Analysis of feedback fluid queues

In this article we consider the stationary behaviour of a class of feedback fluid queues. A feedback fluid queue is a natural generalisation of the well-known Markov modulated fluid queue. The essential difference is that the current state of the fluid buffer influences the behaviour of the regulating process. Therefore these models are relevant for the performance evaluation of certain regulation mechanisms in telecommunications access networks. Typically, they enable the analysis of mechanisms in which the content of a buffer is driven by some source process, while the source process itself is influenced by feedback signals coming from the buffer

Simple and efficient importance sampling scheme for a tandem queue with server slow-down

This paper considers importance sampling as a tool for rare-event simulation. The system at hand is a so-called tandem queue with slow-down, which essentially means that the server of the first queue (or: upstreanm queue) switches to a lower speed when the second queue (downstream queue) exceeds some threshold. The goal is to assess to what extent such a policy succeeds in protecting the first queue, and therefore we focus on estimating the probability of overflow in the downstream queue.\ud It is known that in this setting importance sampling with traditional state-independent distributions performs poorly. More sophisticated state-dependent schemes can be shown to be asymptotically efficient, but their implementation may be problematic, as for each state the new measure has to be computed. This paper presents an algorithm that is considerably simpler than the fully state-dependent scheme; it requires low computational effort, but still has high efficiency

State-dependent importance sampling for a Jackson tandem network

This paper considers importance sampling as a tool for rare-event simulation. The focus is on estimating the probability of overflow in the downstream queue of a Jacksonian two-node tandem queue – it is known that in this setting ‘traditional’ state-independent importance-sampling distributions perform poorly. We therefore concentrate on developing a state-dependent change of measure, that we prove to be asymptotically efficient.\ud More specific contributions are the following. (i) We concentrate on the probability of the second queue exceeding a certain predefined threshold before the system empties. Importantly, we identify an asymptotically efficient importance-sampling distribution for any initial state of the system. (ii) The choice of the importance-sampling distribution is backed up by appealing heuristics that are rooted in large-deviations theory. (iii) Our method for proving asymptotic efficiency is substantially more straightforward than some that have been used earlier. The paper is concluded by simulation experiments that show a considerable speed up

Analysis of birth-death fluid queues

We present a survey of techniques for analysing the performance of a reservoir which receives and releases fluid at rates which are determined by the state of a background birth-death process. The reservoir is assumed to be infinitely large, but the state space of the modulating birth-death process may be finite or infinite

Backpressure-based control protocols: design and computational aspects

Congestion control in packet-based networks is often realized by feedback protocols. In this paper we assess their performance under a back-pressure mechanism that has been proposed and standardized for Ethernet metropolitan networks. In such a mechanism the service rate of an upstream queue is reduced when the downstream queue is congested, in order to protect the downstream queue. We study a Markovian model that captures the essentials of the protocol, but at the same time allows for numerical analysis. We first derive explicit results for the stability condition of the model (which turns out to be nontrivial). Then we present logarithmic estimates of the probability of buffer overflow in the second queue, which are subsequentially used when devising an efficient simulation procedure based on importance sampling. We conclude the paper by presenting a number of numerical results, and some general design guidelines

In-Degree and PageRank of web pages: why do they follow similar power laws?

PageRank is a popularity measure designed by Google to rank Web pages. Experiments confirm that PageRank values obey a power law with the same exponent as In-Degree values. This paper presents a novel mathematical model that explains this phenomenon. The relation between PageRank and In-Degree is modelled through a stochastic equation, which is inspired by the original definition of PageRank, and is analogous to the well-known distributional identity for the busy period in the $M/G/1$ queue. Further, we employ the theory of regular variation and Tauberian theorems to analytically prove that the tail distributions of PageRank and In-Degree differ only by a multiple factor, for which we derive a closed-form expression. Our analytical results are in good agreement with experimental data

State-dependent Importance Sampling for a Slow-down Tandem Queue

In this paper we investigate an advanced variant of the classical (Jackson) tandem queue, viz. a two-node system with server slow-down. The slow-down mechanism has the primary objective to protect the downstream queue from frequent overflows, and it does so by reducing the service speed of the upstream queue as soon as the number of jobs in the downstream queue reaches some pre-specified threshold. To assess the efficacy of such a policy, techniques are needed for evaluating overflow metrics of the second queue. We focus on the estimation of the probability of the following rare event: overflow in the downstream queue before exhausting the system, starting from any given state in the state space.\ud Due to the rarity of the event under consideration, naive, direct Monte Carlo simulation is often infeasible. We therefore rely on the application of importance sampling to obtain variance reduction. The principal contribution of this paper is that we construct an importance sampling scheme that is asymptotically efficient. In more detail, the paper addresses the following issues. (i) We rely on powerful heuristics to identify the exponential decay rate of the probability under consideration, and verify this result by applying sample-path large deviations techniques. (2) Immediately from these heuristics, we develop a proposal for a change of measure to be used in importance sampling. (3) We prove that the resulting algorithm is asymptotically efficient, which effectively means that the number of runs required to obtain an estimate with fixed precision grows subexponentially in the buffer size. We stress that our method to prove asymptotic efficiency is substantially shorter and more straightforward than those usually provided in the literature. Also our setting is more general than the situations analyzed so far, as we allow the process to start off at any state of the state space, and in addition we do not impose any conditions on the values of the arrival rate and service rates, as long as the underlying queueing system is stable

Continuous feedback fluid queues

We investigate a fluid buffer which is modulated by a stochastic background process, while the momentary behavior of the background process depends on the current buffer level in a continuous way. Loosely speaking the feedback is such that the background process behaves `as a Markov process' with generator $Q(y)$ at times when the buffer level is $y$, where the entries of $Q(y)$ are continuous functions of $y$. Moreover, the flow rates for the buffer may also depend continuously on the current buffer level. Such models are interesting in the context of closed-loop telecommunication networks, in which sources interact with network buffers, but may also be deployed in the study of certain production systems. \u

Versatile Markovian models for networks with asymmetric TCP sources

In this paper we use Stochastic Petri Nets (SPNs) to study the interaction of multiple TCP sources that share one or two buffers, thereby considerably extending earlier work. We first consider two sources sharing a buffer and investigate the consequences of two popular assumptions for the loss process in terms of fairness and link utilization. The results obtained by our model are in agreement with existing analytic models or are closer to results obtained by ns-2 simulations. We then study a network consisting of three sources and two buffers and provide evidence that link sharing is approximately minimum-potential-delay-fair in case of equal round-trip times. \u

Performance analysis of heterogeneous interacting TCP sources

In this paper we develop a fluid model for TCP sources that share a bottleneck router. The model allows to specify for each source individually the maximum window size, the packet size, and the (stochastic) roundtrip time. First we consider the situation in which one source uses the link. In this setting we study the impact of buffer size, link rate, and source parameters on the link utilization. We observe that conservative source behavior is optimal with respect to utilization. Then we focus on two sources sharing the link. By computing the throughput for each source separately we obtain insight in fairness issues. We find analytic support for TCP's bias against sources with: (1) longer roundtrip times; (2) smaller maximum congestion windows; (3) smaller packet sizes. Another interesting point is that when buffering delay forms a substantial part of the roundtrip time, on which the feedback loop depends, a large buffer size is detrimental to link utilization.\u