Temporal trends in the incidence of haemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis: a nationwide cohort study from England 2003-2018

Background Haemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (HLH) is rare, results in high mortality and is increasingly being diagnosed. Little is known about what is driving the apparent rise in the incidence of this disease.Methods Using national linked electronic health data from hospital admissions and death certification cases of HLH that were diagnosed in England between 1/1/2003 and 31/12/2018 were identified using a previously validated approach. We calculated incidence rates of diagnosed HLH per million population using mid-year population estimates by calendar year, age group, sex and associated comorbidity (haematological malignancy, inflammatory rheumatological or bowel diseases (IBD)) associated with the diagnosis of HLH. We modelled trends in incidence and the interactions between calendar year, age and associated comorbidity using Poisson regression.Findings There were 1674 people with HLH diagnosed in England between 2003 and 2018. The incidence rate quadrupled (Incidence Rate Ratio (IRR) 2018 compared to 2003: 3.88 95% Confidence Interval (CI) 2.91 to 5.28), increasing 11% annually (adjusted IRR 1.11 95% CI 1.09 to 1.12). There was a rising trend in all age groups except those aged less than 5 years. There was a transition across the age groups with greater increases in those aged 5 to 14 years of HLH associated with rheumatological disease/IBD compared to HLH associated with haematological malignancy, with similar increases in HLH associated with both co-morbidities for those 15-54, and greater increases in associated haematological malignancies for those 55 years and older.Interpretation The incidence of HLH in England has quadrupled between 2003 and 2018, increasing 11% annually. Substantial variation in the incidence occurred by age group and by HLH associated comorbidities with inflammatory rheumatological diseases or IBD associated HLH increasing more among the young and middle age groups, whereas in older age groups the largest increase was seen with haematological malignancy-associated HLH.Evidence before this study There is a paucity of population-based data on the epidemiology of HLH worldwide. The available evidence relies mostly upon a collection of cases series published in The Lancet in 2014 which described 2197 cases of HLH in adults reported in the literature to that point. Almost all of these were from tertiary referral specialist centres and/or described in small case series. The incidence of HLH has only been described in a few reports – and mainly this has focused on children with primary HLH. No previous studies have been large enough to examine trends in incidence by age, sex, underlying risk factors and calendar time.Added value of this study This study quantifies the incidence of diagnosed HLH for the first time in a nationwide manner for all age groups. It reports on 1674 patients with HLH from England and shows that there is substantial variation in the incidence by age group, associated disease and calendar time. The results imply reasons for the increase in HLH could be related to the increasing occurrence of haematological cancer, inflammatory rheumatological or bowel diseases and the treatments given for these conditions. This study has been carried out in partnership with the National Congenital Anomalies and Rare Diseases Registration Service and the methodology described can in future be applied to many rare diseases that as yet lack a way of quantifying crucial epidemiological metrics.Implications of all the available evidence The incidence of HLH is rising rapidly in people older than 5 years of age. This could be due to an increase in the biologic, immunomodulation or immunosuppressive therapy being used in people with haematological cancer and inflammatory rheumatological and bowel diseases. Further work should focus on how to minimise the risk of HLH occurring, or to improve treatment of this often fatal disease among those who need treatment for an associated comorbidity

Validation of methods to identify people with idiopathic inflammatory myopathies using hospital episode statistics

ObjectiveHospital episode statistics (HES) are routinely recorded at every hospital admission within the National Health Service (NHS) in England. This study validates diagnostic ICD-10 codes within HES as a method of identifying cases of idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIMs).MethodsAll inpatient admissions at one NHS Trust between 2010 and 2020 with relevant diagnostic ICD-10 codes were extracted from HES. Hospital databases were used to identify all outpatients with IIM, and electronic care records were reviewed to confirm coding accuracy. Total hospital admissions were calculated from NHS Digital reports. The sensitivity and specificity of each code and code combinations were calculated to develop an optimal algorithm. The optimal algorithm was tested in a sample of admissions at another NHS Trust.ResultsOf the 672 individuals identified by HES, 510 were confirmed to have IIM. Overall, the positive predictive value (PPV) was 76% and sensitivity 89%. Combination algorithms achieved PPVs between 89 and 94%. HES can also predict the presence of IIM-associated interstitial lung disease (ILD) with a PPV of 79% and sensitivity of 71%. The optimal algorithm excluded children (except JDM code M33.0), combined M33.0, M33.1, M33.9, M36.0, G72.4, M60.8 and M33.2, and included M60.9 only if it occurred alongside an ILD code (J84.1, J84.9 or J99.1). This produced a PPV of 88.9% and sensitivity of 84.2%. Retesting this algorithm at another NHS Trust confirmed a high PPV (94.4%).ConclusionIIM ICD-10 code combinations in HES have high PPVs and sensitivities. Algorithms tested in this study could be applied across all NHS Trusts to enable robust and cost-effective whole-population research into the epidemiology of IIM

Site-directed M2 proton channel inhibitors enable synergistic combination therapy for rimantadine-resistant pandemic influenza.

Pandemic influenza A virus (IAV) remains a significant threat to global health. Preparedness relies primarily upon a single class of neuraminidase (NA) targeted antivirals, against which resistance is steadily growing. The M2 proton channel is an alternative clinically proven antiviral target, yet a near-ubiquitous S31N polymorphism in M2 evokes resistance to licensed adamantane drugs. Hence, inhibitors capable of targeting N31 containing M2 (M2-N31) are highly desirable. Rational in silico design and in vitro screens delineated compounds favouring either lumenal or peripheral M2 binding, yielding effective M2-N31 inhibitors in both cases. Hits included adamantanes as well as novel compounds, with some showing low micromolar potency versus pandemic "swine" H1N1 influenza (Eng195) in culture. Interestingly, a published adamantane-based M2-N31 inhibitor rapidly selected a resistant V27A polymorphism (M2-A27/N31), whereas this was not the case for non-adamantane compounds. Nevertheless, combinations of adamantanes and novel compounds achieved synergistic antiviral effects, and the latter synergised with the neuraminidase inhibitor (NAi), Zanamivir. Thus, site-directed drug combinations show potential to rejuvenate M2 as an antiviral target whilst reducing the risk of drug resistance

Labor And The Politics Of Structural Adjustment In Australia And Indonesia

The labour forces of Australia and Indonesia are compared for the period from the late 1960s to the 1990s. The position of labour in a global economy is also considered. It is determined that the outlook for organised labour is bleak, however its position is also contingent upon national circumstance

Temporal trends in the incidence of haemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis: a nationwide cohort study from England 2003-2018

Background Haemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (HLH) is rare, results in high mortality and is increasingly being diagnosed. Little is known about what is driving the apparent rise in the incidence of this disease.Methods Using national linked electronic health data from hospital admissions and death certification cases of HLH that were diagnosed in England between 1/1/2003 and 31/12/2018 were identified using a previously validated approach. We calculated incidence rates of diagnosed HLH per million population using mid-year population estimates by calendar year, age group, sex and associated comorbidity (haematological malignancy, inflammatory rheumatological or bowel diseases (IBD)) associated with the diagnosis of HLH. We modelled trends in incidence and the interactions between calendar year, age and associated comorbidity using Poisson regression.Findings There were 1674 people with HLH diagnosed in England between 2003 and 2018. The incidence rate quadrupled (Incidence Rate Ratio (IRR) 2018 compared to 2003: 3.88 95% Confidence Interval (CI) 2.91 to 5.28), increasing 11% annually (adjusted IRR 1.11 95% CI 1.09 to 1.12). There was a rising trend in all age groups except those aged less than 5 years. There was a transition across the age groups with greater increases in those aged 5 to 14 years of HLH associated with rheumatological disease/IBD compared to HLH associated with haematological malignancy, with similar increases in HLH associated with both co-morbidities for those 15-54, and greater increases in associated haematological malignancies for those 55 years and older.Interpretation The incidence of HLH in England has quadrupled between 2003 and 2018, increasing 11% annually. Substantial variation in the incidence occurred by age group and by HLH associated comorbidities with inflammatory rheumatological diseases or IBD associated HLH increasing more among the young and middle age groups, whereas in older age groups the largest increase was seen with haematological malignancy-associated HLH.Evidence before this study There is a paucity of population-based data on the epidemiology of HLH worldwide. The available evidence relies mostly upon a collection of cases series published in The Lancet in 2014 which described 2197 cases of HLH in adults reported in the literature to that point. Almost all of these were from tertiary referral specialist centres and/or described in small case series. The incidence of HLH has only been described in a few reports – and mainly this has focused on children with primary HLH. No previous studies have been large enough to examine trends in incidence by age, sex, underlying risk factors and calendar time.Added value of this study This study quantifies the incidence of diagnosed HLH for the first time in a nationwide manner for all age groups. It reports on 1674 patients with HLH from England and shows that there is substantial variation in the incidence by age group, associated disease and calendar time. The results imply reasons for the increase in HLH could be related to the increasing occurrence of haematological cancer, inflammatory rheumatological or bowel diseases and the treatments given for these conditions. This study has been carried out in partnership with the National Congenital Anomalies and Rare Diseases Registration Service and the methodology described can in future be applied to many rare diseases that as yet lack a way of quantifying crucial epidemiological metrics.Implications of all the available evidence The incidence of HLH is rising rapidly in people older than 5 years of age. This could be due to an increase in the biologic, immunomodulation or immunosuppressive therapy being used in people with haematological cancer and inflammatory rheumatological and bowel diseases. Further work should focus on how to minimise the risk of HLH occurring, or to improve treatment of this often fatal disease among those who need treatment for an associated comorbidity

A validation study of the identification of haemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis in England using population-based health data

We assessed the validity of coded healthcare data to identify cases of haemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (HLH). Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) identified 127 cases within five hospital Trusts 2013–2018 using ICD-10 codes D76.1, D76.2 and D76.3. Hospital records were reviewed to validate diagnoses. Out of 74 patients, 73 were coded D76.1 or D76.2 (positive predictive value 89·0% [95% Confidence Interval {CI} 80·2–94·9%]) with confirmed/probable HLH. For cases considered not HLH, 44/53 were coded D76.3 (negative predictive value 97·8% [95% CI 88·2–99·9%]). D76.1 or D76.2 had 68% sensitivity in detecting HLH compared to an established active case-finding HLH register in Sheffield. Office for National Statistics (ONS) mortality data (2003–2018) identified 698 patients coded D76.1, D76.2 and D76.3 on death certificates. Five hundred and forty-one were coded D76.1 or D76.2 of whom 524 (96·9%) had HLH in the free-text cause of death. Of 157 coded D76.3, 66 (42·0%) had HLH in free text. D76.1 and D76.2 codes reliably identify HLH cases, and provide a lower bound on incidence. Non-concordance between D76.3 and HLH excludes D76.3 as an ascertainment source from HES. Our results suggest electronic healthcare data in England can enable population-wide registration and analysis of HLH for future research