Simulation-based investigation of transport scenarios for Hamburg

This simulation work investigates new means to decrease the modal share of motorized transport in a large urban area in Hamburg, Germany. This was deemed necessary in order to cut down CO2 emissions. The five scenarios simulated with the MATSim [13] framework including an adapted mode choice model strongly suggest that making public transport more attractive is not sufficient to reach this goal, the results display a meager 3%-point change in the share of motorized transport. With introducing additional means to repel motorized transport, an 8%-point change may be within reach. The results also show that by making bike riding more safe, a considerably higher share of biking is possible (+8%-points)