Project management under uncertainty

Morris' (1986) analysis of the factors affecting project success and failure is considered in relation to the psychology of judgement under uncertainty. A model is proposed whereby project managers may identify the specific circumstances in which human decision-making is prone to systematic error, and hence may apply a number of de-biasing techniques

Factors influencing the behaviour of people who drive at work.

Work-related road accidents account for around 25-33% of all road fatalities in Britain and in the region of 250 serious injuries per week. Previous studies show that those who drive for work have a higher accident risk than the general driving population even when their greater exposure is factored out.Quantitative and qualitative data was collected from Strathclyde drivers who drive as part of their work. The data show that drivers who have points on their licence or have recently received a speeding ticket are more likely to have been involved in a road traffic accident and these accidents are more likely to have occurred during work time. This confirms the theory that cameras spot crash magnets and illustrates the importance of educating those who drive as part of their work, in particular, to slow down. This paper also examines why occupational drivers are vulnerable on the roads by giving an insight into their attitudes and motives surrounding the driving task.A greater understanding of the beliefs and behaviours of drivers who are at risk of being involved in a third of road traffic accidents should serve to inform more effective road safety policies. With the possible advent of a graduated penalty system, attitudes to the current points and fine system will be of interest in a group the security of whose livelihood is most likely to be impacted by such changes

Factors influencing the behaviour of people who drive at work.

Work-related road accidents account for around 25-33% of all road fatalities in Britain and in the region of 250 serious injuries per week. Previous studies show that those who drive for work have a higher accident risk than the general driving population even when their greater exposure is factored out.Quantitative and qualitative data was collected from Strathclyde drivers who drive as part of their work. The data show that drivers who have points on their licence or have recently received a speeding ticket are more likely to have been involved in a road traffic accident and these accidents are more likely to have occurred during work time. This confirms the theory that cameras spot crash magnets and illustrates the importance of educating those who drive as part of their work, in particular, to slow down. This paper also examines why occupational drivers are vulnerable on the roads by giving an insight into their attitudes and motives surrounding the driving task.A greater understanding of the beliefs and behaviours of drivers who are at risk of being involved in a third of road traffic accidents should serve to inform more effective road safety policies. With the possible advent of a graduated penalty system, attitudes to the current points and fine system will be of interest in a group the security of whose livelihood is most likely to be impacted by such changes

Driving as part of your work may damage your health.

Company or fleet car drivers are part of a much larger group who drive a car as part of their work. This paper reports findings taken from a recent DETR funded study of factors affecting car use choices of the crash involvement and driving style of such drivers and makes some suggestions for changing the culture of the road

Al0.6Ga0.4As x-ray avalanche photodiodes for spectroscopy

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High temperature GaAs X-ray detectors

Two GaAs p+-i-n+ mesa X-ray photodiodes were characterized for their electrical and photon counting X-ray spectroscopic performance over the temperature range of 100 °C to –20 °C. The devices had 10 μm thick i layers with different diameters: 200 μm (D1) and 400 μm (D2). The electrical characterization included dark current and capacitance measurements at internal electric field strengths of up to 50 kV/cm. The determined properties of the two devices were compared with previously reported results that were made with a view to informing the future development of photon counting X-ray spectrometers for harsh environments, e.g., X-ray fluorescence spectroscopy of planetary surfaces in high temperature environments. The best energy resolution obtained (Full Width at Half Maximum at 5.9 keV) decreased from 2.00 keV at 100 °C to 0.66 keV at –20 °C for the spectrometer with D1, and from 2.71 keV at 100 °C to 0.71 keV at –20 °C for the spectrometer with D2. Dielectric noise was found to be the dominant source of noise in the spectra, apart from at high temperatures and long shaping times, where the main source of photopeak broadening was found to be the white parallel noise

Evidence for the h_b(1P) meson in the decay Upsilon(3S) --> pi0 h_b(1P)

Using a sample of 122 million Upsilon(3S) events recorded with the BaBar detector at the PEP-II asymmetric-energy e+e- collider at SLAC, we search for the $h_b(1P)$ spin-singlet partner of the P-wave chi_{bJ}(1P) states in the sequential decay Upsilon(3S) --> pi0 h_b(1P), h_b(1P) --> gamma eta_b(1S). We observe an excess of events above background in the distribution of the recoil mass against the pi0 at mass 9902 +/- 4(stat.) +/- 2(syst.) MeV/c^2. The width of the observed signal is consistent with experimental resolution, and its significance is 3.1sigma, including systematic uncertainties. We obtain the value (4.3 +/- 1.1(stat.) +/- 0.9(syst.)) x 10^{-4} for the product branching fraction BF(Upsilon(3S)-->pi0 h_b) x BF(h_b-->gamma eta_b).Comment: 8 pages, 4 postscript figures, submitted to Phys. Rev. D (Rapid Communications

Single hadron response measurement and calorimeter jet energy scale uncertainty with the ATLAS detector at the LHC

The uncertainty on the calorimeter energy response to jets of particles is derived for the ATLAS experiment at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC). First, the calorimeter response to single isolated charged hadrons is measured and compared to the Monte Carlo simulation using proton-proton collisions at centre-of-mass energies of sqrt(s) = 900 GeV and 7 TeV collected during 2009 and 2010. Then, using the decay of K_s and Lambda particles, the calorimeter response to specific types of particles (positively and negatively charged pions, protons, and anti-protons) is measured and compared to the Monte Carlo predictions. Finally, the jet energy scale uncertainty is determined by propagating the response uncertainty for single charged and neutral particles to jets. The response uncertainty is 2-5% for central isolated hadrons and 1-3% for the final calorimeter jet energy scale.Comment: 24 pages plus author list (36 pages total), 23 figures, 1 table, submitted to European Physical Journal

Measurement of the Z/gamma* + b-jet cross section in pp collisions at 7 TeV

The production of b jets in association with a Z/gamma* boson is studied using proton-proton collisions delivered by the LHC at a centre-of-mass energy of 7 TeV and recorded by the CMS detector. The inclusive cross section for Z/gamma* + b-jet production is measured in a sample corresponding to an integrated luminosity of 2.2 inverse femtobarns. The Z/gamma* + b-jet cross section with Z/gamma* to ll (where ll = ee or mu mu) for events with the invariant mass 60 < M(ll) < 120 GeV, at least one b jet at the hadron level with pT > 25 GeV and abs(eta) < 2.1, and a separation between the leptons and the jets of Delta R > 0.5 is found to be 5.84 +/- 0.08 (stat.) +/- 0.72 (syst.) +(0.25)/-(0.55) (theory) pb. The kinematic properties of the events are also studied and found to be in agreement with the predictions made by the MadGraph event generator with the parton shower and the hadronisation performed by PYTHIA.Comment: Submitted to the Journal of High Energy Physic

Measurements of fiducial and differential cross sections for Higgs boson production in the diphoton decay channel at s√=8 TeV with ATLAS

Measurements of fiducial and differential cross sections are presented for Higgs boson production in proton-proton collisions at a centre-of-mass energy of s√=8 TeV. The analysis is performed in the H → γγ decay channel using 20.3 fb−1 of data recorded by the ATLAS experiment at the CERN Large Hadron Collider. The signal is extracted using a fit to the diphoton invariant mass spectrum assuming that the width of the resonance is much smaller than the experimental resolution. The signal yields are corrected for the effects of detector inefficiency and resolution. The pp → H → γγ fiducial cross section is measured to be 43.2 ±9.4(stat.) − 2.9 + 3.2 (syst.) ±1.2(lumi)fb for a Higgs boson of mass 125.4GeV decaying to two isolated photons that have transverse momentum greater than 35% and 25% of the diphoton invariant mass and each with absolute pseudorapidity less than 2.37. Four additional fiducial cross sections and two cross-section limits are presented in phase space regions that test the theoretical modelling of different Higgs boson production mechanisms, or are sensitive to physics beyond the Standard Model. Differential cross sections are also presented, as a function of variables related to the diphoton kinematics and the jet activity produced in the Higgs boson events. The observed spectra are statistically limited but broadly in line with the theoretical expectations