15 research outputs found

    Segmented markets, differential information, and asset return dynamics

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    In a rational expectations framework under the assumption that the stock market is segmented because of legal restrictions, it is demonstrated that the returns of large firm stocks are predictors of small firm stock returns. Empirical tests supporting this prediction are also presented

    Of shepherds, sheep, and the cross-autocorrelations in equity returns

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    We present an economic mechanism and supportive empirical evidence for the transmission of information between equity securities first documented by Lo and MacKinlay (1990). It is argued that the past returns on stocks held by informed institutional traders will be positively correlated with the contemporaneous returns on stocks held by noninstitutional uninformed traders. Evidence consistent with this hypothesis is then presented. We document that the returns on the portfolio of stocks with the highest level of institutional ownership lead the returns of portfolios of stocks with lower levels of institutional ownership. This effect persists even after firm size is controlled for and is apparent at longer lags than the size-related lag effect documented in Lo and MacKinlay (1990)

    Potential Drawbacks of Price-based Accounting in the Insurance Sector

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    This paper analyzes the relevance of cost-based accounting in financial markets, focusing on the drawbacks associated with a move from cost- to price-based accounting. While the benefits of such a move are well known, much less attention has been given to the potential hidden costs. We explore such hidden costs looking at both companies and investors. From the point of view of insurance companies, we consider issues like the potential increase in earnings volatility and changes in the cost of capital. From the point of view of the final investor, we consider liquidity and expected returns, stressing the role of behavioral models. Our conclusion is that cost-based accounting is a useful addition to financial markets. It may stabilize short-run financial results and may improve the situation of investors with short horizons and loss aversion. It is certainly true that cost-based financial products are not fully transparent and leave to the asset manager large discretion in the determination of short-run returns. However, we believe that cancellation of cost-based financial products is not the right reaction to these drawbacks. Rather, we believe that regulation and monitoring is the best answer. The Geneva Papers (2007) 32, 163–177. doi:10.1057/palgrave.gpp.2510123
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