Ketepatan Klasifikasi Status Pemberian Air Susu Ibu (ASI) Menggunakan Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) Dan Algoritma C4.5 Di Kabupaten Sragen

The progress of a nation influenced and determined by the level of public health, the indicator of the level of health is determined by nutritional status. Nutrition can be given early, namely breastfeeding to infants. This research aims to compare the classification of exclusive breastfeeding and nonexclusive breastfeeding. It used two methods for classifying a breastfeeding to babies in Sragen subdistrict on 2014, the methods are Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) and C4.5 Algorithm. MARS is nonparametric regression method that use to overcome the high dimension of data that produces accurate prediction and continuous models on knot. C4.5 Algorithm is a way of classifying methods from data mining that use to construct a decision tree. To evaluate the result of classification use Apparent Error Rate (APER) calculation. The best classification result using MARS method is by using the combination of Basis Function (BF)=40, Maximum Interaction (MI)=3, Minimum Obsevation (MO)=3 because it will result on the smallest Generalized Cross Validation (GCV). Classification result using MARS method obtained APER is 19,7674% and 80,2326% of accuracy. Classification result using C4.5 Algorithm obtained APER is 18,6047% and 81,3953% of accuracy. From proportion test, concluded classification that formed by MARS is as good as by C4.5 Algorithm

Pemodelan Proporsi Penduduk Miskin Kabupaten Dan Kota Di Provinsi Jawa Tengah Menggunakan Geographically and Temporally Weighted Regression

Regression analysis is a statistical analysis that aims to quantify the effect of predictor variables on the response variable. Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) is a local form of regression and a statistical method used to analyze spatial data. Geographically and Temporally Weighted Regression (GTWR) is the development of GWR models to handle data that is not stationary both in terms of spatial and temporal simultaneously. In obtaining estimates of parameters of the GTWR model can be used Weighted Least Square method (WLS). Selection of the optimum bandwidth used method of Cross Validation (CV). Conformance testing global regression and GTWR models approximated by the distribution of F, whereas the partial testing of the model parameters using the t distribution. Application GTWR models at the level of poverty in Central Java province in 2008 to 2012 showed GTWR models differ significantly from the global regression model. Based on R2 and Mean Squared Error (MSE) value between the global regression model and GTWR models, it is known that the GTWR model with exponential weighting kernel function is the best model is used to analyze proportion of poor people in Central Java province in 2008 to 2012 because it has a value of R2 larger and MSE is the smallest

Valuasi Compound Option Put On Put Tipe Eropa

Options are one of the form of investment which a contract that gives the right (not obligation) to the option holder to buy (call options) or sell (put options) the underlying asset by a certain date for a certain price. Option price is a reflection of the intrinsic value of the option and any additional amount over intrinsic value. One type of options that are traded is compound options. Compound option model is introduced by Robert Geske in 1979. Compound options are options on options. Compound option put on a put is put option where the underlying assets are another put option. The compound option put on put will be exercised on the first exercise date only if the value of the put option on that date is less than the first stike price. An empirical study using compound option put on a put stocks of Apple Inc which is strike price compound option US$560, strike price put option US$ 585, with the first exercise date on March 28, 2014 and the second exercise date on May 17, 2014. The theoritical price of compound option put on put on stocks of Apple Inc is US$ 501.4566