Hemmere og fremmere for gevinstrealisering : en fler-case studie i norske kommuner

Masteroppgave informasjonssystemer- Universitetet i Agder, 2014Veldig mange offentlige og private IT-prosjekter leverer ikke gevinster som ønsket eller forventet. For å bidra til å forbedre og øke antallet vellykkede prosjekter har det i de senere år blitt lagt større vekt på gevinstrealisering. Kommuner ønsker muligheten til å ta ut og synliggjøre flere gevinster i prosjektene de gjennomfører, samt muligheten til å vurdere hvorvidt et prosjekt har nok mulige gevinster til å rettferdiggjøre en gjennomførsel/oppstart. Gevinstrealisering kan løst beskrives slik; «not to make good forecasts but to make them come true … and IS/IT on its own does not deliver benefits.” Oppgaven er en kvalitativ, empirisk og fortolkende utforskning av prosjektdeltakeres opplevelse av gevinstrealisering og deres meninger om dette. Det er utført semi-strukturerte intervjuer med medlemmer av prosjektene, interessent, styringsgruppe o.l. samt observasjon av møter og analyse av dokumentasjon. I teorien finnes det «hemmere og fremmere» som belyser hvorfor prosjekter blir eller ikke blir gjennomført på en god måte, men det er lite empirisk data som understøtter disse konseptene. For å kunne få en bedre forståelse for hva det er som bidrar til ulike grader av vellykkede og mislykkede gevinstrealiseringsprosjekter, ser vi i denne studien på mulige hemmere og fremmere for gevinstrealisering, funnet ved litteraturstudie og å undersøke tre case i Aust-Agder fylkeskommune. Det ble gjennomført en litteraturstudie hvor det ble identifisert hemmere og fremmere. Listen denne studien resulterte i, har videre blitt tatt med og sammenlignet mot funn fra case og til slutt oppsummert i en endelig tabell over konsepter fra teori og case i kapittel 4. De tre casene som ble studert hadde alle en ulik utføring av arbeidet med gevinstrealiseringen. I det ene caset ble ikke gevinstrealisering sett på som nødvendig og derfor heller ikke tatt i bruk, i det andre ble gevinstrealisering nedprioritert til fordel for andre aktiviteter. Det siste caset gjorde en langt større innsats en de andre, men med en blanding av metodiske verktøy og ikke tilstrekkende erfaring ble det heller ikke her benyttet som tiltenkt. På tross av en mindre god utnyttelse av metoden, har vi påvist en rekke faktorer som påvirker arbeidet både negativt og positivt. Studien har vist at det er vanskelig å arbeide med gevinstrealisering i praksis, da metodikken er omfattende og tung. Casene som er studert ble alle introdusert til gevinstverktøyet fra KommIT etter at de innledende fasene av prosjektet var gjennomført. Det førte til at man ikke fikk benyttet metoden og verktøyet slik det er tiltenkt. Særlige problemer med gevinstrealisering funnet i case- og litteraturstudien var vanskeligheter med å tallfeste verdier, forståelse og bruk av verktøy og definering av gevinster og mål. Faktorer som er viktige for vellykket gevinstrealisering, er blant annet engasjement fra ledelsen, et felles forståelig rammeverk og opplæring av ansatte. Studien kan bidra til en bedre forståelse for hvilke faktorer som påvirker vellykket bruk av gevinstrealisering. Studiens resultater kan brukes som base for videre forskning og en praktikantliste som tydeliggjør de faktorene som i størst grad påvirker arbeidet med gevinstrealisering er utarbeidet. Det foreslås også forbedringspotensialer i metoden og verktøyet som benyttes

Do environmental factors influence the movement of estuarine fish? A case study using acoustic telemetry

Telemetry methods were used to investigate the influence of selected environmental variables on the position and movement of an estuarine-dependent haemulid, the spotted grunter Pomadasys commersonnii (Lacepède 1801), in the Great Fish Estuary, South Africa. Forty individuals (263–698 mm TL) were surgically implanted with acoustic coded transmitters and manually tracked during two periods (7 February to 24 March 2003; n = 20 and 29 September to 15 November 2003; n = 20). Real-time data revealed that spotted grunter are euryhaline (0–37) and are able to tolerate large variations in turbidity (4–356 FTU) and temperature (16–30 °C). However, the fish altered their position in response to large fluctuations in salinity, temperature and turbidity, which are characteristic of tidal estuarine environments. Furthermore, tidal phase had a strong influence on the position of spotted grunter in the estuary

Influence of hydraulics on the dowsntream migratory route of Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar)

The interaction between hydrodynamics and the upstream migration of fish has been investigated in several studies over the past few years, but there has been a relative lack of investigation into the effects of hydraulics on the downstream migration of fish. In Norway, mortality associated with downstream migration is strongly related to hydropower production. However, there is a poor understanding of how fish choose their migratory routes, which limits the development of measures to mitigate the impact of anthropogenic structures on fish migration. The current study aimed to analyze the effect of hydraulics on the choice of downstream migration route of Atlantic salmon smolts (Salmo salar) in the proximity of an intake to a hydropower plant in Norway. We combined computational fluid dynamic modeling with 3-Dimensional acoustic telemetry positioning of a group of tagged smolts to investigate the interaction between fish and the flow dynamics, and to determine the influence of this interaction on fish migratory routes. A Hidden Markov Model was used to predict migratory routes based on the relations found between the hydraulic variables and fish behaviour. Results showed relationships between fish migratory routes and the different components of flow velocity. The knowledge acquired in this study is expected to inform opportunities and decision making in aquatic resources management and engineering design to increase fish survival past hydropower intakes and other anthropogenic structures

On the path towards universal coverage of hepatitis C treatment among people receiving opioid agonist therapy (OAT) in Norway: A prospective cohort study from 2013 to 2017

Objectives We aimed to calculate cumulative hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment coverage among individuals enrolled in opioid agonist therapy (OAT) in Norway between 2013 and 2017 and to document the treatment transition to direct-acting antiviral (DAA) agents. Moreover, we aimed to describe adherence to DAAs in the same cohort. Design Prospective cohort, registry data. Setting Specialist healthcare service (secondary) Participants and outcomes This observational study was based on data from The Norwegian Prescription Database. We studied dispensed OAT and HCV treatment annually to calculate the cumulative frequency, and employed secondary sources to calculate prevalence, incidence and HCV treatment coverage from 2013 to 2017, among the OAT population. Factors associated with adherence to DAAs were identified a priori and subject to logistic regression. Results 10 371 individuals were identified with dispensed OAT, 1475 individuals of these were identified with dispensed HCV treatment. Annual HCV treatment coverage increased from 3.5% (95% CI: 3.2 to 4.4) in 2013 to 17% (95% CI: 17 to 20) in 2017, giving a cumulative HCV coverage among OAT patients in Norway of 38.5%. A complete shift to interferon-free treatment regimens occurred, where DAAs accounting for 32% of HCV treatments in 2013 and 99% in 2017. About two-thirds of OAT patients were considered adherent to their DAA regimens across all genotypes. High level of OAT continuity was associated with improved adherence to DAAs (adjusted OR 1.4, 95% CI: 1 to 2, p=0.035). Conclusions A large increase in HCV treatment coverage attributed by a complete shift to interferon-free regimens among the Norwegian OAT population has been demonstrated. However, treatment coverage is inadmissibly too low and a further substantial scale-up in HCV treatment is required to reach the universal targets of controlling and eliminating the HCV endemic.publishedVersio

Changing climate and outbreaks of forest pest insects in a cold northern country, Finland

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Modelling and simulating change in reforesting mountain landscapes using a social-ecological framework

Natural reforestation of European mountain landscapes raises major environmental and societal issues. With local stakeholders in the Pyrenees National Park area (France), we studied agricultural landscape colonisation by ash (Fraxinus excelsior) to enlighten its impacts on biodiversity and other landscape functions of importance for the valley socio-economics. The study comprised an integrated assessment of land-use and land-cover change (LUCC) since the 1950s, and a scenario analysis of alternative future policy. We combined knowledge and methods from landscape ecology, land change and agricultural sciences, and a set of coordinated field studies to capture interactions and feedback in the local landscape/land-use system. Our results elicited the hierarchically-nested relationships between social and ecological processes. Agricultural change played a preeminent role in the spatial and temporal patterns of LUCC. Landscape colonisation by ash at the parcel level of organisation was merely controlled by grassland management, and in fact depended on the farmer's land management at the whole-farm level. LUCC patterns at the landscape level depended to a great extent on interactions between farm household behaviours and the spatial arrangement of landholdings within the landscape mosaic. Our results stressed the need to represent the local SES function at a fine scale to adequately capture scenarios of change in landscape functions. These findings orientated our modelling choices in the building an agent-based model for LUCC simulation (SMASH - Spatialized Multi-Agent System of landscape colonization by ASH). We discuss our method and results with reference to topical issues in interdisciplinary research into the sustainability of multifunctional landscapes

Estuarine use by spotted grunter Pomadasys commersonnii in a South African estuary, as determined by acoustic telemetry

Estuaries are important in the life history and the maintenance of the diversity of coastal fish species because of their function as nursery areas for juveniles as well as feeding grounds for adults (Cyrus 1991). The dependence of many fish species on estuaries is well documented (e.g. Wallace et al. 1984, Lenanton and Potter 1987, Blaber et al. 1989, Whitfield 1990, Hoss and Thayer 1993). Spotted grunter Pomadasys commersonnii (Haemulidae) (Lacepède 1801) is an estuarine-dependent species which spawns in the KwaZulu-Natal inshore coastal waters, between August and December (Wallace 1975b, Wallace and van der Elst 1975, Harris and Cyrus 1997, 1999). The eggs and larvae are transported southwards by the Agulhas Current, and juveniles between 20 mm and 50 mm TL recruit into the KwaZulu-Natal and south-eastern Cape estuaries (Wallace and van der Elst 1975, Whitfield 1990). Juvenile spotted grunter make use of the abundant food resources in estuaries, where they grow rapidly and remain for a period of 1–3 years (Wallace and Schleyer 1979, Day et al. 1981). Upon attaining sexual maturity (at between 300 mm and 400 mm TL), they return to the marine environment (Wallace 1975b). Some adults, however, return to estuaries to feed and to regain condition after spawning (Wallace 1975b, Whitfield 1994). The return of post-spawning fish coincides with increased catches by fishers in estuaries between July and January. These events are known as ‘grunter runs’ (Wallace 1975a, Marais and Baird 1980, Marais 1988, Pradervand and Baird 2002). It is suggested that adults spend up to several months in estuaries, before moving back to sea where they undergo gonadal development and ultimately spawn (Wallace 1975b, Wallace and van der Elst 1975). It is believed that adult fish also enter estuaries in a prespawning state to gain condition en route to their spawning grounds in KwaZulu-Natal (Webb 2002)

Microscale distribution patterns of terrestrial bryophytes in a subalpine forest: the use of logistic regression as an interpretive tool

This study investigated microhabitat relationships of terrestrial bryophytes in a subalpine forest of coastal British Columbia. Substratum affinities were characterized for dominant bryophytes. Logistic regression analysis was used to gain insight into the ecological determinants of fine scale (0.1 m2) bryophyte distribution by examining the predictive relationship between bryophyte species occurrence and localized environmental conditions, as well as the coverage of other bryophytes. The predictive relationships were compared to evaluate the relative importance of environmental factors versus interspecific interactions in structuring bryophyte communities. The results indicate that bryophytes show unique responses in their relationships to environmental conditions and other bryophytes. Positive feedback appears to be an important process among terrestrial bryophytes in subalpine forests

Life expectancy gains from dietary modifications: a comparative modeling study in 7 countries

Background: Eating healthier is associated with a range of favorable health outcomes. Our previous model estimated the impact of dietary changes on life expectancy gains but did not consider height, weight, or physical activity. Objectives: We aimed to estimate the increase in life expectancy resulting from the transition from typical national dietary patterns to longevity-optimizing dietary changes, more feasible dietary modifications, and optimized vegan dietary changes in China, France, Germany, Iran, Norway, the United Kingdom, and the United States. Methods: Our modeling study used data from meta-analyses presenting dose-response relationships between intake of 15 food groups and mortality. Background mortality data were from the Global Burden of Disease Study. We used national food intake data and adjusted for height, weight, and physical activity level. Results: For 40-y-olds, estimated life expectancy gains ranged from 6.2 y (with uncertainty interval [UI]: 5.7, 7.5 y) for Chinese females to 9.7 y (UI: 8.1, 11.3 y) for United States males following sustained changes from typical country-specific dietary patterns to longevity-optimized dietary changes, and from 5.2 y (UI: 4.0, 6.5 y) for Chinese females to 8.7 y (UI: 7.1, 10.3 y) for United States males following changes to optimized vegan dietary changes. Conclusions: A sustained change from country-specific typical dietary pattern patterns to longevity-optimized dietary changes, more feasible dietary changes, or optimized vegan dietary changes are all projected to result in substantial life expectancy gains across ages and countries. These changes included more whole grains, legumes, and nuts and less red/processed meats and sugars and sugar-sweetened beverages. The largest gains from dietary changes would be in the United States

Development of Secondary Woodland in Oak Wood Pastures Reduces the Richness of Rare Epiphytic Lichens

Wooded pastures with ancient trees were formerly abundant throughout Europe, but during the last century, grazing has largely been abandoned often resulting in dense forests. Ancient trees constitute habitat for many declining and threatened species, but the effects of secondary woodland on the biodiversity associated with these trees are largely unknown. We tested for difference in species richness, occurrence, and abundance of a set of nationally and regionally red-listed epiphytic lichens between ancient oaks located in secondary woodland and ancient oaks located in open conditions. We refined the test of the effect of secondary woodland by also including other explanatory variables. Species occurrence and abundance were modelled jointly using overdispersed zero-inflated Poisson models. The richness of the red-listed lichens on ancient oaks in secondary woodland was half of that compared with oaks growing in open conditions. The species-level analyses revealed that this was mainly the result of lower occupancy of two of the study species. The tree-level abundance of one species was also lower in secondary woodland. Potential explanations for this pattern are that the study lichens are adapted to desiccating conditions enhancing their population persistence by low competition or that open, windy conditions enhance their colonisation rate. This means that the development of secondary woodland is a threat to red-listed epiphytic lichens. We therefore suggest that woody vegetation is cleared and grazing resumed in abandoned oak pastures. Importantly, this will also benefit the vitality of the oaks