Dr. John Philip's observations regarding the Hottentots of South Africa

Treatise (M.A.) -- University of Stellenbosch, 1939.Full text to be digitised and attached to bibliographic record

n Kaapse huishoue in die 18de eeu uit Von Dessin se briefboek en memoriaal

Dr. John Philip's observations regarding the Hottentots of South Africa' is a MA thesis, University of Stellenbosch, 1937.'Transvaal en Britse susereiniteit' is a MA thesis, Potchefstroom.Full text to be digitised and attached to bibliographic record

Prediction of Phyllosticta citricarpa using an hourly infection model and validation with prevalence data from South Africa and Australia

An hourly infection model was used for a risk assessment of citrus black spot (CBS) caused by Phyllosticta citricarpa. The infection model contained a temperature-moisture response function and also included functions to simulate ascospore release and dispersal of pycnidiospores. A validation data set of 18 locations from South Africa and Australia was developed based on locations with known citrus black spot prevalence. An additional 67 sites from Europe and the United States with unknown prevalence were also identified. The model was run for each location with 9 years of hourly weather data from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) database. The infection scores for the sites with known prevalence where ranked and a threshold for suitability in a given year was derived from the average score of the lowest ranked moderate prevalence site. The results of the simulation confirm that locations in Florida were high risk while most locations in California and Europe were not at risk. The European location with the highest risk score was Andravida, Greece which had 67% of years suitable for ascosporic infection but only 11% of years were suitable for pycnidiosporic infection. There were six other sites in Europe that had frequency of years suitable for ascosporic infection greater than 22% including Pontecagnano, Italy; Kekrya, Greece; Reggio Calabria, Italy; Cozzo Spadaro, Italy; Messina, Italy; and Siracusa, Italy. Of these six sites only Reggio Calabria had a frequency of years suitable for pycnidiosporic infection greater than 0%. These six sites are predicted to have prevalence similar or less than Messina, South Africa, i.e. low and occasional. Other sites in Europe would best be described as likely to have no prevalence based on very low simulated scores for both spore types. Although Andravida had a similar risk of infection to moderate locations in South Africa there was a difference in the seasonality of infection periods. The ascosporic infection period score was similar between the two sites, but Andravida had a much lower pycnidiosporic infection score in the middle of the period of fruit susceptibility than Addo, South Africa. In Europe favorable climatic conditions are discontinuous, i.e., there is a low frequency of suitable seasons. This raises doubts about the ability of the pathogen to persist at a location and cause disease loss when favorable seasons reoccur. These results suggest that Europe is less suitable for CBS than suggested by an earlier study produced by the European Food Safety Authority using a similar model. The findings from our model simulations suggest that only a few isolated locations in the extreme south of Europe are likely to have a low to marginal risk of P.citricarpa establishment

Scientific critique of the paper “Climatic distribution of citrus black spot caused by Phyllosticta citricarpa. A historical analysis of disease spread in South Africa” by Martínez-Minaya et al. (2015)

The global distribution of citrus black spot (CBS) disease, caused by Phyllosticta citricarpa, is climatically constrained, which is evident from its occurrence in citrus growing areas with warm, summer rainfall and its absence from areas with cooler, Mediterranean-type winter rainfall. Various epidemiological and modelling studies have supported this observation, predominantly estimating unsuitability for P. citricarpa in Mediterranean type climates, with no more than marginal suitability estimated at a few localities within some regions with Mediterranean type climates. The study by Martínez-Minaya et al. (European Journal of Plant Pathology, 143, 69–83, 2015), describes an historic sequence of recorded CBS occurrence in parts of South Africa, conducts an autocorrelation analysis and a correlative analysis with Köppen-Geiger climate zones and makes observations about the occurrence of certain Köppen-Geiger climate zones in the European Union. The study suggests that significant portions of the European Union and the broader Mediterranean basin are climatically similar to warm, summer rainfall areas in South Africa where P. citricarpa persists and causes CBS disease and concludes that the potential distribution of P. citricarpa is less constrained by climatic factors than spatial contagion. However, in this critique we expose methodological shortcomings in the Martínez-Minaya et al. (European Journal of Plant Pathology, 143, 69–83, 2015) study and conclude that the study grossly overestimated the extent of the geographical area that could support P. citricarpa, thereby rendering the findings scientifically unreliable

Citrus black spot is absent in the Western Cape, Northern Cape and Free State Provinces

The South African citrus industry is strongly focused on exports and South Africa is a signatory member of both the World Trade Organisation Agreement on the application of Sanitary and Phytosanitary Measures and the International Plant Protection Convention. Citrus black spot, caused by Guignardia citricarpa, does not occur in all the South African citrus production areas and, therefore, South Africa has a responsibility to provide those trading partners that have identified G. citricarpa as a regulated pest with reliable information about the distribution of citrus black spot within South Africa. Detection surveys were conducted in citrus production areas in the Western Cape, Northern Cape and Free State Provinces and appropriate diagnostic protocols were used to ensure reliable detection of G. citricarpa. Trees in commercial orchards and home gardens on farms and in towns of 17, 9 and 5 magisterial districts in the Western Cape, Northern Cape and Free State Provinces, respectively, were sampled between 1995 and 2010. Fruit samples were taken during June and July, and leaf samples from November to January. None of the 3060 fruit and leaf samples collected during these surveys tested positive for G. citricarpa. Phyllosticta capitalensis, a non-pathogenic, ubiquitous, endophytic species was, however, detected during these surveys. In compliance with relevant International Standards for Phytosanitary Measures and based on the outcome of these official surveys, these three provinces in South Africa can be recognised as citrus black spot pest free areas

Citrus black spot is absent in the Western Cape, Northern Cape and Free State Provinces

CITATION: Carstens, E. et al. 2012. Citrus black spot is absent in the Western Cape, Northern Cape and Free State Provinces. South African Journal of Science, 108(7/8), Art. #876, doi: 10.4102/sajs.v108i7/8.876.The original publication is available at http://sajs.co.zaThe South African citrus industry is strongly focused on exports and South Africa is a signatory member of both the World Trade Organisation Agreement on the application of Sanitary and Phytosanitary Measures and the International Plant Protection Convention. Citrus black spot, caused by Guignardia citricarpa, does not occur in all the South African citrus production areas and, therefore, South Africa has a responsibility to provide those trading partners that have identified G. citricarpa as a regulated pest with reliable information about the distribution of citrus black spot within South Africa. Detection surveys were conducted in citrus production areas in the Western Cape, Northern Cape and Free State Provinces and appropriate diagnostic protocols were used to ensure reliable detection of G. citricarpa. Trees in commercial orchards and home gardens on farms and in towns of 17, 9 and 5 magisterial districts in the Western Cape, Northern Cape and Free State Provinces, respectively, were sampled between 1995 and 2010. Fruit samples were taken during June and July, and leaf samples from November to January. None of the 3060 fruit and leaf samples collected during these surveys tested positive for G. citricarpa. Phyllosticta capitalensis, a non-pathogenic, ubiquitous, endophytic species was, however, detected during these surveys. In compliance with relevant International Standards for Phytosanitary Measures and based on the outcome of these official surveys, these three provinces in South Africa can be recognised as citrus black spot pest free areas.http://sajs.co.za/citrus-black-spot-absent-western-cape-northern-cape-and-free-state-provinces/carstens-elma-le-roux-hendrik-holtzhausen-michael-van-rooyen-liezl-coetzee-joey-wentzel-riaPublisher's versio