989 research outputs found

    Partial Consistency with Sparse Incidental Parameters

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    Penalized estimation principle is fundamental to high-dimensional problems. In the literature, it has been extensively and successfully applied to various models with only structural parameters. As a contrast, in this paper, we apply this penalization principle to a linear regression model with a finite-dimensional vector of structural parameters and a high-dimensional vector of sparse incidental parameters. For the estimators of the structural parameters, we derive their consistency and asymptotic normality, which reveals an oracle property. However, the penalized estimators for the incidental parameters possess only partial selection consistency but not consistency. This is an interesting partial consistency phenomenon: the structural parameters are consistently estimated while the incidental ones cannot. For the structural parameters, also considered is an alternative two-step penalized estimator, which has fewer possible asymptotic distributions and thus is more suitable for statistical inferences. We further extend the methods and results to the case where the dimension of the structural parameter vector diverges with but slower than the sample size. A data-driven approach for selecting a penalty regularization parameter is provided. The finite-sample performance of the penalized estimators for the structural parameters is evaluated by simulations and a real data set is analyzed

    Risks of Large Portfolios

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    Estimating and assessing the risk of a large portfolio is an important topic in financial econometrics and risk management. The risk is often estimated by a substitution of a good estimator of the volatility matrix. However, the accuracy of such a risk estimator for large portfolios is largely unknown, and a simple inequality in the previous literature gives an infeasible upper bound for the estimation error. In addition, numerical studies illustrate that this upper bound is very crude. In this paper, we propose factor-based risk estimators under a large amount of assets, and introduce a high-confidence level upper bound (H-CLUB) to assess the accuracy of the risk estimation. The H-CLUB is constructed based on three different estimates of the volatility matrix: sample covariance, approximate factor model with known factors, and unknown factors (POET, Fan, Liao and Mincheva, 2013). For the first time in the literature, we derive the limiting distribution of the estimated risks in high dimensionality. Our numerical results demonstrate that the proposed upper bounds significantly outperform the traditional crude bounds, and provide insightful assessment of the estimation of the portfolio risks. In addition, our simulated results quantify the relative error in the risk estimation, which is usually negligible using 3-month daily data. Finally, the proposed methods are applied to an empirical study

    DualMatch: Robust Semi-Supervised Learning with Dual-Level Interaction

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    Semi-supervised learning provides an expressive framework for exploiting unlabeled data when labels are insufficient. Previous semi-supervised learning methods typically match model predictions of different data-augmented views in a single-level interaction manner, which highly relies on the quality of pseudo-labels and results in semi-supervised learning not robust. In this paper, we propose a novel SSL method called DualMatch, in which the class prediction jointly invokes feature embedding in a dual-level interaction manner. DualMatch requires consistent regularizations for data augmentation, specifically, 1) ensuring that different augmented views are regulated with consistent class predictions, and 2) ensuring that different data of one class are regulated with similar feature embeddings. Extensive experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of DualMatch. In the standard SSL setting, the proposal achieves 9% error reduction compared with SOTA methods, even in a more challenging class-imbalanced setting, the proposal can still achieve 6% error reduction. Code is available at https://github.com/CWangAI/DualMatchComment: 14 pages, 8 figures, Accepted by ECMLPKDD 202

    Research on the Impact of Game Users’ Perceived Value on Satisfaction and Loyalty - Based on the Perspectives of Hedonic Value and Utilitarian Value

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    As Chinese game market growing mature, cultivating loyal game users has become the new goals for game companies. Based on the theory of game users experience, this paper constructs the structural model of customer with the variables of perceived value, customer satisfaction and customer loyalty and studies the relationship between the game users’ hedonic/utilitarian value and customer satisfaction/customer loyalty from the perspective of the game user utilitarian value and hedonic value. The study finds that the game users’ perceived value has a positive effect on customer satisfaction and customer loyalty; while hedonic value has a more significant effect on customer satisfaction than utilitarian value, the latter one has a greater significant effect on customer loyalty than the former one; customer satisfaction has a positive effect on customer loyalty; hedonic value and utilitarian value interact and influence with each other. Implication and recommendation of this research is that enhancing the hedonic and utilitarian value of game users by game companies which is one of the effective ways to improve game users’ satisfaction and loyalty
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