with a nonlinear simulation, exhibited limit-cycle behavior of unacceptable amplitude. The unacceptable performance is due to the nonlinearities and, in future work, would be improved upon by frequency domain trade-offs during the synthesis step

Factors Associated With Ocular Health Care Utilization Among Hispanics/Latinos: Results From an Ancillary Study to the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos (HCHS/SOL)

Regular ocular care is critical to early detection and prevention of eye disease and associated morbidity and mortality; however, there have been relatively few studies of ocular health care utilization among Hispanics/Latinos of diverse backgrounds