Age standardisation – an indigenous standard?

The study of inequities in health is a critical component of monitoring government obligations to uphold the rights of Indigenous Peoples. In Aotearoa/New Zealand the indigenous Māori population has a substantially younger age structure than the non-indigenous population making it necessary to account for age differences when comparing population health outcomes. An age-standardised rate is a summary measure of a rate that a population would have if it had a standard age structure. Changing age standards have stimulated interest in the potential impact of population standards on disparities data and consequently on health policy

Survival and disease characteristics of de novo versus recurrent metastatic breast cancer in a cohort of young patients

Abstract: Background: It is not clear how the pathology, presentation and outcome for patients who present with de novo metastatic breast cancer (dnMBC) compare with those who later develop distant metastases. DnMBC is uncommon in younger patients. We describe these differences within a cohort of young patients in the United Kingdom. Methods: Women aged 40 years or younger with a first invasive breast cancer were recruited to the prospective POSH national cohort study. Baseline clinicopathological data were collected, with annual follow-up. Overall survival (OS) and post-distant relapse-free survival (PDRS) were assessed using Kaplan–Meier curves. Results: In total, 862 patients were diagnosed with metastatic disease. DnMBC prevalence was 2.6% (76/2977). Of those with initially localised disease, 27.1% (786/2901) subsequently developed a distant recurrence. Median follow-up was 11.00 years (95% CI 10.79–11.59). Patients who developed metastatic disease within 12 months had worse OS than dnMBC patients (HR 2.64; 1.84–3.77). For PDRS, dnMBC was better than all groups, including those who relapsed after 5 years. Of dnMBC patients, 1.3% had a gBRCA1, and 11.8% a gBRCA2 mutation. Conclusions: Young women with dnMBC have better PDRS than those who develop relapsed metastatic breast cancer. A gBRCA2 mutation was overrepresented in dnMBC

Spin dynamics in semiconductors

This article reviews the current status of spin dynamics in semiconductors which has achieved a lot of progress in the past years due to the fast growing field of semiconductor spintronics. The primary focus is the theoretical and experimental developments of spin relaxation and dephasing in both spin precession in time domain and spin diffusion and transport in spacial domain. A fully microscopic many-body investigation on spin dynamics based on the kinetic spin Bloch equation approach is reviewed comprehensively.Comment: a review article with 193 pages and 1103 references. To be published in Physics Reports

Germline BRCA mutation and outcome in young-onset breast cancer (POSH): a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Retrospective studies provide conflicting interpretations of the effect of inherited genetic factors on the prognosis of patients with breast cancer. The primary aim of this study was to determine the effect of a germline BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutation on breast cancer outcomes in patients with young-onset breast cancer. METHODS: We did a prospective cohort study of female patients recruited from 127 hospitals in the UK aged 40 years or younger at first diagnosis (by histological confirmation) of invasive breast cancer. Patients with a previous invasive malignancy (except non-melanomatous skin cancer) were excluded. Patients were identified within 12 months of initial diagnosis. BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutations were identified using blood DNA collected at recruitment. Clinicopathological data, and data regarding treatment and long-term outcomes, including date and site of disease recurrence, were collected from routine medical records at 6 months, 12 months, and then annually until death or loss to follow-up. The primary outcome was overall survival for all BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutation carriers (BRCA-positive) versus all non-carriers (BRCA-negative) at 2 years, 5 years, and 10 years after diagnosis. A prespecified subgroup analysis of overall survival was done in patients with triple-negative breast cancer. Recruitment was completed in 2008, and long-term follow-up is continuing. FINDINGS: Between Jan 24, 2000, and Jan 24, 2008, we recruited 2733 women. Genotyping detected a pathogenic BRCA mutation in 338 (12%) patients (201 with BRCA1, 137 with BRCA2). After a median follow-up of 8·2 years (IQR 6·0-9·9), 651 (96%) of 678 deaths were due to breast cancer. There was no significant difference in overall survival between BRCA-positive and BRCA-negative patients in multivariable analyses at any timepoint (at 2 years: 97·0% [95% CI 94·5-98·4] vs 96·6% [95·8-97·3]; at 5 years: 83·8% [79·3-87·5] vs 85·0% [83·5-86·4]; at 10 years: 73·4% [67·4-78·5] vs 70·1% [67·7-72·3]; hazard ratio [HR] 0·96 [95% CI 0·76-1·22]; p=0·76). Of 558 patients with triple-negative breast cancer, BRCA mutation carriers had better overall survival than non-carriers at 2 years (95% [95% CI 89-97] vs 91% [88-94]; HR 0·59 [95% CI 0·35-0·99]; p=0·047) but not 5 years (81% [73-87] vs 74% [70-78]; HR 1·13 [0·70-1·84]; p=0·62) or 10 years (72% [62-80] vs 69% [63-74]; HR 2·12 [0·82-5·49]; p= 0·12). INTERPRETATION: Patients with young-onset breast cancer who carry a BRCA mutation have similar survival as non-carriers. However, BRCA mutation carriers with triple-negative breast cancer might have a survival advantage during the first few years after diagnosis compared with non-carriers. Decisions about timing of additional surgery aimed at reducing future second primary-cancer risks should take into account patient prognosis associated with the first malignancy and patient preferences. FUNDING: Cancer Research UK, the UK National Cancer Research Network, the Wessex Cancer Trust, Breast Cancer Now, and the PPP Healthcare Medical Trust Grant

Effect of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor and angiotensin receptor blocker initiation on organ support-free days in patients hospitalized with COVID-19

IMPORTANCE Overactivation of the renin-angiotensin system (RAS) may contribute to poor clinical outcomes in patients with COVID-19. Objective To determine whether angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitor or angiotensin receptor blocker (ARB) initiation improves outcomes in patients hospitalized for COVID-19. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS In an ongoing, adaptive platform randomized clinical trial, 721 critically ill and 58 non–critically ill hospitalized adults were randomized to receive an RAS inhibitor or control between March 16, 2021, and February 25, 2022, at 69 sites in 7 countries (final follow-up on June 1, 2022). INTERVENTIONS Patients were randomized to receive open-label initiation of an ACE inhibitor (n = 257), ARB (n = 248), ARB in combination with DMX-200 (a chemokine receptor-2 inhibitor; n = 10), or no RAS inhibitor (control; n = 264) for up to 10 days. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES The primary outcome was organ support–free days, a composite of hospital survival and days alive without cardiovascular or respiratory organ support through 21 days. The primary analysis was a bayesian cumulative logistic model. Odds ratios (ORs) greater than 1 represent improved outcomes. RESULTS On February 25, 2022, enrollment was discontinued due to safety concerns. Among 679 critically ill patients with available primary outcome data, the median age was 56 years and 239 participants (35.2%) were women. Median (IQR) organ support–free days among critically ill patients was 10 (–1 to 16) in the ACE inhibitor group (n = 231), 8 (–1 to 17) in the ARB group (n = 217), and 12 (0 to 17) in the control group (n = 231) (median adjusted odds ratios of 0.77 [95% bayesian credible interval, 0.58-1.06] for improvement for ACE inhibitor and 0.76 [95% credible interval, 0.56-1.05] for ARB compared with control). The posterior probabilities that ACE inhibitors and ARBs worsened organ support–free days compared with control were 94.9% and 95.4%, respectively. Hospital survival occurred in 166 of 231 critically ill participants (71.9%) in the ACE inhibitor group, 152 of 217 (70.0%) in the ARB group, and 182 of 231 (78.8%) in the control group (posterior probabilities that ACE inhibitor and ARB worsened hospital survival compared with control were 95.3% and 98.1%, respectively). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE In this trial, among critically ill adults with COVID-19, initiation of an ACE inhibitor or ARB did not improve, and likely worsened, clinical outcomes. TRIAL REGISTRATION ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT0273570

Risk factors for hospital admission in an ageing English cohort: an analysis linking prospectively collected data with Hospital Episode Statistics

The UK has an ageing population in which overall life expectancy is growing faster than healthy life expectancy. The result is that an increasing number of older people are in poor health; these people contribute to rising trends in hospital admission and are commonly associated with the financial crisis in the NHS. Reducing demand on hospitals is enshrined in Government policy, but requires improved understanding of the determinants of service use; these may differ according to the type of admission under consideration. Only when the determinants of admission are clear can effective preventive measures be put in place.This thesis describes the creation of a novel resource in which to investigate risk factors for hospital admission. This is achieved by combining data from two sources. The first is the Hertfordshire Cohort Study; a group of community-dwelling men and women whose physical, mental and social health were comprehensively characterised in 1998-2004 when they were aged 59-73 years. To these baseline data, routinely collected information about hospital admissions that participants experienced during the following decade has been added. The resulting resource has several advantages over hospital data alone: it includes variables that were prospectively collected; that go beyond those that are clinically relevant; and that cover non-admitted as well as admitted individuals. Three papers based on the combined dataset are presented. Each takes the same panel of 25 predictor variables - chosen to summarise baseline demography and anthropometry, lifestyle, social circumstances, physical function and morbidity – and compares it with one of three admission outcomes: 30-day readmission, emergency admission or elective admission. Across both sexes, the papers identify six risk factors for 30-day readmission, five for emergency admission and four for elective admission. Two markers of overall burden of disease: poor self-rated health (SRH) and increased number of body systems medicated (NSM); conferred risk for all three outcomes. Poor physical function and history of smoking were associated with risk of two outcomes each. SRH was associated with emergency admission in both sexes and NSM with elective admission in both sexes. The likelihood of each type of admission rose with the number of risk factors an individual had that were specific to it. The primary implication is that older people at highest risk of admission of any sort could be identified prospectively in a primary care setting by screening for poor SRH and a high number of systems medicated. This is suggested as an area for focus in revising the Quality and Outcomes Framework. Meanwhile, Public Health departments should seek to decrease risk profiles in younger generations and thus to increase healthy life expectancy.An important additional point relates to the linkage methodology. This PhD has shown that linked data have more value than either cohort or routinely collected data alone; this methodological contribution is arguably as important as the substantive findings. However, the work has been threatened from the outset by changing regulations on data sharing – a problem that urgently needs to be addressed. The Digital Economy Act that is currently progressing through Parliament presents an opportunity for Government to remedy the access problems that beset research of this nature

The Hertfordshire Cohort Study: an overview

The Hertfordshire Cohort Study is a nationally unique study of men and women born in the English county of Hertfordshire in the early part of the 20th century. Records that detail their health in infancy and childhood have been preserved, their sociodemographic, lifestyle, medical and biological attributes have been characterised in later life, and routinely collected data on their hospital use and mortality have been acquired. This paper provides an overview of the study since its inception in the 1980s, including its methods, findings, and plans for its future

Familial breast cancer: an investigation into the outcome of treatment for early stage disease

The purpose of this study was to retrospectively compare the outcomes of treatment in 304 women with familial and sporadic breast cancer to clarify the options for the primary management of familial breast cancer. The majority of women were consecutively ascertained on the basis of either breast cancer diagnosed at age < 40 years or bilateral breast cancer. In addition, known BRCA1 mutation carriers were identified through the genetics services in participating centres. These patients were subdivided into those with a significant family history of breast cancer or known BRCA1 mutation (FH+) and those with no significant family history (FH–). There were no significant differences in age, surgical treatment or adjuvant treatment between the two groups, but there were significantly more women whose nodal status was unknown in the FH+ group. Ipsilateral recurrence occurred in 22.2% of FH+ patients compared with 24.1% of FH– patients (p = 0.774) who underwent breast conserving surgery. There was a striking excess of contralateral breast cancers in the FH+ group (35.9% v 16%, p = 0.0007), with a cumulative risk of contralateral cancer of 36% at 10 years. This was reflected in a non-significant trend toward worse relapse free survival in the FH+ group (p = 0.0563), but no difference was observed in overall survival between the two patient groups (p = 0.142). Similarly, for patients with known BRCA1 mutations, contralateral recurrence occurred more frequently, but other outcomes were not significantly different from the FH– group. Breast conserving treatment is not associated with an increased risk of local recurrence in women with familial breast cancer and the prognosis of these women appears to be similar to that of young women with apparently sporadic breast cancer. However, the risk of contralateral breast cancer is significant in the FH+ group and should be considered in planning primary treatment and follow up