Surgery alone for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma is less costly and more effective than long term active surveillance

Background: Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma is a subtype of thyroid cancer that may be managed with active surveillance rather than immediate surgery. Active surveillance decreases complication rates and may decrease health care costs. This study aims to analyze complication rates of thyroid surgery, papillary thyroid microcarcinoma recurrence, and survival rates. Additionally, the costs of surgery versus hypothetic active surveillance for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma are compared in an Australian cohort. Methods: Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma patients were included from a prospectively collected surgical cohort of patients treated for papillary thyroid cancer between 1985 and 2017. The primary outcomes were the complications of thyroid surgery, recurrence-free survival, overall survival, and cost of surgical treatment and active surveillance. Results: In a total of 349 patients with papillary microcarcinoma with a median age of 48 years (range, 18–90 years), the permanent operative complications rate was 3.7%. Postoperative radioactive iodine did not decrease recurrence-free survival (P = .3). The total cost of surgical treatment was $10,226 Australian dollars, whereas hypothetic active surveillance was at a yearly cost of$756 Australian dollars. Estimated cost of surgical papillary thyroid microcarcinoma treatment was equivalent to the cost of 16.2 years of active surveillance. Conclusion: Surgery may have a long-term economic advantage for younger Australian patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma who are likely to require more than 16.2 years of follow-up in an active surveillance scheme

Characteristics of contralateral carcinomas in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer larger than 1 cm

Purpose: Traditionally, total thyroidectomy has been advocated for patients with tumors larger than 1 cm. However, according to the ATA and NCCN guidelines (2015, USA), patients with tumors up to 4 cm are now eligible for lobectomy. A rationale for adhering to total thyroidectomy might be the presence of contralateral carcinomas. The purpose of this study was to describe the characteristics of contralateral carcinomas in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) larger than 1 cm. Methods: A retrospective study was performed including patients from 17 centers in 5 countries. Adults diagnosed with DTC stage T1b-T3 N0-1a M0 who all underwent a total thyroidectomy were included. The primary endpoint was the presence of a contralateral carcinoma. Results: A total of 1

Characteristics of contralateral carcinomas in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer larger than 1 cm

textabstractPurpose: Traditionally, total thyroidectomy has been advocated for patients with tumors larger than 1 cm. However, according to the ATA and NCCN guidelines (2015, USA), patients with tumors up to 4 cm are now eligible for lobectomy. A rationale for adhering to total thyroidectomy might be the presence of contralateral carcinomas. The purpose of this study was to describe the characteristics of contralateral carcinomas in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) larger than 1 cm. Methods: A retrospective study was performed including patients from 17 centers in 5 countries. Adults diagnosed with DTC stage T1b-T3 N0-1a M0 who all underwent a total thyroidectomy were included. The primary endpoint was the presence of a contralateral carcinoma. Results: A total of 1313 patients were included, of whom 426 (32 %) had a contralateral carcinoma. The contralateral carcinomas consisted of 288 (67 %) papillary thyroid carcinomas (PTC), 124 (30 %) follicular variant of a papillary thyroid carcinoma (FvPTC), 5 (1 %) follicular thyroid carcinomas (FTC), and 3 (1 %) Hürthle cell carcinomas (HTC). Ipsilateral multifocality was strongly associated with the presence of contralateral carcinomas (OR 2.62). Of all contralateral carcinomas, 82 % were ≤10 mm and of those 99 % were PTC or FvPTC. Even if the primary tumor was a FTC or HTC, the contralateral carcinoma was (Fv)PTC in 92 % of cases. Conclusions: This international multicenter study performed on patients with DTC larger than 1 cm shows that contralateral carcinomas occur in one third of patients and, independently of primary tumor subtype, predominantly consist of microPTC

Effect of Phase Thermal Modulation Without Stationary Temperature Gradient on the Threshold of Convection

The convective instability of a horizontal fluid layer subject to a time varying gradient of temperature is investigated. The stationary component of the temperature gradient is considered equal to zero and the oscillating components imposed on the horizontal boundaries are in phase and with the same amplitude. The aim of the present paper is to examine the effect of this type of modulation on the onset of convective instability. We show that unlike the case where the equilibrium configuration is stable in the absence of modulation, we have instability when the temperature at the horizontal boundaries is modulated in phase. Also, we observe that in the limit of low and high dimensionless frequency of modulation, x < 0.5 and x > 140, the basic state tends to a stable equilibrium configuration and for an intermediate dimensionless frequency, the system is potentially unstable. The results obtained from analytical asymptotic study for low and high dimensionless frequency are in good agreement with the numerical ones

FAPRI Trade Model for Feed Grains: Specification, Estimation, and Validation

This model was developed to quantify the trade and policy linkages for feed grains among the major importing and exporting regions. It is intended primarily for use in making intermediate-term projections and conducting policy impact analysis. Thus it is a relatively small partial equilibrium model but incorporates the most basic supply, demand, price, and policy variables in the feed grains sector.</p

FAPRI Trade Model for Feed Grains: Specification, Estimation, and Validation

This model was developed to quantify the trade and policy linkages for feed grains among the major importing and exporting regions. It is intended primarily for use in making intermediate-term projections and conducting policy impact analysis. Thus it is a relatively small partial equilibrium model but incorporates the most basic supply, demand, price, and policy variables in the feed grains sector.