Three predictions on July 2012 Federal Elections in Mexico based on past regularities

Electoral systems are subject of study for physicist and mathematicians in last years given place to a new area: sociophysics. Based on previous works of the author on the Mexican electoral processes in the new millennium, he found three characteristics appearing along the 2000 and 2006 preliminary dataset offered by the electoral authorities, named PREP: I) Error distributions are not Gaussian or Lorentzian, they are characterized for power laws at the center and asymmetric lobes at each side. II) The Partido Revolucionario Institucional (PRI) presented a change in the slope of the percentage of votes obtained when it go beyond the 70% of processed certificates; hence it have an improvement at the end of the electoral computation. III) The distribution of votes for the PRI is a smooth function well described by Daisy model distributions of rank $r$ in all the analyzed cases, presidential and congressional elections in 2000, 2003 and 2006. If all these characteristics are proper of the Mexican reality they should appear in the July 2012 process. Here I discuss some arguments on why such a behaviors could appear in the present processComment: 6 pages, one tabl

On the asymptotic shape of solutions to Neumann problems for non-cooperative parabolic systems

We consider a class of nonautonomous parabolic competition-diffusion systems on bounded radial domains under Neumann boundary conditions. We show that, if the initial profiles satisfy a reflection inequality with respect to a hyperplane, then global positive solutions are asymptotically (in time) foliated Schwarz symmetric with respect to antipodal points. Additionally, a related result for (positive and sign changing solutions) of a scalar equation with Neumann boundary conditions is given. The asymptotic shape of solutions to cooperative systems is also discussed.Comment: 30 pages. Revised versio

Assessing the Economic Value of Credit Guarantees

This article analyzes how a credit guarantee confers private benefits to creditors and proposes reform policies and related assessment measures in order to make credit guarantee a socially beneficial intermediation instrument. Analysis indicates that the necessary and sufficient conditions for credit guarantee to have positive economic value to creditors include sufficiency of collateral and creditor’s risk aversion. Findings also suggest that guarantee programs have a limited reach, implying a need for continuing subsidies.credit program, credit access

Rent-Seeking Public Policies and Corporate Conduct in the Philippine Flour Milling Industry

Results of relative welfare analysis conducted in this paper indicate that a large proportion of welfare losses in the past have been shouldered by the consumers. In addition, this article shows that the hypothesis of cartel-like behavior is consistent with the adverse results obtained.liberalization, welfare issues, wheat products, flour and flour products

Assessing the Economic Value of Credit Guarantees

This article analyzes how a credit guarantee confers private benefits to creditors and proposes reform policies and related assessment measures in order to make credit guarantee a socially beneficial intermediation instrument. Analysis indicates that the necessary and sufficient conditions for credit guarantee to have positive economic value to creditors include sufficiency of collateral and creditor’s risk aversion. Findings also suggest that guarantee programs have a limited reach, implying a need for continuing subsidies.credit program, credit access